Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jun. 11, 2010

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $25.7700 (0.35%) ($25.6200 - $25.7800) on Fri. Jun. 11, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.65% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $25.7700(0.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   PCY advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JNK(61%)    LQD(59%)    EEM(50%)    SPY(49%)    EWG(48%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.325% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(7%)    IGOV(7%)    TLT(15%)    GLD(22%)    USO(24%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.325% (StdDev 0.65%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.61(0.62%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.68(0.35%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.64(0.51%)
To recent high   -2.9%
To recent low   2.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 0.55% (three month std-dev: 0.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100711

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_11_2010	25.83	25.64	25.68				25.77(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	3	-10000	0	13	0.33	40%	0	-45.5	0.65%	0	0.9	58	0
2	Jun_10_2010	25.83	25.65	25.65	25.61			25.68(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	2	-10000	-4	18	0.09	40%	0	-15.2	0.64%	0	0.2	62	0
3	Jun_9_2010	25.83	25.67	25.62	25.64			25.51(0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-0	-10000	-5	14	0.19	37%	0	-10.8	0.64%	0	-0.8	46	0
4	Jun_8_2010	25.83	25.69	25.63	25.68			25.49(-0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-2	-10000	-7	14	0.34	37%	0	-9	0.64%	0	-1	42	0
5	Jun_7_2010	25.83	25.72	25.65	25.74			25.6(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	6	-10000	-1	25	0.22	37%	0	-7.7	0.64%	0	-0.6	45	0

6	Jun_4_2010	25.83	25.7	25.64	25.75			25.78(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	-10000	7	21	0.26	39%	0	-23.6	0.63%	0	0.3	46	0
7	Jun_3_2010	25.83	25.68	25.6	25.69			25.8(0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	4	-10000	10	-13	0.25	39%	0	-47.4	0.63%	0	0.5	41	0
8	Jun_2_2010	25.83	25.69	25.6	25.61			25.73(-0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-8	-10000	5	-45	0.21	43%	0	-59.4	0.63%	0	0.2	40	0
9	Jun_1_2010	25.83	25.71	25.6	25.57			25.77(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-14	-10000	3	-64	0.34	46%	0.04	-57.5	0.64%	0	0.2	39	0
10	May_28_2010	25.82	25.73	25.58	25.55			25.66(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-16	-10000	4	-76	0.24	46%	0	-57.3	0.64%	0	-0.2	42	0

11	May_27_2010	25.82	25.76	25.59	25.52			25.51(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-13	-10000	4	-65	0.43	46%	-0.04	-58.3	0.64%	0	-0.7	57	0
12	May_26_2010	25.83	25.8	25.64	25.49			25.39(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-17	-10000	-6	-49	0.31	48%	0	-61.8	0.64%	0	-1.2	57	0
13	May_25_2010	25.83	25.84	25.71	25.54			25.53(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-15	-10000	-6	-40	0.45	50%	0	-60.7	0.64%	0	-0.9	42	0
14	May_24_2010	25.83	25.88	25.76	25.59			25.65(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-11	-10000	-3	-35	0.35	50%	0	-57.6	0.64%	0	-0.6	40	0
15	May_21_2010	25.83	25.92	25.79	25.61			25.53(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-18	-10000	-9	-44	0.48	50%	0	-55.2	0.63%	0	-1.1	39	0

16	May_20_2010	25.83	25.96	25.78	25.68			25.33(-1.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-30	-10000	-17	-67	0.39	46%	0	-52.4	0.63%	0	-1.7	35	0
17	May_19_2010	25.83	26.02	25.77	25.82			25.67(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-25	-10000	-9	-72	0.19	52%	0	-45.2	0.61%	0	-1	38	0
18	May_18_2010	25.83	26.06	25.81	25.89			25.78(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-24	-10000	-9	-69	0.38	52%	0.04	-41	0.61%	0	-0.8	39	0
19	May_17_2010	25.82	26.09	25.86	25.96			25.76(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-18	-10000	-5	-55	0.47	52%	0	-35.8	0.61%	0	-0.9	40	0
20	May_14_2010	25.82	26.12	25.9	26			25.85(-0.81%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-1	-10000	15	-47	0.23	52%	0	-32.8	0.6%	0	-0.8	39	0

21	May_13_2010	25.82	26.15	25.94	25.88			26.06(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-2	-10000	22	-74	0.39	56%	0	-41	0.6%	0	-0.3	42	0
22	May_12_2010	25.82	26.17	25.96	25.71			26.02(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-32	-10000	-1	-126	0.43	54%	0.04	-53.7	0.6%	0	-0.4	41	0
23	May_11_2010	25.81	26.2	25.98	25.72			26.1(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.1	-37	-10000	-4	-135	0.3	56%	0.04	-50	0.6%	0	-0.3	40	0
24	May_10_2010	25.8	26.22	26	25.75			25.95(2.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-40	-10000	-8	-137	0.42	58%	0	-45.1	0.6%	0	-0.8	37	0
25	May_7_2010	25.8	26.24	26.04	25.81			25.28(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-62	-10000	-29	-160	0.63	47%		-38.3	0.51%	0	-2.7	14	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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