Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PCY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jul. 30, 2008

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $24.3500 (-0.25%) ($24.2400 - $24.4100) on Wed. Jul. 30, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.02% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $24.3500(-0.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JNK(36%)    SPY(35%)    EEM(33%)    EWG(33%)    PEJ(33%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.51% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(2%)    TLT(8%)    GLD(13%)    USO(14%)    TIP(21%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.51% (StdDev 1.02%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $24.25(0.41%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.23(0.5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.25(0.41%)
To recent high   -6.6%
To recent low   3.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 1.36% (three month std-dev: 1.02%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_30_2008	25.37	24.25	24.23	24.25			24.35(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	-10000	8	29	0.02	42%	-0.04	-11	1.02%	0	0.3	46	0
2	Jul_29_2008	25.38	24.24	24.16	24.25			24.41(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-2	-10000	0	-6	0.02	42%	-0.04	-26.5	1.03%	0	0.5	48	0
3	Jul_28_2008	25.39	24.26	24.08	24.15			24.39(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-7	-10000	-1	-26	0.02	42%	-0.08	-23.6	1.03%	0	0.4	48	0
4	Jul_25_2008	25.41	24.26	24.04	24.16			24.4(2.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-5	-10000	5	-34	0.04	42%	-0.04	-36.8	1.03%	0	0.5	48	0
5	Jul_24_2008	25.42	24.24	24.03	24.1			23.71(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-20	-10000	-8	-57	0.16	36%	-0.08	-46.5	0.96%	0	-1.5	36	0

6	Jul_23_2008	25.44	24.29	24.12	24.19			23.82(-2.58%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1.1	-8	-10000	2	-38	0.11	36%	-0.04	-45	0.96%	0	-1.4	39	0
7	Jul_22_2008	25.45	24.33	24.19	24.17			24.45(0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	6	-10000	18	-31	0.05	39%	-0.08	-52.9	0.9%	0	0.4	55	0
8	Jul_21_2008	25.47	24.34	24.19	23.98			24.42(1.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-13	-10000	7	-72	0.06	41%	-0.04	-72.8	0.91%	0	0.2	44	0
9	Jul_18_2008	25.48	24.37	24.18	23.9			24.08(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-26	-10000	-7	-82	0.05	37%	-0.08	-70.4	0.89%	0	-0.8	52	0
10	Jul_17_2008	25.5	24.4	24.24	23.97			24.2(2.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-22	-10000	-7	-67	0.06	37%	-0.04	-67.9	0.9%	0	-0.5	48	0

11	Jul_16_2008	25.51	24.44	24.27	24.05			23.68(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-28	-10000	-16	-64	0.02	32%	-0.08	-64.4	0.85%	0	-1.9	40	0
12	Jul_15_2008	25.53	24.5	24.33	24.22			23.5(-2.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-28	-10000	-19	-53	0.12	32%	-0.08	-65.3	0.84%	0	-2.8	38	0
13	Jul_14_2008	25.55	24.58	24.46	24.41			24.02(-1.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-11	-10000	-9	-18	0.03	34%	-0.04	-72	0.81%	0	-1.9	41	0
14	Jul_11_2008	25.56	24.63	24.47	24.5			24.43(-0.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-11	-10000	-4	-30	0.02	37%	-0.04	-74.5	0.78%	0	-0.7	40	0
15	Jul_10_2008	25.57	24.66	24.48	24.54			24.63(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-7	-10000	1	-30	0.02	38%	-0.04	-78.9	0.78%	0	-0.1	48	0

16	Jul_9_2008	25.58	24.7	24.47	24.53			24.5(0.16%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-5	-10000	7	-41	0.04	38%	-0.04	-81.7	0.78%	0	-0.6	43	0
17	Jul_8_2008	25.59	24.74	24.48	24.46			24.46(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-21	-10000	-6	-67	0.02	38%	-0.08	-85.8	0.78%	0	-0.8	45	0
18	Jul_7_2008	25.61	24.79	24.51	24.52			24.48(-0.69%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-9	-10000	8	-59	0.03	40%	-0.08	-81	0.78%	0	-0.8	43	0
19	Jul_3_2008	25.63	24.83	24.56	24.44			24.65(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-16	-10000	4	-74	0.01	40%	-0.04	-83.2	0.78%	0	-0.4	45	0
20	Jul_2_2008	25.64	24.89	24.57	24.4			24.56(1.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-24	-10000	-1	-93	0.02	41%	-0.04	-79.3	0.78%	0	-0.7	42	0

21	Jul_1_2008	25.65	24.95	24.61	24.41			24.15(-2.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-35	-10000	-10	-110	0.03	37%	-0.08	-75	0.75%	0	-1.6	33	0
22	Jun_30_2008	25.67	25.04	24.69	24.5			24.77(2.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-29	-10000	1	-119	0.03	41%	-0.04	-69.1	0.68%	0	-0.5	37	0
23	Jun_27_2008	25.68	25.1	24.71	24.49			24.06(-1.6%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-68	-10000	-31	-179	0.02	32%	-0.04	-68.2	0.57%	0	-2	20	0
24	Jun_26_2008	25.69	25.2	24.81	24.71			24.45(-0.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-44	-10000	-9	-147	0.03	35%	-0.08	-62.1	0.53%	0	-1.5	28	0
25	Jun_25_2008	25.71	25.27	24.87	24.77			24.63(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-49	-10000	-11	-162	0.03	36%		-61.6	0.53%	0	-1.3	24	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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