Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jul. 19, 2010

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $26.4400 (0.27%) ($26.4300 - $26.4800) on Mon. Jul. 19, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.66% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $26.4400(0.27%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JNK(61%)    LQD(59%)    EEM(50%)    SPY(49%)    VWO(49%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.33% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(7%)    IGOV(7%)    TLT(15%)    GLD(22%)    USO(24%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.33% (StdDev 0.66%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

5 Day Moving Average   $26.39(0.19%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.32(0.46%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.19(0.95%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   4.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 0.57% (three month std-dev: 0.66%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20100819

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_19_2010	26.04	26.19	26.32	26.39			26.44(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	18	-10000	5	55	0.45	36%	0.04	94.7	0.66%	0	1.7	78	0
2	Jul_16_2010	26.03	26.16	26.28	26.35			26.37(0.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	14	-10000	1	52	0.17	36%	0.04	94.7	0.66%	0	1.4	81	0
3	Jul_15_2010	26.02	26.14	26.26	26.34			26.32(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	14	-10000	1	54	0.22	36%	0.04	100	0.66%	0	1.2	74	0
4	Jul_14_2010	26.01	26.11	26.24	26.33			26.4(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	17	-10000	3	57	0.52	38%	0.04	101.6	0.66%	0	1.8	72	0
5	Jul_13_2010	26	26.08	26.2	26.3			26.4(0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	19	-10000	7	56	0.23	38%	0.04	103.3	0.66%	0	2	76	0

6	Jul_12_2010	25.99	26.05	26.17	26.24			26.28(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	-10000	5	45	0.24	38%	0.04	98.4	0.66%	0	1.4	62	0
7	Jul_9_2010	25.98	26.02	26.13	26.2			26.3(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	-10000	5	37	0.26	38%	0.04	93.4	0.66%	0	1.8	69	0
8	Jul_8_2010	25.97	25.99	26.1	26.16			26.29(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	12	-10000	5	34	0.33	38%	0.04	82.3	0.66%	0	1.9	72	0
9	Jul_7_2010	25.96	25.95	26.08	26.12			26.22(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	11	-10000	3	35	0.67	40%	0.08	62.3	0.66%	0	1.5	72	0
10	Jul_6_2010	25.94	25.92	26.08	26.09			26.12(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	-10000	1	35	0.5	40%	0	49.3	0.66%	0	1.1	71	0

11	Jul_2_2010	25.94	25.89	26.05	26.08			26.08(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	15	-10000	4	47	0.36	40%	0.04	46.6	0.65%	0	1	71	0
12	Jul_1_2010	25.93	25.88	26.03	26.05			26.09(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	13	-10000	2	46	0.51	40%	0.04	49.3	0.66%	0	1.1	69	0
13	Jun_30_2010	25.92	25.86	26.01	26.03			26.11(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	13	-10000	1	49	0.28	40%	0.04	58.6	0.65%	0	1.4	73	0
14	Jun_29_2010	25.91	25.84	25.98	26.02			26.06(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	-10000	1	58	0.35	40%	0.04	66.7	0.65%	0	1.3	77	0
15	Jun_28_2010	25.9	25.83	25.95	26.02			26.07(0.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	16	-10000	0	64	0.14	40%	0.08	68.2	0.65%	0	1.4	78	0

16	Jun_25_2010	25.88	25.8	25.92	26.02			25.94(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	18	-10000	0	70	0.16	40%	0	77.4	0.65%	0	0.9	67	0
17	Jun_24_2010	25.88	25.78	25.9	26.01			25.99(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	22	-10000	4	74	0.21	40%	0.04	78.8	0.65%	0	1.2	58	0
18	Jun_23_2010	25.87	25.75	25.87	25.98			26.06(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	-10000	6	67	0.19	40%	0.04	64.3	0.65%	0	1.7	59	0
19	Jun_22_2010	25.86	25.73	25.82	25.93			25.97(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	-10000	5	50	0.15	40%	0.04	53	0.65%	0	1.4	59	0
20	Jun_21_2010	25.85	25.71	25.77	25.89			26.07(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	15	-10000	8	35	0.3	40%	0	46.8	0.65%	0	2.3	61	0

21	Jun_18_2010	25.85	25.68	25.72	25.82			25.95(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	8	-10000	4	18	0.16	40%	0.04	29.1	0.65%	0	1.9	62	0
22	Jun_17_2010	25.84	25.65	25.7	25.79			25.86(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	9	-10000	5	21	0.37	40%	0	0	0.64%	0	1.4	66	0
23	Jun_16_2010	25.84	25.65	25.7	25.75			25.8(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	-10000	7	28	0.16	40%	0.04	-18.2	0.64%	0	1.1	68	0
24	Jun_15_2010	25.83	25.65	25.7	25.69			25.76(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	10	-10000	6	23	0.16	40%	0	-40	0.64%	0	0.9	59	0
25	Jun_14_2010	25.83	25.64	25.69	25.64			25.74(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	7	-10000	4	16	0.25	40%		-58.2	0.64%	0	0.7	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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