Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Feb. 2, 2009

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $21.6300 (-1.32%) ($21.3700 - $22.4000) on Mon. Feb. 2, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.66% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $21.6300(-1.32%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY declines -0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JNK(54%)    LQD(53%)    EEM(47%)    EWG(46%)    PEJ(46%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -1.83% in a week (0% probabilities).
IGOV(-2%)    SHY(4%)    TLT(11%)    GLD(20%)    USO(24%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.83% (StdDev 3.66%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.4%

Resistance Level   $21.68
5 Day Moving Average   $21.93(-1.37%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.93(-1.37%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.68(-0.23%)
To recent high   -3.4%
To recent low   33%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 2.17% (three month std-dev: 3.66%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20090302

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_2_2009	19.93	21.68	21.93	21.93			21.63(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	4	-10000	-4	26	0.08	70%	-0.1	53.9	3.66%	0	-0.1	57	0
2	Jan_30_2009	19.95	21.66	21.88	22.08			21.92(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	7	-10000	0	28	0.04	74%	-0.1	61.7	3.69%	0	0.5	50	0
3	Jan_29_2009	19.97	21.58	21.82	22.07			21.75(-1.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	4	-10000	-2	22	0.04	76%	-0.15	46.3	3.95%	0	0.3	49	0
4	Jan_28_2009	20	21.52	21.75	22.16			22.14(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	7	-10000	2	23	0.02	76%	-0.15	38.7	4.03%	0	1.1	57	0
5	Jan_27_2009	20.03	21.46	21.68	22.08			22.2(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	-10000	3	26	0.03	76%	-0.1	38.1	4.05%	0	1.2	64	0

6	Jan_26_2009	20.05	21.43	21.58	21.94			22.38(2.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	8	-10000	6	15	0.07	76%	-0.1	42.5	4.09%	0	1.6	50	0
7	Jan_23_2009	20.07	21.37	21.52	21.66			21.9(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	4	-10000	3	8	0.08	68%	-0.1	47.6	4.15%	0	0.9	55	0
8	Jan_22_2009	20.09	21.36	21.5	21.53			22.16(1.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	8	-10000	6	14	0.07	63%	-0.15	63.7	4.22%	0	1.4	63	0
9	Jan_21_2009	20.12	21.29	21.43	21.28			21.77(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	3	-10000	1	10	0.08	61%	-0.1	74	4.35%	0	0.9	60	0
10	Jan_20_2009	20.14	21.22	21.32	21.23			21.48(2.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	2	-10000	1	6	0.11	61%	-0.2	78.8	4.4%	0	0.5	54	0

11	Jan_16_2009	20.18	21.18	21.4	21.17			21(-1.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	-10000	-4	5	0.22	58%	-0.15	80.7	4.42%	0	-0.3	46	0
12	Jan_15_2009	20.21	21.1	21.42	21.35			21.23(1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	-10000	-3	12	0.08	58%	-0.15	73.8	4.41%	0	0.2	51	0
13	Jan_14_2009	20.24	21	21.33	21.47			20.92(-2.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-0	-10000	-3	8	0.04	58%	-0.2	48.5	4.43%	0	-0.1	47	0
14	Jan_13_2009	20.28	20.9	21.28	21.59			21.5(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	5	-10000	3	11	0.02	60%	-0.15	34.3	4.42%	0	0.7	54	0
15	Jan_12_2009	20.31	20.81	21.24	21.43			21.18(-3.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	-10000	-5	6	0.07	60%	-0.15	25.2	4.48%	0	0.4	56	0

16	Jan_9_2009	20.34	20.73	21.29	21.65			21.91(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	-10000	3	25	0.04	60%	-0.1	29.6	4.49%	0	1.2	58	0
17	Jan_8_2009	20.36	20.68	21.22	21.51			21.86(1.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	-10000	7	33	0.04	57%	-0.15	36.5	4.5%	0	1.2	64	0
18	Jan_7_2009	20.39	20.66	21.19	21.17			21.48(3.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	-10000	5	36	0.04	57%	-0.15	40.4	4.6%	0	0.8	65	0
19	Jan_6_2009	20.42	20.61	21.13	20.94			20.71(-7.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	-10000	-1	39	0.06	53%	-0.2	42.1	4.58%	0	0.1	64	0
20	Jan_5_2009	20.46	20.57	21.11	21			22.3(5.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	13	-10000	2	47	0.12	55%	-0.05	48.1	4.69%	0	1.8	63	0

21	Jan_2_2009	20.47	20.44	20.92	20.9			21.19(5.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	-10000	-0	50	0.08	52%	-0.39	56.9	4.64%	0	0.8	61	0
22	Dec_31_2008	20.55	20.32	20.75	20.91			20.15(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	5	-10000	-6	39	0.04	51%	-0.19	54.9	4.65%	0	-0.2	46	0
23	Dec_30_2008	20.59	20.28	20.65	21.22			20.34(-3.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	8	-10000	-2	37	0.15	46%	-0.19	68.1	4.69%	0	0.1	43	0
24	Dec_29_2008	20.63	20.2	20.51	21.33			21.03(-3.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	9	-10000	2	30	0.07	51%	-0.19	80.4	5.14%	0	0.8	53	0
25	Dec_26_2008	20.67	20.1	20.38	21.2			21.8(2.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	9	-10000	4	24	0.02	51%		83.9	5.62%	0	1.6	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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