Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 7, 2010

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $27.6700 (-0.5%) ($27.6600 - $27.8000) on Tue. Sep. 7, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.31% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $27.6700(-0.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   PCY declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JNK(61%)    LQD(59%)    EEM(51%)    SPY(49%)    VWO(49%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.155% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(7%)    IGOV(7%)    TLT(15%)    GLD(22%)    USO(24%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.155% (StdDev 0.31%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

Resistance Level   $27.78
5 Day Moving Average   $27.72(-0.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.76(-0.32%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.78(-0.4%)
To recent high   -1.3%
To recent low   8.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 0.5% (three month std-dev: 0.31%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101007

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_7_2010	26.5		27.76				27.67(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-20	-10000	0	-79	0.38	51%	0.04	48	0.31%	0	-0.8	39	0
2	Sep_3_2010	26.49	27.78	27.8	27.72			27.81(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-8	-10000	7	-52	0.47	56%	0.04	51.7	0.32%	0	0.2	58	0
3	Sep_2_2010	26.48	27.77	27.82	27.69			27.73(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-14	-10000	-4	-43	0.28	56%	0.08	55.7	0.32%	0	-0.2	59	0
4	Sep_1_2010	26.46	27.75	27.84	27.71			27.73(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-12	-10000	-9	-22	0.63	56%	0.04	61.1	0.32%	0	-0.1	53	0
5	Aug_31_2010	26.45	27.73	27.85	27.75			27.65(-0.11%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-10	-10000	-14	2	0.47	56%	0.04	69.6	0.32%	0	-0.4	51	0

6	Aug_30_2010	26.44	27.72	27.85	27.81			27.68(0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-2	-10000	-16	39	0.33	56%	0.04	78.2	0.32%	0	-0.2	52	0
7	Aug_27_2010	26.43	27.7	27.85	27.88			27.64(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	3	-10000	-18	67	0.51	56%	0.08	82.2	0.33%	0	-0.2	55	0
8	Aug_26_2010	26.41	27.67	27.88	27.96			27.84(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	25	-10000	-5	116	0.5	66%	0.04	86.6	0.31%	0	0.5	69	0
9	Aug_25_2010	26.4	27.63	27.86	27.98			27.94(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	39	-10000	4	144	0.99	72%	0.08	84.6	0.32%	0	0.9	76	0
10	Aug_24_2010	26.38	27.58	27.84	27.96			27.96(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	41	-10000	2	159	0.27	72%	0.08	81.7	0.33%	0	1.1	80	0

11	Aug_23_2010	26.36	27.53	27.81	27.95			28.04(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	62	-10000	18	193	0.45	72%	0.08	85.1	0.32%	0	1.4	83	0
12	Aug_20_2010	26.34	27.47	27.76	27.87			28.03(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	60	-10000	19	182	0.4	60%	0.04	83.3	0.33%	0	1.5	84	0
13	Aug_19_2010	26.33	27.4	27.71	27.78			27.93(0.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	45	-10000	9	152	0.34	57%	0.08	81.3	0.38%	0	1.4	86	0
14	Aug_18_2010	26.31	27.35	27.65	27.73			27.84(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	44	-10000	6	156	0.7	57%	0.08	81.1	0.39%	0	1.3	86	0
15	Aug_17_2010	26.29	27.29	27.6	27.7			27.91(0.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	51	-10000	9	176	0.84	57%	0.08	80.3	0.38%	0	1.6	91	0

16	Aug_16_2010	26.27	27.22	27.54	27.65			27.65(0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	48	-10000	2	187	0.49	48%	0.04	79.6	0.37%	0	1.1	86	0
17	Aug_13_2010	26.26	27.16	27.5	27.64			27.57(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	53	-10000	4	200	0.33	41%	0.08	77.4	0.39%	0	1	86	0
18	Aug_12_2010	26.24	27.1	27.45	27.62			27.68(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	65	-10000	12	223	0.19	45%	0.04	74.7	0.38%	0	1.3	95	0
19	Aug_11_2010	26.23	27.03	27.38	27.56			27.68(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	65	-10000	15	215	0.28	45%	0.08	73.6	0.39%	0	1.5	94	0
20	Aug_10_2010	26.21	26.97	27.3	27.48			27.68(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	62	-10000	13	208	0.22	63%	0.04	72.4	0.39%	0	1.7	95	0

21	Aug_9_2010	26.2	26.9	27.23	27.41			27.59(0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	49	-10000	10	164	0.53	63%	0.08	75.2	0.5%	0	1.7	95	0
22	Aug_6_2010	26.18	26.83	27.15	27.34			27.47(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	52	-10000	13	168	0.39	45%	0.04	76.8	0.5%	0	1.7	95	0
23	Aug_5_2010	26.17	26.78	27.08	27.25			27.38(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	38	-10000	9	126	0.44	41%	0.04	76.1	0.65%	0	1.6	95	0
24	Aug_4_2010	26.16	26.72	27.01	27.17			27.29(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	38	-10000	9	125	0.84	41%	0.04	76.3	0.66%	0	1.6	95	0
25	Aug_3_2010	26.15	26.66	26.95	27.09			27.31(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	37	-10000	9	119	0.76	41%		75	0.66%	0	1.9	88	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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