Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 14, 2009

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $20.9200 (-2.7%) ($20.4100 - $21.4200) on Wed. Jan. 14, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.43% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $20.9200(-2.7%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
LQD(52%)    JNK(51%)    EEM(45%)    EWG(44%)    PEJ(44%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -2.215% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(4%)    TLT(10%)    GLD(18%)    USO(23%)    TIP(26%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.215% (StdDev 4.43%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.3%

Resistance Level   $21
5 Day Moving Average   $21.47(-2.56%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.33(-1.92%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21(-0.38%)
To recent high   -6.2%
To recent low   53.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 3.38% (three month std-dev: 4.43%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_14_2009	20.24	21	21.33	21.47			20.92(-2.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-0	-10000	-3	8	0.04	58%	-0.2	48.5	4.43%	0	-0.1	47	0
2	Jan_13_2009	20.28	20.9	21.28	21.59			21.5(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	5	-10000	3	11	0.02	60%	-0.15	34.3	4.42%	0	0.7	54	0
3	Jan_12_2009	20.31	20.81	21.24	21.43			21.18(-3.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	-10000	-5	6	0.07	60%	-0.15	25.2	4.48%	0	0.4	56	0
4	Jan_9_2009	20.34	20.73	21.29	21.65			21.91(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	-10000	3	25	0.04	60%	-0.1	29.6	4.49%	0	1.2	58	0
5	Jan_8_2009	20.36	20.68	21.22	21.51			21.86(1.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	-10000	7	33	0.04	57%	-0.15	36.5	4.5%	0	1.2	64	0

6	Jan_7_2009	20.39	20.66	21.19	21.17			21.48(3.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	-10000	5	36	0.04	57%	-0.15	40.4	4.6%	0	0.8	65	0
7	Jan_6_2009	20.42	20.61	21.13	20.94			20.71(-7.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	-10000	-1	39	0.06	53%	-0.2	42.1	4.58%	0	0.1	64	0
8	Jan_5_2009	20.46	20.57	21.11	21			22.3(5.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	13	-10000	2	47	0.12	55%	-0.05	48.1	4.69%	0	1.8	63	0
9	Jan_2_2009	20.47	20.44	20.92	20.9			21.19(5.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	-10000	-0	50	0.08	52%	-0.39	56.9	4.64%	0	0.8	61	0
10	Dec_31_2008	20.55	20.32	20.75	20.91			20.15(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	5	-10000	-6	39	0.04	51%	-0.19	54.9	4.65%	0	-0.2	46	0

11	Dec_30_2008	20.59	20.28	20.65	21.22			20.34(-3.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	8	-10000	-2	37	0.15	46%	-0.19	68.1	4.69%	0	0.1	43	0
12	Dec_29_2008	20.63	20.2	20.51	21.33			21.03(-3.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	9	-10000	2	30	0.07	51%	-0.19	80.4	5.14%	0	0.8	53	0
13	Dec_26_2008	20.67	20.1	20.38	21.2			21.8(2.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	9	-10000	4	24	0.02	51%	-0.29	83.9	5.62%	0	1.6	60	0
14	Dec_24_2008	20.73	19.94	20.14	20.95			21.22(-2.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	10	-10000	7	17	0.02	53%	-0.14	80.9	5.58%	0	1.3	57	0
15	Dec_23_2008	20.76	19.82	20.1	20.56			21.72(3.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	12	-10000	10	18	0.06	53%	-0.14	75.2	5.58%	0	1.9	66	0

16	Dec_22_2008	20.79	19.63	20.06	20.01			20.89(2.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	9	-10000	8	13	0.04	54%	-0.19	58.7	5.56%	0	1.3	60	0
17	Dec_19_2008	20.83	19.41	20.01	19.56			20.35(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	3	-10000	2	6	0.05	54%	-0.19	28.9	5.57%	0	0.8	60	0
18	Dec_18_2008	20.87	19.27	19.95	19.44			20.55(6.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	5	-10000	4	7	0.04	55%	-0.14	19.9	5.57%	0	1.1	59	0
19	Dec_17_2008	20.9	19.14	19.88	19.24			19.31(1.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-4	-10000	-6	4	0.04	50%	-0.29	13.7	5.55%	0	0.1	58	0
20	Dec_16_2008	20.96	19.1	19.85	19.59			18.95(1.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-4	-10000	-9	13	0.07	49%	-0.24	21	5.79%	0	-0.1	53	0

21	Dec_15_2008	21.01	19.1	19.88	20.13			18.65(-5.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	5	-10000	-6	36	0.08	49%	-0.28	31.5	5.8%	0	-0.4	57	0
22	Dec_12_2008	21.07	19.08	19.91	20.5			19.73(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.6	16	-10000	-0	65	0.09	49%	-0.19	36.9	5.76%	0	0.5	72	0
23	Dec_11_2008	21.11	19.03	19.86	20.52			19.55(-7.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	18	-10000	-1	75	0.08	48%	-0.19	39.7	5.76%	0	0.4	62	0
24	Dec_10_2008	21.15	18.98	19.76	20.59			21.07(-2.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	-10000	8	86	0.04	50%	-0.19	41	5.7%	0	1.8	64	0
25	Dec_9_2008	21.19	18.85	19.54	20.12			21.66(5.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	26	-10000	9	76	0.12	50%		33.9	5.69%	0	2.6	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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