Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. May. 18, 2009

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $23.3400 (0.21%) ($23.1500 - $23.3900) on Mon. May. 18, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.46% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $23.3400(0.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JNK(56%)    LQD(56%)    EEM(48%)    SPY(47%)    EWG(46%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.73% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(4%)    IGOV(7%)    TLT(13%)    GLD(21%)    USO(24%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.73% (StdDev 1.46%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.23(0.47%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.31(0.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.96(1.66%)
To recent high   -1.4%
To recent low   18.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 2% (three month std-dev: 1.46%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20090618

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_18_2009	21.61	22.96	23.31	23.23			23.34(0.21%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	7	-10000	-2	35	0.09	42%	0.09	51.5	1.46%	0	0.8	67	0
2	May_15_2009	21.59	22.91	23.27	23.27			23.29(2.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	12	-10000	-0	46	0.05	42%	0.09	56.7	1.62%	0	0.8	67	0
3	May_14_2009	21.57	22.87	23.23	23.28			22.78(-2.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	6	-10000	-10	52	0.11	36%	0.05	64.2	1.61%	0	-0.2	62	0
4	May_13_2009	21.56	22.85	23.25	23.46			23.25(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	20	-10000	-1	82	0.05	40%	0.09	78.5	1.6%	0	0.8	72	0
5	May_12_2009	21.54	22.79	23.21	23.48			23.47(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	27	-10000	4	95	0.05	40%	0.09	84	1.6%	0	1.4	74	0

6	May_11_2009	21.52	22.73	23.11	23.41			23.55(0.77%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	29	-10000	7	93	0.17	40%	0.19	91	1.6%	0	1.7	78	0
7	May_8_2009	21.48	22.65	22.99	23.28			23.37(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	-10000	6	84	0.11	40%	0.14	96.5	1.58%	0	1.6	76	0
8	May_7_2009	21.45	22.58	22.89	23.17			23.66(1.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	25	-10000	9	73	0.32	40%	0.19	95	1.58%	0	2.4	76	0
9	May_6_2009	21.41	22.47	22.75	23.01			23.35(1.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	19	-10000	6	59	0.2	40%	0.23	94.7	1.59%	0	2.1	76	0
10	May_5_2009	21.36	22.38	22.65	22.91			23.1(0.79%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	21	-10000	8	59	0.14	40%	0.19	93.4	1.58%	0	1.8	77	0

11	May_4_2009	21.32	22.3	22.57	22.77			22.92(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	-10000	7	47	0.07	40%	0.19	90.4	1.58%	0	1.5	66	0
12	May_1_2009	21.28	22.22	22.51	22.65			22.8(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	-10000	5	38	0.09	40%	0.14	82.5	1.6%	0	1.3	67	0
13	Apr_30_2009	21.25	22.16	22.47	22.56			22.86(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	15	-10000	6	40	0.14	40%	0.09	79.9	1.61%	0	1.6	72	0
14	Apr_29_2009	21.23	22.08	22.41	22.45			22.89(2.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	14	-10000	5	41	0.13	40%	0.05	74.4	1.62%	0	1.9	78	0
15	Apr_28_2009	21.22	22	22.33	22.36			22.39(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	-10000	1	40	0.06	33%	0.09	72.3	1.61%	0	0.9	74	0

16	Apr_27_2009	21.2	21.92	22.31	22.36			22.31(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	-10000	0	50	0.11	33%	0.14	50.2	1.61%	0	0.8	73	0
17	Apr_24_2009	21.17	21.88	22.29	22.34			22.33(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	14	-10000	-2	61	0.05	33%	0.09	48.7	1.62%	0	0.9	75	0
18	Apr_23_2009	21.15	21.82	22.25	22.34			22.33(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	-10000	0	72	0.06	33%	0.19	45.3	1.64%	0	1	72	0
19	Apr_22_2009	21.11	21.77	22.18	22.37			22.44(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	24	-10000	5	80	0.14	33%	0.19	44	1.64%	0	1.4	78	0
20	Apr_21_2009	21.07	21.7	22.09	22.28			22.29(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	18	-10000	0	73	0.06	33%	0.14	41.2	1.65%	0	1.2	76	0

21	Apr_20_2009	21.04	21.69	22.01	22.27			22.31(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	-10000	2	86	0.06	33%	0.19	51.6	1.66%	0	1.3	83	0
22	Apr_17_2009	21	21.64	21.93	22.23			22.5(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	26	-10000	6	87	0.09	33%	0.05	58.1	1.68%	0	2	69	0
23	Apr_16_2009	20.99	21.6	21.82	22.11			22.3(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	-10000	8	82	0.05	33%	0.19	66.5	1.69%	0	1.8	68	0
24	Apr_15_2009	20.95	21.55	21.72	21.96			22.02(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	-10000	5	69	0.09	33%	0.19	67.4	1.69%	0	1.3	65	0
25	Apr_14_2009	20.91	21.5	21.65	21.86			22.23(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	22	-10000	8	64	0.26	33%		66.5	1.7%	0	2	71	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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