Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PCY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Dec. 31, 2008

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $20.1500 (-0.93%) ($19.9800 - $21.2300) on Wed. Dec. 31, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.65% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $20.1500(-0.93%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY declines -1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY advances 3.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
LQD(50%)    JNK(48%)    EEM(43%)    PEJ(43%)    SPY(43%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -2.325% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(3%)    TLT(10%)    GLD(18%)    USO(22%)    TIP(25%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.325% (StdDev 4.65%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3%

Resistance Level   $20.32
5 Day Moving Average   $20.91(-3.63%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.75(-2.89%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.32(-0.84%)
To recent high   -13.9%
To recent low   47.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 4.63% (three month std-dev: 4.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090131

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_31_2008	20.55	20.32	20.75	20.91			20.15(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	5	-10000	-6	39	0.04	51%	-0.19	54.9	4.65%	0	-0.2	46	0
2	Dec_30_2008	20.59	20.28	20.65	21.22			20.34(-3.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	8	-10000	-2	37	0.15	46%	-0.19	68.1	4.69%	0	0.1	43	0
3	Dec_29_2008	20.63	20.2	20.51	21.33			21.03(-3.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	9	-10000	2	30	0.07	51%	-0.19	80.4	5.14%	0	0.8	53	0
4	Dec_26_2008	20.67	20.1	20.38	21.2			21.8(2.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	9	-10000	4	24	0.02	51%	-0.29	83.9	5.62%	0	1.6	60	0
5	Dec_24_2008	20.73	19.94	20.14	20.95			21.22(-2.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	10	-10000	7	17	0.02	53%	-0.14	80.9	5.58%	0	1.3	57	0

6	Dec_23_2008	20.76	19.82	20.1	20.56			21.72(3.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	12	-10000	10	18	0.06	53%	-0.14	75.2	5.58%	0	1.9	66	0
7	Dec_22_2008	20.79	19.63	20.06	20.01			20.89(2.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	9	-10000	8	13	0.04	54%	-0.19	58.7	5.56%	0	1.3	60	0
8	Dec_19_2008	20.83	19.41	20.01	19.56			20.35(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	3	-10000	2	6	0.05	54%	-0.19	28.9	5.57%	0	0.8	60	0
9	Dec_18_2008	20.87	19.27	19.95	19.44			20.55(6.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	5	-10000	4	7	0.04	55%	-0.14	19.9	5.57%	0	1.1	59	0
10	Dec_17_2008	20.9	19.14	19.88	19.24			19.31(1.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-4	-10000	-6	4	0.04	50%	-0.29	13.7	5.55%	0	0.1	58	0

11	Dec_16_2008	20.96	19.1	19.85	19.59			18.95(1.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-4	-10000	-9	13	0.07	49%	-0.24	21	5.79%	0	-0.1	53	0
12	Dec_15_2008	21.01	19.1	19.88	20.13			18.65(-5.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	5	-10000	-6	36	0.08	49%	-0.28	31.5	5.8%	0	-0.4	57	0
13	Dec_12_2008	21.07	19.08	19.91	20.5			19.73(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.6	16	-10000	-0	65	0.09	49%	-0.19	36.9	5.76%	0	0.5	72	0
14	Dec_11_2008	21.11	19.03	19.86	20.52			19.55(-7.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	18	-10000	-1	75	0.08	48%	-0.19	39.7	5.76%	0	0.4	62	0
15	Dec_10_2008	21.15	18.98	19.76	20.59			21.07(-2.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	-10000	8	86	0.04	50%	-0.19	41	5.7%	0	1.8	64	0

16	Dec_9_2008	21.19	18.85	19.54	20.12			21.66(5.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	26	-10000	9	76	0.12	50%	-0.09	33.9	5.69%	0	2.6	64	0
17	Dec_8_2008	21.21	18.71	19.16	19.61			20.5(3.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	19	-10000	6	58	0.07	50%	-0.19	31.8	5.64%	0	2.1	60	0
18	Dec_5_2008	21.25	18.65	18.75	19.26			19.8(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	11	-10000	3	35	0.03	50%	-0.23	41.3	5.62%	0	1.5	57	0
19	Dec_4_2008	21.3	18.57	18.51	19.11			19.91(6.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	10	-10000	5	24	0.03	50%	-0.14	46.5	5.62%	0	1.8	56	0
20	Dec_3_2008	21.33	18.51	18.31	18.82			18.75(-1.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-10000	-1	10	0.04	48%	-0.23	63.8	5.56%	0	0.4	52	0

21	Dec_2_2008	21.38	18.49	18.28	18.85			19.1(1.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	6	-10000	4	12	0.03	48%	-0.23	96.2	5.56%	0	0.9	52	0
22	Dec_1_2008	21.43	18.44	18.2	18.63			18.75(-1.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	8	-10000	10	3	0.03	48%	-0.28	120.4	5.55%	0	0.5	47	0
23	Nov_28_2008	21.49	18.33	18.17	18.13			19.04(3.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-1	-10000	6	-20	0.02	48%	-0.37	94.8	5.55%	0	0.9	46	0
24	Nov_26_2008	21.57	18.23	18.13	17.81			18.44(-2.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-7	-10000	1	-31	0.06	48%	-0.28	75.1	5.49%	0	0.2	52	0
25	Nov_25_2008	21.63	18.08	18.14	17.74			18.91(5.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-7	-10000	2	-34	0.02	48%		55.8	5.49%	0	0.6	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.