Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 7, 2009

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $23.7600 (-0.13%) ($23.5400 - $23.8200) on Tue. Jul. 7, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.92% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $23.7600(-0.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JNK(58%)    LQD(57%)    EEM(49%)    SPY(48%)    EWG(47%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.46% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(5%)    IGOV(7%)    TLT(13%)    GLD(21%)    USO(24%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.46% (StdDev 0.92%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.71(0.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.53(0.98%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.55(0.89%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   10.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 0.93% (three month std-dev: 0.92%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090807

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_7_2009	22.32	23.55	23.53	23.71			23.76(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	-10000	3	39	0.11	61%	0.04	17.2	0.92%	0	1	58	0
2	Jul_6_2009	22.31	23.55	23.49	23.68			23.79(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	11	-10000	7	24	0.12	61%	0.18	15.7	0.92%	0	1.2	48	0
3	Jul_2_2009	22.27	23.54	23.45	23.6			23.72(0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	5	-10000	7	-2	0.1	61%	0.09	12.4	0.92%	0	0.9	42	0
4	Jul_1_2009	22.25	23.52	23.44	23.53			23.7(0.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	3	-10000	7	-10	0.11	61%	0.14	3.4	0.92%	0	0.9	51	0
5	Jun_30_2009	22.22	23.52	23.41	23.45			23.6(0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	4	-10000	12	-20	0.07	59%	0.09	-13.5	0.97%	0	0.4	53	0

6	Jun_29_2009	22.2	23.52	23.4	23.32			23.57(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-9	-10000	3	-44	0.1	59%	0.09	-21.3	1.02%	0	0.3	49	0
7	Jun_26_2009	22.18	23.52	23.41	23.32			23.4(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-12	-10000	0	-47	0.07	59%	0.09	-27	1.02%	0	-0.5	47	0
8	Jun_25_2009	22.16	23.51	23.47	23.28			23.4(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-14	-10000	-4	-45	0.09	59%	0.09	-24.7	1.02%	0	-0.5	43	0
9	Jun_24_2009	22.14	23.52	23.48	23.33			23.26(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-12	-10000	-4	-35	0.13	49%	0.09	-15.7	1.02%	0	-1.2	49	0
10	Jun_23_2009	22.12	23.53	23.51	23.38			22.98(-1.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-12	-10000	-7	-26	0.09	53%	0.05	-11.8	1.14%	0	-2.8	45	0

11	Jun_22_2009	22.11	23.53	23.58	23.47			23.35(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-9	-10000	-6	-17	0.09	56%	0.09	4.2	1.19%	0	-1.2	43	0
12	Jun_19_2009	22.09	23.53	23.6	23.56			23.4(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-7	-10000	-8	-4	0.05	56%	0.09	22.1	1.22%	0	-1	51	0
13	Jun_18_2009	22.07	23.56	23.64	23.68			23.66(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	5	-10000	1	18	0.2	56%	0.05	60.3	1.23%	0	0.6	54	0
14	Jun_17_2009	22.06	23.55	23.62	23.67			23.5(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-1	5	-10000	1	16	0.07	56%	0.05	58.3	1.24%	0	-0.3	51	0
15	Jun_16_2009	22.05	23.56	23.61	23.65			23.46(-1.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	0	-10000	-3	10	0.1	56%	0.09	61.1	1.24%	0	-0.6	48	0

16	Jun_15_2009	22.03	23.55	23.64	23.69			23.8(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	8	-10000	3	24	0.36	59%	0.05	62.5	1.23%	0	1.5	58	0
17	Jun_12_2009	22.02	23.53	23.61	23.64			23.98(1.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	7	-10000	3	20	0.1	59%	0.09	52.8	1.22%	0	2.6	62	0
18	Jun_11_2009	22	23.47	23.55	23.6			23.59(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	6	-10000	2	17	0.14	56%	0.09	20.2	1.21%	0	0.6	56	0
19	Jun_10_2009	21.98	23.47	23.54	23.57			23.44(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	5	-10000	1	15	0.17	56%	0.09	13.3	1.21%	0	-0	53	0
20	Jun_9_2009	21.96	23.47	23.56	23.56			23.62(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	2	-10000	-2	13	0.15	56%	0.09	20	1.21%	0	0.8	49	0

21	Jun_8_2009	21.94	23.45	23.54	23.59			23.58(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	6	-10000	2	19	0.11	56%	0.14	37.8	1.22%	0	0.6	56	0
22	Jun_5_2009	21.91	23.44	23.52	23.56			23.79(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	8	-10000	4	18	0.12	56%	0.09	49.4	1.24%	0	1.7	62	0
23	Jun_4_2009	21.89	23.43	23.48	23.5			23.43(0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	4	-10000	-1	20	0.24	53%	0.14	61.7	1.26%	0	0	67	0
24	Jun_3_2009	21.86	23.42	23.47	23.51			23.39(-1.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	4	-10000	-3	23	0.17	53%	0.09	75.3	1.28%	0	-0.2	53	0
25	Jun_2_2009	21.84	23.41	23.5	23.55			23.77(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	12	-10000	5	34	0.29	57%		88.9	1.29%	0	1.7	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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