Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 31, 2009

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $25.3900 (0.4%) ($25.2000 - $25.3900) on Mon. Aug. 31, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.71% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $25.3900(0.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JNK(59%)    LQD(58%)    EEM(50%)    EWG(48%)    SPY(48%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.355% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(5%)    IGOV(7%)    TLT(14%)    GLD(21%)    USO(24%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.355% (StdDev 0.71%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.23(0.63%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.11(1.12%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.96(1.72%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   10.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 0.92% (three month std-dev: 0.71%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20091001

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_31_2009	23.69	24.96	25.11	25.23			25.39(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	26	-10000	7	82	0.17	60%	0.04	105.4	0.71%	0	1.9	70	0
2	Aug_28_2009	23.68	24.91	25.06	25.17			25.29(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	-10000	7	74	0.1	60%	0.17	100	0.71%	0	1.6	59	0
3	Aug_27_2009	23.64	24.87	25.01	25.11			25.23(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	-10000	5	61	0.12	60%	0.17	91.4	0.71%	0	1.4	57	0
4	Aug_26_2009	23.6	24.82	24.95	25.07			25.21(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	-10000	7	44	0.11	60%	0.13	85.8	0.72%	0	1.4	56	0
5	Aug_25_2009	23.57	24.76	24.92	25.01			25.02(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	14	-10000	5	39	0.12	59%	0.17	79.3	0.71%	0	0.9	56	0

6	Aug_24_2009	23.53	24.72	24.88	24.97			25.08(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	9	-10000	3	28	0.11	59%	0.17	77.6	0.72%	0	1.2	59	0
7	Aug_21_2009	23.49	24.68	24.85	24.94			25(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	-10000	4	33	0.08	59%	0.13	76.1	0.72%	0	1	63	0
8	Aug_20_2009	23.46	24.63	24.84	24.9			25.02(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	-10000	10	47	0.17	59%	0.17	75.4	0.72%	0	1.1	67	0
9	Aug_19_2009	23.42	24.58	24.82	24.9			24.94(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	-10000	0	46	0.1	59%	0.17	69.2	0.73%	0	1	67	0
10	Aug_18_2009	23.38	24.53	24.81	24.81			24.82(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	20	-10000	4	68	0.09	59%	0.17	71.5	0.74%	0	0.8	68	0

11	Aug_17_2009	23.34	24.48	24.8	24.77			24.9(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	-10000	1	79	0.17	59%	0.17	67.3	0.74%	0	1.1	70	0
12	Aug_14_2009	23.3	24.43	24.76	24.76			24.82(1.1%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	20	-10000	-1	82	0.13	57%	0.13	67.1	0.79%	0	1	65	0
13	Aug_13_2009	23.27	24.37	24.71	24.77			24.55(-1.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	17	-10000	-7	89	0.18	55%	0.17	68.5	0.82%	0	0.4	65	0
14	Aug_12_2009	23.23	24.33	24.69	24.84			24.95(1.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	32	-10000	3	117	0.12	60%	0.13	70.2	0.8%	0	1.4	76	0
15	Aug_11_2009	23.2	24.27	24.61	24.81			24.61(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	28	-10000	-2	119	0.22	57%	0.13	71.1	0.79%	0	0.8	74	0

16	Aug_10_2009	23.17	24.22	24.56	24.83			24.85(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	41	-10000	8	138	0.19	60%	0.17	70.8	0.78%	0	1.5	85	0
17	Aug_7_2009	23.13	24.16	24.49	24.75			24.89(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	43	-10000	11	138	0.21	60%	0.13	67.2	0.8%	0	1.7	88	0
18	Aug_6_2009	23.1	24.1	24.4	24.64			24.91(0.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	42	-10000	13	127	0.21	60%	0.13	63.6	0.81%	0	2.1	89	0
19	Aug_5_2009	23.07	24.03	24.31	24.51			24.78(0.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	40	-10000	14	117	0.13	60%	0.17	58.9	0.82%	0	2.1	89	0
20	Aug_4_2009	23.03	23.97	24.22	24.37			24.71(0.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	35	-10000	12	102	0.16	60%	0.17	59.2	0.83%	0	2.5	89	0

21	Aug_3_2009	22.99	23.92	24.13	24.25			24.48(0.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	25	-10000	5	85	0.11	58%	0.13	60	0.82%	0	2.2	83	0
22	Jul_31_2009	22.96	23.88	24.06	24.2			24.31(0.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	26	-10000	7	83	0.09	58%	0.17	70.7	0.82%	0	2	81	0
23	Jul_30_2009	22.92	23.85	24.01	24.13			24.26(0.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	22	-10000	4	75	0.18	58%	0.13	77.4	0.82%	0	2.1	80	0
24	Jul_29_2009	22.89	23.82	23.95	24.09			24.11(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	22	-10000	5	72	0.16	63%	0.18	89.5	0.82%	0	1.6	80	0
25	Jul_28_2009	22.85	23.8	23.9	24.04			24.09(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	-10000	4	60	0.11	63%		107	0.87%	0	1.7	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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