Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PCY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Sep. 23, 2008

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $21.7500 (0.74%) ($21.5500 - $22.1500) on Tue. Sep. 23, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.13% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $21.7500(0.74%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY declines -1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY declines -7.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JNK(36%)    SPY(35%)    EEM(33%)    EWG(33%)    EWY(33%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -1.065% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(2%)    TLT(8%)    GLD(13%)    USO(14%)    TIP(21%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.065% (StdDev 2.13%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $10.2(-53.1%)
Resistance Level   $23.35
5 Day Moving Average   $21.03(3.42%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.38(-2.82%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.35(-6.85%)
To recent high   -12.2%
To recent low   8.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 6.21% (three month std-dev: 2.13%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20081023

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_23_2008	24.6	23.35	22.38	21.03			21.75(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-60	-10000	-11	-207	0.04	38%	-0.16	-58.9	2.13%	0	-1.1	33	0
2	Sep_22_2008	24.64	23.48	22.64	21.29			21.59(3.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-64	-10000	-19	-197	0.09	38%	-0.2	-56.2	2.13%	0	-1.3	31	0
3	Sep_19_2008	24.69	23.62	22.92	21.72			20.8(-1.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-67	-10000	-29	-181	0.38	34%	-0.2	-51.7	2.08%	0	-2.1	22	0
4	Sep_18_2008	24.74	23.81	23.29	22.4			21.04(5.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-53	-10000	-25	-137	0.26	34%	-0.2	-44.2	2.08%	0	-2.4	24	0
5	Sep_17_2008	24.79	23.99	23.64	23			19.99(-13.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-3.1	-56	-10000	-38	-109	0.05	27%	-0.24	-36.9	1.96%	0	-4.1	7	0

6	Sep_16_2008	24.85	24.23	24.12	23.89			23.04(-2.83%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.7	-33	-10000	-21	-67	0.06	38%	-0.08	-37.9	1.09%	0	-3.7	19	0
7	Sep_15_2008	24.87	24.3	24.27	24.16			23.71(-2.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.6	-16	-10000	-11	-29	0.02	41%	-0.08	-32.9	1.04%	0	-3.5	27	0
8	Sep_12_2008	24.89	24.33	24.35	24.3			24.21(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-2	-10000	-2	-2	0.03	43%	-0.08	-22	1.01%	0	-1.2	55	0
9	Sep_11_2008	24.91	24.34	24.36	24.33			24.05(-1.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.8	-5	-10000	-6	-0	0.04	42%	-0.08	-17.1	1.01%	0	-2.9	37	0
10	Sep_10_2008	24.93	24.34	24.39	24.33			24.42(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	3	-10000	0	10	0.02	44%	-0.04	-3.4	1%	0	0.9	52	0

11	Sep_9_2008	24.94	24.34	24.38	24.33			24.42(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	2	-10000	0	8	0.01	44%	-0.08	-6.9	1%	0	0.9	51	0
12	Sep_8_2008	24.96	24.34	24.37	24.33			24.41(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	3	-10000	0	10	0.01	44%	-0.04	-3.4	1%	0	0.7	56	0
13	Sep_5_2008	24.97	24.34	24.37	24.4			24.37(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	3	-10000	1	9	0.01	41%	-0.08	0	1.01%	0	0.1	60	0
14	Sep_4_2008	24.99	24.34	24.37	24.39			24.38(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	3	-10000	1	9	0.02	41%	-0.04	0	1.02%	0	0.3	51	0
15	Sep_3_2008	25	24.34	24.37	24.38			24.4(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	4	-10000	2	8	0.01	41%	-0.08	0	1.02%	0	0.5	50	0

16	Sep_2_2008	25.02	24.34	24.35	24.36			24.42(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.8	2	-10000	1	5	0.01	41%	-0.08	-6.1	1.02%	0	0.8	52	0
17	Aug_29_2008	25.04	24.36	24.34	24.35			24.42(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	3	-10000	4	1	0.02	41%	-0.08	-9.1	1.01%	0	0.8	45	0
18	Aug_28_2008	25.06	24.35	24.34	24.3			24.35(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-4	-10000	-1	-12	0.01	41%	-0.08	-30.3	1.01%	0	0	50	0
19	Aug_27_2008	25.08	24.35	24.34	24.31			24.32(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-4	-10000	-1	-12	0.01	40%	-0.04	12.1	1.01%	0	-0.5	46	0
20	Aug_26_2008	25.09	24.36	24.32	24.32			24.29(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-5	-10000	-2	-13	0.02	40%	-0.08	45.5	1.01%	0	-0.9	43	0

21	Aug_25_2008	25.11	24.36	24.33	24.34			24.37(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-1	-10000	2	-10	0.01	40%	-0.08	55.2	1.02%	0	0	48	0
22	Aug_22_2008	25.13	24.37	24.34	24.32			24.16(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-4	-10000	-1	-12	0.02	40%	-0.04	48.3	1.01%	0	-3	40	0
23	Aug_21_2008	25.14	24.38	24.34	24.32			24.39(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-3	-10000	0	-10	0.03	41%	-0.08	33.9	1.01%	0	0.1	54	0
24	Aug_20_2008	25.16	24.35	24.36	24.32			24.37(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-3	-10000	0	-10	0.01	41%	-0.08	15.4	1.01%	0	0.1	47	0
25	Aug_19_2008	25.18	24.33	24.37	24.33			24.39(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-1	-10000	1	-7	0.02	41%		19.2	1.01%	0	0.3	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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