Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PCY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Oct. 14, 2008

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $19.5000 (0%) ($19.2100 - $19.8700) on Tue. Oct. 14, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.29% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $19.5000(0%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY declines -10.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JNK(43%)    LQD(43%)    SPY(42%)    EEM(41%)    VWO(41%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -2.145% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-1%)    TLT(7%)    GLD(15%)    USO(19%)    TIP(22%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.145% (StdDev 4.29%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $2.28(-88.31%)
Resistance Level   $21.2
5 Day Moving Average   $18.97(2.79%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.18(-3.37%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.2(-8.02%)
To recent high   -27.8%
To recent low   6.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 9.34% (three month std-dev: 4.29%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20081114

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_14_2008	23.91	21.2	20.18	18.97			19.5(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-38	-10000	-3	-143	0.04	43%	-0.21	-59.6	4.29%	0	-0.9	46	0
2	Oct_13_2008	23.96	21.38	20.45	19.09			19.5(6.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-36	-10000	-2	-137	0.04	43%	-0.25	-61	4.3%	0	-0.9	47	0
3	Oct_10_2008	24.02	21.59	21.15	19.17			18.3(-3.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-43	-10000	-19	-115	0.1	39%	-0.33	-61.3	4.21%	0	-1.6	44	0
4	Oct_9_2008	24.1	21.89	21.62	19.96			19(2.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-30	-10000	-14	-77	0.1	39%	-0.29	-55.3	4.19%	0	-1.5	49	0
5	Oct_8_2008	24.17	22.15	22.04	20.58			18.55(-7.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-29	-10000	-22	-49	0.29	39%	-0.33	-49.9	4.18%	0	-1.9	47	0

6	Oct_7_2008	24.25	22.46	22.45	21.55			20.1(1.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-7	-10000	-10	3	0.07	42%	-0.25	-40.2	4.08%	0	-1.4	55	0
7	Oct_6_2008	24.31	22.68	22.66	22			19.9(-10.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-21	-10000	-30	5	0.07	42%	-0.25	-34.7	4.07%	0	-1.7	45	0
8	Oct_3_2008	24.37	22.91	22.87	23.42			22.24(0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	13	-10000	-3	59	0.01	47%	-0.16	-12.9	3.9%	0	-0.4	48	0
9	Oct_2_2008	24.41	23.01	22.75	23.54			22.12(-5.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	8	-10000	-4	43	0.05	48%	-0.12	-10.9	3.9%	0	-0.6	47	0
10	Oct_1_2008	24.44	23.12	22.67	23.71			23.4(4.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	13	-10000	5	36	0.05	50%	-0.12	-7.6	3.84%	0	0.2	50	0

11	Sep_30_2008	24.47	23.16	22.34	23.48			22.34(-17.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	1	-10000	2	-2	0.04	49%	-0.16	-11.3	3.81%	0	-0.5	46	0
12	Sep_29_2008	24.51	23.27	22.41	23.37			27(18.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.2	22	-10000	31	-7	0.07	60%	0.04	-13.1	3.15%	0	2.3	58	0
13	Sep_26_2008	24.5	23.11	22.01	22.28			22.83(-0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-13	-10000	17	-102	0.02	45%	-0.12	-35.2	2.19%	0	-0.2	41	0
14	Sep_25_2008	24.53	23.18	22.11	21.88			23(3.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-20	-10000	17	-132	0.02	45%	-0.12	-42.5	2.19%	0	-0.1	42	0
15	Sep_24_2008	24.56	23.24	22.19	21.49			22.25(2.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-26	-10000	20	-164	0.08	42%	-0.16	-50	2.15%	0	-0.7	37	0

16	Sep_23_2008	24.6	23.35	22.38	21.03			21.75(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-60	-10000	-11	-207	0.04	38%	-0.16	-58.9	2.13%	0	-1.1	33	0
17	Sep_22_2008	24.64	23.48	22.64	21.29			21.59(3.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-64	-10000	-19	-197	0.09	38%	-0.2	-56.2	2.13%	0	-1.3	31	0
18	Sep_19_2008	24.69	23.62	22.92	21.72			20.8(-1.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-67	-10000	-29	-181	0.38	34%	-0.2	-51.7	2.08%	0	-2.1	22	0
19	Sep_18_2008	24.74	23.81	23.29	22.4			21.04(5.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-53	-10000	-25	-137	0.26	34%	-0.2	-44.2	2.08%	0	-2.4	24	0
20	Sep_17_2008	24.79	23.99	23.64	23			19.99(-13.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-3.1	-56	-10000	-38	-109	0.05	27%	-0.24	-36.9	1.96%	0	-4.1	7	0

21	Sep_16_2008	24.85	24.23	24.12	23.89			23.04(-2.83%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.7	-33	-10000	-21	-67	0.06	38%	-0.08	-37.9	1.09%	0	-3.7	19	0
22	Sep_15_2008	24.87	24.3	24.27	24.16			23.71(-2.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.6	-16	-10000	-11	-29	0.02	41%	-0.08	-32.9	1.04%	0	-3.5	27	0
23	Sep_12_2008	24.89	24.33	24.35	24.3			24.21(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-2	-10000	-2	-2	0.03	43%	-0.08	-22	1.01%	0	-1.2	55	0
24	Sep_11_2008	24.91	24.34	24.36	24.33			24.05(-1.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.8	-5	-10000	-6	-0	0.04	42%	-0.08	-17.1	1.01%	0	-2.9	37	0
25	Sep_10_2008	24.93	24.36	24.39	24.4			24.42(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	3	-10000	0	10	0.02	44%		-3.4	1%	0	0.9	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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