Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 1, 2010

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $26.0900 (-0.08%) ($26.0300 - $26.1200) on Thu. Jul. 1, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.66% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $26.0900(-0.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JNK(61%)    LQD(59%)    EEM(50%)    SPY(49%)    EWG(48%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.33% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(7%)    IGOV(7%)    TLT(15%)    GLD(22%)    USO(24%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.33% (StdDev 0.66%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $26.05(0.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.03(0.23%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.88(0.81%)
To recent high   -1.7%
To recent low   3.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 0.73% (three month std-dev: 0.66%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20100801

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_1_2010	25.93	25.88	26.03	26.05			26.09(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	13	-10000	2	46	0.51	40%	0.04	49.3	0.66%	0	1.1	69	0
2	Jun_30_2010	25.92	25.86	26.01	26.03			26.11(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	13	-10000	1	49	0.28	40%	0.04	58.6	0.65%	0	1.4	73	0
3	Jun_29_2010	25.91	25.84	25.98	26.02			26.06(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	-10000	1	58	0.35	40%	0.04	66.7	0.65%	0	1.3	77	0
4	Jun_28_2010	25.9	25.83	25.95	26.02			26.07(0.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	16	-10000	0	64	0.14	40%	0.08	68.2	0.65%	0	1.4	78	0
5	Jun_25_2010	25.88	25.8	25.92	26.02			25.94(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	18	-10000	0	70	0.16	40%	0	77.4	0.65%	0	0.9	67	0

6	Jun_24_2010	25.88	25.78	25.9	26.01			25.99(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	22	-10000	4	74	0.21	40%	0.04	78.8	0.65%	0	1.2	58	0
7	Jun_23_2010	25.87	25.75	25.87	25.98			26.06(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	-10000	6	67	0.19	40%	0.04	64.3	0.65%	0	1.7	59	0
8	Jun_22_2010	25.86	25.73	25.82	25.93			25.97(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	-10000	5	50	0.15	40%	0.04	53	0.65%	0	1.4	59	0
9	Jun_21_2010	25.85	25.71	25.77	25.89			26.07(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	15	-10000	8	35	0.3	40%	0	46.8	0.65%	0	2.3	61	0
10	Jun_18_2010	25.85	25.68	25.72	25.82			25.95(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	8	-10000	4	18	0.16	40%	0.04	29.1	0.65%	0	1.9	62	0

11	Jun_17_2010	25.84	25.65	25.7	25.79			25.86(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	9	-10000	5	21	0.37	40%	0	0	0.64%	0	1.4	66	0
12	Jun_16_2010	25.84	25.65	25.7	25.75			25.8(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	-10000	7	28	0.16	40%	0.04	-18.2	0.64%	0	1.1	68	0
13	Jun_15_2010	25.83	25.65	25.7	25.69			25.76(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	10	-10000	6	23	0.16	40%	0	-40	0.64%	0	0.9	59	0
14	Jun_14_2010	25.83	25.65	25.69	25.64			25.74(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	7	-10000	4	16	0.25	40%	0	-58.2	0.64%	0	0.7	53	0
15	Jun_11_2010	25.83	25.64	25.68	25.64			25.77(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	3	-10000	0	13	0.33	40%	0	-45.5	0.65%	0	0.9	58	0

16	Jun_10_2010	25.83	25.65	25.65	25.61			25.68(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	2	-10000	-4	18	0.09	40%	0	-15.2	0.64%	0	0.2	62	0
17	Jun_9_2010	25.83	25.67	25.62	25.64			25.51(0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-0	-10000	-5	14	0.19	37%	0	-10.8	0.64%	0	-0.8	46	0
18	Jun_8_2010	25.83	25.69	25.63	25.68			25.49(-0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-2	-10000	-7	14	0.34	37%	0	-9	0.64%	0	-1	42	0
19	Jun_7_2010	25.83	25.72	25.65	25.74			25.6(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	6	-10000	-1	25	0.22	37%	0	-7.7	0.64%	0	-0.6	45	0
20	Jun_4_2010	25.83	25.7	25.64	25.75			25.78(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	-10000	7	21	0.26	39%	0	-23.6	0.63%	0	0.3	46	0

21	Jun_3_2010	25.83	25.68	25.6	25.69			25.8(0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	4	-10000	10	-13	0.25	39%	0	-47.4	0.63%	0	0.5	41	0
22	Jun_2_2010	25.83	25.69	25.6	25.61			25.73(-0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-8	-10000	5	-45	0.21	43%	0	-59.4	0.63%	0	0.2	40	0
23	Jun_1_2010	25.83	25.71	25.6	25.57			25.77(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-14	-10000	3	-64	0.34	46%	0.04	-57.5	0.64%	0	0.2	39	0
24	May_28_2010	25.82	25.73	25.58	25.55			25.66(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-16	-10000	4	-76	0.24	46%	0	-57.3	0.64%	0	-0.2	42	0
25	May_27_2010	25.82	25.76	25.59	25.52			25.51(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-13	-10000	4	-65	0.43	46%		-58.3	0.64%	0	-0.7	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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