Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 20, 2010

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $25.3300 (-1.32%) ($25.3000 - $25.5100) on Thu. May. 20, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.63% (three month average)
RSI   35
Latest Price   $25.3300(-1.32%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JNK(60%)    LQD(59%)    EEM(50%)    SPY(49%)    EWG(48%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.315% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(6%)    IGOV(7%)    TLT(15%)    GLD(22%)    USO(24%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.315% (StdDev 0.63%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $23.08(-8.88%)
Resistance Level   $25.96
5 Day Moving Average   $25.68(-1.36%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.78(-1.75%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.96(-2.43%)
To recent high   -4.6%
To recent low   0.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 1.43% (three month std-dev: 0.63%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100620

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_20_2010	25.83	25.96	25.78	25.68			25.33(-1.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-30	-10000	-17	-67	0.39	46%	0	-52.4	0.63%	0	-1.7	35	0
2	May_19_2010	25.83	26.02	25.77	25.82			25.67(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-25	-10000	-9	-72	0.19	52%	0	-45.2	0.61%	0	-1	38	0
3	May_18_2010	25.83	26.06	25.81	25.89			25.78(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-24	-10000	-9	-69	0.38	52%	0.04	-41	0.61%	0	-0.8	39	0
4	May_17_2010	25.82	26.09	25.86	25.96			25.76(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-18	-10000	-5	-55	0.47	52%	0	-35.8	0.61%	0	-0.9	40	0
5	May_14_2010	25.82	26.12	25.9	26			25.85(-0.81%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-1	-10000	15	-47	0.23	52%	0	-32.8	0.6%	0	-0.8	39	0

6	May_13_2010	25.82	26.15	25.94	25.88			26.06(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-2	-10000	22	-74	0.39	56%	0	-41	0.6%	0	-0.3	42	0
7	May_12_2010	25.82	26.17	25.96	25.71			26.02(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-32	-10000	-1	-126	0.43	54%	0.04	-53.7	0.6%	0	-0.4	41	0
8	May_11_2010	25.81	26.2	25.98	25.72			26.1(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.1	-37	-10000	-4	-135	0.3	56%	0.04	-50	0.6%	0	-0.3	40	0
9	May_10_2010	25.8	26.22	26	25.75			25.95(2.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-40	-10000	-8	-137	0.42	58%	0	-45.1	0.6%	0	-0.8	37	0
10	May_7_2010	25.8	26.24	26.04	25.81			25.28(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-62	-10000	-29	-160	0.63	47%	0	-38.3	0.51%	0	-2.7	14	0

11	May_6_2010	25.8	26.3	26.16	26			25.2(-3.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-3	-54	-10000	-33	-118	1.01	47%	0	-27.2	0.51%	0	-4.1	9	0
12	May_5_2010	25.8	26.36	26.29	26.22			26.05(-0.88%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.5	-35	-10000	-13	-102	0.63	63%	0	-4.8	0.29%	0	-2.8	19	0
13	May_4_2010	25.8	26.38	26.33	26.27			26.28(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-24	-10000	-3	-85	0.27	66%	0.04	13.2	0.28%	0	-1	23	0
14	May_3_2010	25.79	26.38	26.35	26.28			26.24(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-27	-10000	-8	-82	0.25	66%	0.04	15.8	0.29%	0	-1.3	36	0
15	Apr_30_2010	25.78	26.38	26.37	26.31			26.25(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-24	-10000	-8	-70	0.2	66%	0	31.6	0.28%	0	-1.2	39	0

16	Apr_29_2010	25.78	26.38	26.39	26.34			26.29(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-18	-10000	-6	-52	0.23	66%	0.04	39.5	0.29%	0	-0.8	44	0
17	Apr_28_2010	25.77	26.37	26.41	26.36			26.31(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-16	-10000	-10	-33	0.25	66%	0.04	45.2	0.29%	0	-0.5	51	0
18	Apr_27_2010	25.76	26.37	26.43	26.4			26.29(-0.42%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-6	-10000	-8	1	0.38	66%	0	47.8	0.29%	0	-0.6	55	0
19	Apr_26_2010	25.76	26.36	26.43	26.43			26.4(0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	8	-10000	-3	40	0.41	70%	0.04	46.9	0.29%	0	0.3	71	0
20	Apr_23_2010	25.75	26.34	26.43	26.44			26.39(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	12	-10000	-3	57	0.25	70%	0.04	39.6	0.29%	0	0.4	63	0

21	Apr_22_2010	25.74	26.33	26.43	26.45			26.42(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	15	-10000	-6	76	0.29	70%	0	41.5	0.29%	0	0.6	67	0
22	Apr_21_2010	25.74	26.32	26.45	26.47			26.48(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	21	-10000	-3	94	0.27	70%	0.04	39.6	0.29%	0	1.1	71	0
23	Apr_20_2010	25.73	26.31	26.43	26.48			26.48(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	31	-10000	3	115	0.49	70%	0.04	43.4	0.29%	0	1.2	73	0
24	Apr_19_2010	25.72	26.3	26.4	26.48			26.43(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	29	-10000	0	114	0.27	70%	0.04	51	0.29%	0	1	73	0
25	Apr_16_2010	25.71	26.29	26.38	26.47			26.46(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	36	-10000	6	124	0.35	70%		55.1	0.29%	0	1.3	76	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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