Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Oct. 5, 2009

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $26.2400 (0.38%) ($26.1500 - $26.2400) on Mon. Oct. 5, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.5% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $26.2400(0.38%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JNK(59%)    LQD(58%)    EEM(50%)    SPY(49%)    EWG(48%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.25% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(5%)    IGOV(8%)    TLT(14%)    GLD(21%)    USO(24%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.25% (StdDev 0.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $26.17(0.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.17(0.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.08(0.61%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   11.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 0.81% (three month std-dev: 0.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_5_2009	24.49	26.08	26.17	26.17			26.24(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	3	-10000	3	1	0.31	66%	0.12	85.2	0.5%	0	0.8	59	0
2	Oct_2_2009	24.46	26.04	26.18	26.15			26.14(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	4	-10000	2	9	0.17	66%	0.16	76.1	0.5%	0	0.4	58	0
3	Oct_1_2009	24.42	26.01	26.17	26.15			26.18(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	4	-10000	0	16	0.8	66%	0.12	70.2	0.5%	0	0.6	62	0
4	Sep_30_2009	24.39	25.97	26.19	26.14			26.15(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	9	-10000	-3	43	0.17	66%	0.08	67.2	0.5%	0	0.6	66	0
5	Sep_29_2009	24.37	25.94	26.18	26.16			26.15(0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	15	-10000	-2	65	0.14	66%	0.12	71.5	0.5%	0	0.7	67	0

6	Sep_28_2009	24.34	25.9	26.17	26.17			26.11(0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	16	-10000	-6	82	0.12	66%	0.12	74.8	0.51%	0	0.6	68	0
7	Sep_25_2009	24.31	25.86	26.16	26.17			26.09(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	30	-10000	0	120	0.15	66%	0.08	79.3	0.51%	0	0.7	71	0
8	Sep_24_2009	24.29	25.82	26.14	26.21			26.21(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	32	-10000	-4	140	0.15	69%	0.12	77.6	0.5%	0	1.1	76	0
9	Sep_23_2009	24.26	25.77	26.09	26.24			26.22(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	44	-10000	4	162	0.21	61%	0.12	82.3	0.52%	0	1.2	77	0
10	Sep_22_2009	24.23	25.71	26.04	26.21			26.2(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	44	-10000	5	160	0.17	61%	0.17	81.6	0.56%	0	1.3	77	0

11	Sep_21_2009	24.19	25.65	25.98	26.17			26.33(0.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	48	-10000	10	163	0.25	61%	0.12	81.6	0.56%	0	1.7	83	0
12	Sep_18_2009	24.16	25.59	25.89	26.1			26.08(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	43	-10000	7	151	0.16	58%	0.17	81.1	0.57%	0	1.3	81	0
13	Sep_17_2009	24.12	25.53	25.83	26.05			26.37(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	54	-10000	18	163	0.16	64%	0.12	83.9	0.55%	0	2.2	0	0
14	Sep_16_2009	24.09	25.46	25.73	25.92			26.09(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	44	-10000	11	142	0.19	53%	0.17	83.6	0.54%	0	1.9	0	0
15	Sep_15_2009	24.05	25.4	25.66	25.84			25.99(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	41	-10000	11	131	0.18	53%	0.17	80.6	0.58%	0	1.7	0	0

16	Sep_14_2009	24.01	25.34	25.6	25.76			25.96(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	41	-10000	13	126	0.15	53%	0.13	81	0.59%	0	1.9	93	0
17	Sep_11_2009	23.98	25.28	25.53	25.66			25.86(0.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	35	-10000	10	110	0.16	59%	0.17	76.5	0.62%	0	1.9	93	0
18	Sep_10_2009	23.94	25.22	25.47	25.58			25.71(0.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	31	-10000	8	101	0.18	59%	0.13	61.8	0.62%	0	1.6	89	0
19	Sep_9_2009	23.91	25.18	25.42	25.52			25.68(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	31	-10000	8	98	0.15	59%	0.17	63.5	0.63%	0	1.7	90	0
20	Sep_8_2009	23.87	25.12	25.35	25.46			25.6(0.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	27	-10000	5	94	0.16	59%	0.21	57.4	0.63%	0	1.7	91	0

21	Sep_4_2009	23.82	25.08	25.3	25.42			25.45(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	25	-10000	4	89	0.11	63%	0.13	66.3	0.66%	0	1.4	80	0
22	Sep_3_2009	23.79	25.06	25.26	25.39			25.44(0.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	27	-10000	6	91	0.17	57%	0.13	76	0.66%	0	1.5	82	0
23	Sep_2_2009	23.76	25.03	25.21	25.34			25.41(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	28	-10000	5	96	0.2	60%	0.13	87.5	0.69%	0	1.6	86	0
24	Sep_1_2009	23.73	24.99	25.17	25.3			25.4(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	-10000	8	89	0.23	60%	0.17	101.1	0.71%	0	1.8	62	0
25	Aug_31_2009	23.69	24.96	25.11	25.23			25.39(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	26	-10000	7	82	0.17	60%		105.4	0.71%	0	1.9	70	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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