Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PCY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Nov. 17, 2008

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $18.5000 (-0.27%) ($18.1700 - $19.8200) on Mon. Nov. 17, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.2% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $18.5000(-0.27%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY declines -0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY advances 6.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JNK(46%)    LQD(46%)    PEJ(41%)    SPY(41%)    EWG(40%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -2.6% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(1%)    TLT(9%)    GLD(15%)    USO(19%)    TIP(22%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.6% (StdDev 5.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $18.63(-0.7%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.75(-1.33%)
20 Day Moving Average   $17.31(6.87%)
To recent high   -31.5%
To recent low   35.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 10.4% (three month std-dev: 5.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20081217

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_17_2008	22.01	17.31	18.75	18.63			18.5(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	16	-10000	-3	73	0.02	47%	-0.27	4.9	5.2%	0	0.7	78	0
2	Nov_14_2008	22.07	17.28	18.71	18.77			18.55(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	24	-10000	-4	108	0.03	47%	-0.27	3.5	5.2%	0	0.7	80	0
3	Nov_13_2008	22.13	17.23	18.52	18.97			18.81(1.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	36	-10000	2	139	0.02	47%	-0.23	5.3	5.19%	0	0.9	75	0
4	Nov_12_2008	22.18	17.23	18.35	18.88			18.54(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	38	-10000	-1	153	0.03	47%	-0.31	3.3	5.19%	0	0.7	68	0
5	Nov_11_2008	22.25	17.21	18.05	18.92			18.75(-2.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	40	-10000	1	158	0.01	47%	-0.27	4.7	5.19%	0	0.8	63	0

6	Nov_10_2008	22.31	17.22	17.62	18.89			19.18(-1.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	40	-10000	5	143	0.03	47%	-0.27	2.6	5.18%	0	1	57	0
7	Nov_7_2008	22.37	17.21	17.08	18.65			19.56(6.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	38	-10000	14	111	0.13	47%	-0.22	-2.1	5.18%	0	1.3	54	0
8	Nov_6_2008	22.42	17.13	16.55	18.01			18.38(-1.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-10000	6	60	0.02	45%	-0.31	-21.2	5.11%	0	0.7	52	0
9	Nov_5_2008	22.49	17.15	16.2	17.73			18.75(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	19	-10000	16	28	0.04	45%	-0.27	-32.6	5.11%	0	0.9	49	0
10	Nov_4_2008	22.55	17.12	15.88	17.03			18.56(3.23%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	11	-10000	21	-18	0.1	45%	-0.27	-51.7	5.11%	0	0.8	47	0

11	Nov_3_2008	22.61	17.17	15.71	16.15			17.98(9.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	-0	-10000	22	-67	0.07	45%	-0.31	-65.7	5.09%	0	0.4	43	0
12	Oct_31_2008	22.68	17.25	15.66	15.29			16.37(-3.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-20	-10000	12	-115	0.06	42%	-0.4	-79.9	4.93%	0	-0.4	36	0
13	Oct_30_2008	22.77	17.53	15.77	14.86			17.01(11.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-26	-10000	11	-136	0.09	42%	-0.39	-79.8	4.91%	0	-0.2	45	0
14	Oct_29_2008	22.86	17.76	15.91	14.46			15.22(7.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-45	-10000	-4	-166	0.1	37%	-0.44	-76.9	4.67%	0	-1	32	0
15	Oct_28_2008	22.96	18.16	16.25	14.59			14.19(3.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-56	-10000	-18	-169	0.08	33%	-0.48	-73.9	4.56%	0	-1.5	28	0

16	Oct_27_2008	23.07	18.57	16.78	15.21			13.65(-4.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-56	-10000	-24	-153	0.07	33%	-0.52	-60.5	4.53%	0	-1.6	20	0
17	Oct_24_2008	23.19	19.22	17.38	16.09			14.24(-5.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-45	-10000	-19	-121	0.05	35%	-0.51	-50.7	4.53%	0	-1.7	23	0
18	Oct_23_2008	23.31	19.66	17.82	16.8			15(-5.6%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-44	-10000	-19	-118	0.08	35%	-0.47	-45.4	4.5%	0	-1.7	20	0
19	Oct_22_2008	23.42	20.07	18.24	17.55			15.89(-7.94%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-39	-10000	-15	-109	0.09	37%	-0.43	-39.2	4.46%	0	-1.6	22	0
20	Oct_21_2008	23.52	20.41	18.53	18.15			17.26(-4.48%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-38	-10000	-11	-117	0.03	40%	-0.38	-32.3	4.36%	0	-1.3	23	0

21	Oct_20_2008	23.61	20.64	18.82	18.59			18.07(1.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-34	-10000	-7	-113	0.04	41%	-0.34	-31.5	4.34%	0	-1.1	32	0
22	Oct_17_2008	23.69	20.83	19	18.88			17.76(-5.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-38	-10000	-3	-142	0.05	43%	-0.34	-33.7	4.33%	0	-1.4	22	0
23	Oct_16_2008	23.77	21	19.43	18.99			18.76(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-36	-10000	-1	-142	0.03	45%	-0.29	-41.6	4.3%	0	-1.1	42	0
24	Oct_15_2008	23.84	21.13	19.75	19.04			18.88(-3.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-35	-10000	2	-144	0.04	44%	-0.29	-48.6	4.3%	0	-1.1	42	0
25	Oct_14_2008	23.91	21.2	20.18	18.97			19.5(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-38	-10000	-3	-143	0.04	43%		-59.6	4.29%	0	-0.9	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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