Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PCY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Nov. 6, 2009

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $25.7600 (-0.19%) ($25.6600 - $25.8100) on Fri. Nov. 6, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.62% (three month average)
RSI   34
Latest Price   $25.7600(-0.19%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY declines -1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JNK(60%)    LQD(58%)    EEM(50%)    SPY(49%)    EWG(48%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.31% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(5%)    IGOV(7%)    TLT(14%)    GLD(21%)    USO(24%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.31% (StdDev 0.62%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $23.08(-10.4%)
Resistance Level   $26.11
5 Day Moving Average   $25.7(0.23%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.78(-0.08%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.11(-1.34%)
To recent high   -3.5%
To recent low   4.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 1.42% (three month std-dev: 0.62%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20091206

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_6_2009	25.11	26.11	25.78	25.7			25.76(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-35	-10000	-4	-126	0.2	52%	0.08	-45.1	0.62%	0	-0.9	34	0
2	Nov_5_2009	25.09	26.14	25.83	25.73			25.81(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-35	-10000	-4	-127	0.14	52%	0.08	-41.3	0.62%	0	-0.9	36	0
3	Nov_4_2009	25.07	26.17	25.88	25.76			25.77(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-27	-10000	7	-128	0.21	54%	0.08	-37.7	0.62%	0	-1.1	33	0
4	Nov_3_2009	25.05	26.2	25.94	25.7			25.51(-0.58%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-48	-10000	-11	-158	0.4	52%	0.08	-42.3	0.62%	0	-2	23	0
5	Nov_2_2009	25.03	26.24	26.04	25.79			25.66(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-43	-10000	-9	-145	0.64	52%	0.08	-37.7	0.62%	0	-1.9	30	0

6	Oct_30_2009	25.01	26.27	26.12	25.86			25.9(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-42	-10000	-10	-136	0.16	55%	0.08	-30.8	0.6%	0	-1.3	38	0
7	Oct_29_2009	24.99	26.29	26.17	25.94			25.94(1.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-38	-10000	-10	-120	0.25	55%	0.12	-24.2	0.61%	0	-1.3	39	0
8	Oct_28_2009	24.96	26.3	26.23	26.02			25.48(-1.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-47	-10000	-25	-112	0.47	49%	0.08	-17.9	0.57%	0	-3.3	28	0
9	Oct_27_2009	24.94	26.34	26.36	26.21			25.96(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-27	-10000	-16	-61	0.23	59%	0.08	2.9	0.52%	0	-2.1	37	0
10	Oct_26_2009	24.92	26.34	26.42	26.32			26.04(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-15	-10000	-12	-23	0.32	59%	0.08	18.8	0.52%	0	-1.9	43	0

11	Oct_23_2009	24.9	26.36	26.47	26.4			26.3(-0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-1	-10000	-4	9	0.22	64%	0.12	29.5	0.51%	0	-0.4	56	0
12	Oct_22_2009	24.87	26.36	26.48	26.43			26.33(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	2	-10000	-6	27	0.23	64%	0.12	32.3	0.51%	0	-0.1	62	0
13	Oct_21_2009	24.84	26.35	26.49	26.47			26.42(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	4	-10000	-9	44	0.22	64%	0.12	35.4	0.5%	0	0.4	64	0
14	Oct_20_2009	24.81	26.34	26.48	26.53			26.5(0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	16	-10000	-2	70	0.2	64%	0.12	47.7	0.5%	0	0.9	69	0
15	Oct_19_2009	24.78	26.34	26.46	26.53			26.46(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.5	21	-10000	0	83	0.17	64%	0.12	60.7	0.5%	0	0.9	68	0

16	Oct_16_2009	24.75	26.32	26.44	26.53			26.43(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	23	-10000	0	90	0.22	64%	0.12	66.2	0.5%	0	0.6	69	0
17	Oct_15_2009	24.72	26.3	26.42	26.54			26.54(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	29	-10000	6	97	0.29	64%	0.12	73.8	0.5%	0	1.4	77	0
18	Oct_14_2009	24.69	26.29	26.38	26.5			26.7(0.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	31	-10000	11	91	0.4	67%	0.12	90.2	0.49%	0	2.6	76	0
19	Oct_13_2009	24.66	26.26	26.32	26.43			26.58(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	25	-10000	9	71	0.33	67%	0.08	105.7	0.49%	0	2.3	72	0
20	Oct_12_2009	24.64	26.23	26.28	26.37			26.44(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	18	-10000	6	54	0.2	66%	0.12	114	0.49%	0	1.6	68	0

21	Oct_9_2009	24.61	26.2	26.25	26.33			26.44(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	16	-10000	9	37	0.29	66%	0.12	117	0.49%	0	1.7	54	0
22	Oct_8_2009	24.58	26.17	26.21	26.27			26.34(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	8	-10000	4	20	0.62	66%	0.12	104.9	0.49%	0	1.1	64	0
23	Oct_7_2009	24.55	26.14	26.2	26.24			26.35(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	6	-10000	6	6	0.31	66%	0.12	95.7	0.5%	0	1.2	47	0
24	Oct_6_2009	24.52	26.11	26.18	26.2			26.3(0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	3	-10000	4	0	0.25	66%	0.12	85	0.5%	0	0.9	57	0
25	Oct_5_2009	24.49	26.08	26.17	26.17			26.24(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	3	-10000	3	1	0.31	66%		85.2	0.5%	0	0.8	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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