Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PCY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Oct. 22, 2008

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $15.8900 (-7.94%) ($15.4100 - $17.0300) on Wed. Oct. 22, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.46% (three month average)
RSI   22
Latest Price   $15.8900(-7.94%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY declines -3.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY declines -7.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JNK(43%)    LQD(43%)    SPY(43%)    EEM(41%)    EWG(41%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -2.23% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-1%)    TLT(7%)    GLD(15%)    USO(18%)    TIP(21%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.23% (StdDev 4.46%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $-5.06(-131.84%)
Resistance Level   $20.07
5 Day Moving Average   $17.55(-9.46%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.24(-12.88%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.07(-20.83%)
To recent high   -41.1%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 12.76% (three month std-dev: 4.46%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20081122

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_22_2008	23.42	20.07	18.24	17.55			15.89(-7.94%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-39	-10000	-15	-109	0.09	37%	-0.43	-39.2	4.46%	0	-1.6	22	0
2	Oct_21_2008	23.52	20.41	18.53	18.15			17.26(-4.48%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-38	-10000	-11	-117	0.03	40%	-0.38	-32.3	4.36%	0	-1.3	23	0
3	Oct_20_2008	23.61	20.64	18.82	18.59			18.07(1.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-34	-10000	-7	-113	0.04	41%	-0.34	-31.5	4.34%	0	-1.1	32	0
4	Oct_17_2008	23.69	20.83	19	18.88			17.76(-5.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-38	-10000	-3	-142	0.05	43%	-0.34	-33.7	4.33%	0	-1.4	22	0
5	Oct_16_2008	23.77	21	19.43	18.99			18.76(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-36	-10000	-1	-142	0.03	45%	-0.29	-41.6	4.3%	0	-1.1	42	0

6	Oct_15_2008	23.84	21.13	19.75	19.04			18.88(-3.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-35	-10000	2	-144	0.04	44%	-0.29	-48.6	4.3%	0	-1.1	42	0
7	Oct_14_2008	23.91	21.2	20.18	18.97			19.5(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-38	-10000	-3	-143	0.04	43%	-0.21	-59.6	4.29%	0	-0.9	46	0
8	Oct_13_2008	23.96	21.38	20.45	19.09			19.5(6.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-36	-10000	-2	-137	0.04	43%	-0.25	-61	4.3%	0	-0.9	47	0
9	Oct_10_2008	24.02	21.59	21.15	19.17			18.3(-3.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-43	-10000	-19	-115	0.1	39%	-0.33	-61.3	4.21%	0	-1.6	44	0
10	Oct_9_2008	24.1	21.89	21.62	19.96			19(2.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-30	-10000	-14	-77	0.1	39%	-0.29	-55.3	4.19%	0	-1.5	49	0

11	Oct_8_2008	24.17	22.15	22.04	20.58			18.55(-7.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-29	-10000	-22	-49	0.29	39%	-0.33	-49.9	4.18%	0	-1.9	47	0
12	Oct_7_2008	24.25	22.46	22.45	21.55			20.1(1.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-7	-10000	-10	3	0.07	42%	-0.25	-40.2	4.08%	0	-1.4	55	0
13	Oct_6_2008	24.31	22.68	22.66	22			19.9(-10.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-21	-10000	-30	5	0.07	42%	-0.25	-34.7	4.07%	0	-1.7	45	0
14	Oct_3_2008	24.37	22.91	22.87	23.42			22.24(0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	13	-10000	-3	59	0.01	47%	-0.16	-12.9	3.9%	0	-0.4	48	0
15	Oct_2_2008	24.41	23.01	22.75	23.54			22.12(-5.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	8	-10000	-4	43	0.05	48%	-0.12	-10.9	3.9%	0	-0.6	47	0

16	Oct_1_2008	24.44	23.12	22.67	23.71			23.4(4.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	13	-10000	5	36	0.05	50%	-0.12	-7.6	3.84%	0	0.2	50	0
17	Sep_30_2008	24.47	23.16	22.34	23.48			22.34(-17.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	1	-10000	2	-2	0.04	49%	-0.16	-11.3	3.81%	0	-0.5	46	0
18	Sep_29_2008	24.51	23.27	22.41	23.37			27(18.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.2	22	-10000	31	-7	0.07	60%	0.04	-13.1	3.15%	0	2.3	58	0
19	Sep_26_2008	24.5	23.11	22.01	22.28			22.83(-0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-13	-10000	17	-102	0.02	45%	-0.12	-35.2	2.19%	0	-0.2	41	0
20	Sep_25_2008	24.53	23.18	22.11	21.88			23(3.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-20	-10000	17	-132	0.02	45%	-0.12	-42.5	2.19%	0	-0.1	42	0

21	Sep_24_2008	24.56	23.24	22.19	21.49			22.25(2.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-26	-10000	20	-164	0.08	42%	-0.16	-50	2.15%	0	-0.7	37	0
22	Sep_23_2008	24.6	23.35	22.38	21.03			21.75(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-60	-10000	-11	-207	0.04	38%	-0.16	-58.9	2.13%	0	-1.1	33	0
23	Sep_22_2008	24.64	23.48	22.64	21.29			21.59(3.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-64	-10000	-19	-197	0.09	38%	-0.2	-56.2	2.13%	0	-1.3	31	0
24	Sep_19_2008	24.69	23.62	22.92	21.72			20.8(-1.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-67	-10000	-29	-181	0.38	34%	-0.2	-51.7	2.08%	0	-2.1	22	0
25	Sep_18_2008	24.74	23.81	23.29	22.4			21.04(5.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-53	-10000	-25	-137	0.26	34%		-44.2	2.08%	0	-2.4	24	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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