Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PCY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Feb. 19, 2009

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $20.4600 (2.81%) ($19.8800 - $21.1500) on Thu. Feb. 19, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.43% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $20.4600(2.81%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY declines -0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY declines -1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JNK(54%)    LQD(54%)    EEM(47%)    SPY(47%)    EWG(46%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -1.715% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(4%)    IGOV(8%)    TLT(11%)    GLD(20%)    USO(24%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.715% (StdDev 3.43%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $15.83(-22.63%)
Resistance Level   $21.45
5 Day Moving Average   $20.78(-1.54%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.07(-2.9%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.45(-4.62%)
To recent high   -8.6%
To recent low   25.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 2.7% (three month std-dev: 3.43%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090319

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_19_2009	19.73	21.45	21.07	20.78			20.46(2.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-12	-10000	-4	-35	0.14	56%	-0.15	-27	3.43%	0	-1.7	33	0
2	Feb_18_2009	19.76	21.52	21.18	20.94			19.9(-5.42%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2	-15	-10000	-8	-35	0.15	56%	-0.1	-18.7	3.43%	0	-3.1	20	0
3	Feb_17_2009	19.78	21.52	21.32	21.22			21.04(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-10	-10000	-3	-29	0.13	61%	-0.45	-2.3	3.35%	0	-1.5	27	0
4	Feb_13_2009	19.87	21.61	21.38	21.33			21.23(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-8	-10000	-1	-30	0.03	61%	-0.1	-5.1	3.33%	0	-1	26	0
5	Feb_12_2009	19.89	21.62	21.44	21.37			21.26(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-8	-10000	-1	-29	0.05	61%	-0.05	-9.7	3.33%	0	-0.9	40	0

6	Feb_11_2009	19.9	21.61	21.49	21.42			21.29(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-8	-10000	-1	-30	0.07	61%	-0.05	-11.9	3.33%	0	-0.8	37	0
7	Feb_10_2009	19.91	21.61	21.57	21.45			21.3(-1.25%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-6	-10000	1	-25	0.04	61%	0	-1.1	3.35%	0	-0.8	45	0
8	Feb_9_2009	19.91	21.62	21.66	21.42			21.57(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-6	-10000	-0	-23	0.05	61%	0.05	-16.2	3.35%	0	-0.1	53	0
9	Feb_6_2009	19.9	21.63	21.73	21.43			21.45(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-5	-10000	-2	-13	0.14	65%	0	-6.8	3.44%	0	-0.4	58	0
10	Feb_5_2009	19.9	21.63	21.78	21.52			21.5(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-2	-10000	-1	-4	0.06	65%	0.1	18	3.46%	0	-0.4	55	0

11	Feb_4_2009	19.88	21.65	21.85	21.57			21.43(1.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	-10000	-4	6	0.09	65%	-0.1	34.4	3.46%	0	-0.5	59	0
12	Feb_3_2009	19.9	21.63	21.89	21.72			21.14(-2.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-1	-10000	-6	14	0.12	70%	-0.15	36.6	3.47%	0	-1.1	48	0
13	Feb_2_2009	19.93	21.68	21.93	21.93			21.63(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	4	-10000	-4	26	0.08	70%	-0.1	53.9	3.66%	0	-0.1	57	0
14	Jan_30_2009	19.95	21.66	21.88	22.08			21.92(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	7	-10000	0	28	0.04	74%	-0.1	61.7	3.69%	0	0.5	50	0
15	Jan_29_2009	19.97	21.58	21.82	22.07			21.75(-1.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	4	-10000	-2	22	0.04	76%	-0.15	46.3	3.95%	0	0.3	49	0

16	Jan_28_2009	20	21.52	21.75	22.16			22.14(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	7	-10000	2	23	0.02	76%	-0.15	38.7	4.03%	0	1.1	57	0
17	Jan_27_2009	20.03	21.46	21.68	22.08			22.2(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	-10000	3	26	0.03	76%	-0.1	38.1	4.05%	0	1.2	64	0
18	Jan_26_2009	20.05	21.43	21.58	21.94			22.38(2.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	8	-10000	6	15	0.07	76%	-0.1	42.5	4.09%	0	1.6	50	0
19	Jan_23_2009	20.07	21.37	21.52	21.66			21.9(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	4	-10000	3	8	0.08	68%	-0.1	47.6	4.15%	0	0.9	55	0
20	Jan_22_2009	20.09	21.36	21.5	21.53			22.16(1.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	8	-10000	6	14	0.07	63%	-0.15	63.7	4.22%	0	1.4	63	0

21	Jan_21_2009	20.12	21.29	21.43	21.28			21.77(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	3	-10000	1	10	0.08	61%	-0.1	74	4.35%	0	0.9	60	0
22	Jan_20_2009	20.14	21.22	21.32	21.23			21.48(2.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	2	-10000	1	6	0.11	61%	-0.2	78.8	4.4%	0	0.5	54	0
23	Jan_16_2009	20.18	21.18	21.4	21.17			21(-1.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	-10000	-4	5	0.22	58%	-0.15	80.7	4.42%	0	-0.3	46	0
24	Jan_15_2009	20.21	21.1	21.42	21.35			21.23(1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	-10000	-3	12	0.08	58%	-0.15	73.8	4.41%	0	0.2	51	0
25	Jan_14_2009	20.24	21	21.33	21.47			20.92(-2.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-0	-10000	-3	8	0.04	58%		48.5	4.43%	0	-0.1	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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