Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sat. Aug. 30, 2008

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $24.4200 (0.29%) ($24.3100 - $24.5200) on Sat. Aug. 30, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.01% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $24.4200(0.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.505% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.505% (StdDev 1.01%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $24.35(0.29%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.34(0.33%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.36(0.25%)
To recent high   -6%
To recent low   3.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 0.33% (three month std-dev: 1.01%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_29_2008	25.04	24.36	24.34	24.35			24.42(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	3	-10000	4	1	0.02	41%	-0.08	-9.1	1.01%	0	0.8	45	0
2	Aug_28_2008	25.06	24.35	24.34	24.3			24.35(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-4	-10000	-1	-12	0.01	41%	-0.08	-30.3	1.01%	0	0	50	0
3	Aug_27_2008	25.08	24.35	24.34	24.31			24.32(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-4	-10000	-1	-12	0.01	40%	-0.04	12.1	1.01%	0	-0.5	46	0
4	Aug_26_2008	25.09	24.36	24.32	24.32			24.29(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-5	-10000	-2	-13	0.02	40%	-0.08	45.5	1.01%	0	-0.9	43	0
5	Aug_25_2008	25.11	24.36	24.33	24.34			24.37(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-1	-10000	2	-10	0.01	40%	-0.08	55.2	1.02%	0	0	48	0

6	Aug_22_2008	25.13	24.37	24.34	24.32			24.16(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-4	-10000	-1	-12	0.02	40%	-0.04	48.3	1.01%	0	-3	40	0
7	Aug_21_2008	25.14	24.38	24.34	24.32			24.39(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-3	-10000	0	-10	0.03	41%	-0.08	33.9	1.01%	0	0.1	54	0
8	Aug_20_2008	25.16	24.35	24.36	24.32			24.37(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-3	-10000	0	-10	0.01	41%	-0.08	15.4	1.01%	0	0.1	47	0
9	Aug_19_2008	25.18	24.35	24.36	24.33			24.39(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-1	-10000	1	-7	0.02	41%	-0.04	19.2	1.01%	0	0.3	52	0
10	Aug_18_2008	25.19	24.35	24.37	24.32			24.3(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-5	-10000	-3	-10	0.03	41%	-0.08	41	1.01%	0	-0.2	45	0

11	Aug_15_2008	25.21	24.35	24.39	24.36			24.21(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-3	-10000	-2	-4	0.1	42%	-0.08	54.9	1.01%	0	-0.6	43	0
12	Aug_14_2008	25.23	24.33	24.4	24.39			24.36(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-2	-10000	-2	-1	0.01	41%	-0.04	51.2	1.01%	0	0.2	48	0
13	Aug_13_2008	25.24	24.32	24.41	24.41			24.39(0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	4	-10000	-1	17	0.02	41%	-0.08	36.4	1.01%	0	0.3	75	0
14	Aug_12_2008	25.26	24.29	24.4	24.42			24.36(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	-10000	-1	30	0.03	41%	-0.04	19.3	1.01%	0	0.2	69	0
15	Aug_11_2008	25.27	24.25	24.41	24.43			24.5(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	-10000	2	33	0.02	41%	-0.04	5.8	1.01%	0	0.9	50	0

16	Aug_8_2008	25.28	24.22	24.41	24.43			24.35(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	8	-10000	0	30	0.03	41%	-0.04	-3.3	1.01%	0	0.4	48	0
17	Aug_7_2008	25.29	24.22	24.4	24.43			24.43(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	9	-10000	0	37	0.02	41%	-0.08	-7.3	1.01%	0	0.7	58	0
18	Aug_6_2008	25.31	24.22	24.34	24.41			24.46(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	-10000	2	28	0.01	41%	-0.04	-6.3	1.01%	0	0.7	55	0
19	Aug_5_2008	25.32	24.22	24.34	24.41			24.42(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	7	-10000	0	28	0.02	41%	-0.04	-3.1	1.01%	0	0.6	64	0
20	Aug_4_2008	25.33	24.22	24.28	24.41			24.4(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	-10000	0	49	0.02	41%	-0.04	-7.8	1.01%	0	0.5	66	0

21	Aug_1_2008	25.34	24.23	24.27	24.38			24.32(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	13	-10000	-2	58	0.03	40%	-0.08	-1.6	1.01%	0	0.3	55	0
22	Jul_31_2008	25.36	24.23	24.25	24.4			24.43(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	-10000	12	59	0.02	40%	-0.04	2.2	1.02%	0	0.5	49	0
23	Jul_30_2008	25.37	24.25	24.23	24.25			24.35(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	-10000	8	29	0.02	42%	-0.04	-11	1.02%	0	0.3	46	0
24	Jul_29_2008	25.38	24.24	24.16	24.25			24.41(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-2	-10000	0	-6	0.02	42%	-0.04	-26.5	1.03%	0	0.5	48	0
25	Jul_28_2008	25.39	24.26	24.08	24.15			24.39(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-7	-10000	-1	-26	0.02	42%		-23.6	1.03%	0	0.4	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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