Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PCY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jun. 19, 2008

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $24.7800 (-0.8%) ($24.7600 - $25.0100) on Thu. Jun. 19, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.47% (three month average)
RSI   16
Latest Price   $24.7800(-0.8%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY declines -1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JNK(36%)    SPY(34%)    EWG(33%)    PEJ(33%)    VWO(33%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.235% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(2%)    TLT(8%)    USO(13%)    GLD(13%)    TIP(21%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.235% (StdDev 0.47%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $21.82(-11.95%)
Resistance Level   $25.51
5 Day Moving Average   $24.93(-0.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.13(-1.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.51(-2.86%)
To recent high   -5.2%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 1.69% (three month std-dev: 0.47%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080719

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_19_2008	25.75	25.51	25.13	24.93			24.78(-0.8%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-70	-10000	-10	-249	0.02	34%	-0.08	-60.4	0.47%	0	-1.7	16	0
2	Jun_18_2008	25.77	25.57	25.22	24.99			24.98(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-71	-10000	-12	-246	0.03	36%	-0.04	-57.5	0.47%	0	-1.4	17	0
3	Jun_17_2008	25.78	25.62	25.31	25.06			24.88(-0.4%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-76	-10000	-21	-241	0.02	33%	-0.04	-57.2	0.46%	0	-1.9	18	0
4	Jun_16_2008	25.79	25.68	25.42	25.18			24.98(-0.16%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-61	-10000	-17	-194	0.02	33%	-0.04	-56.6	0.48%	0	-2	23	0
5	Jun_13_2008	25.8	25.73	25.52	25.28			25.02(-0.32%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-52	-10000	-12	-171	0.04	33%	0	-56.7	0.48%	0	-2.3	20	0

6	Jun_12_2008	25.8	25.77	25.62	25.35			25.1(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-57	-10000	-23	-159	0.06	33%	-0.04	-61.9	0.48%	0	-2.5	25	0
7	Jun_11_2008	25.81	25.81	25.71	25.49			25.32(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-47	-10000	-20	-129	0.02	36%	0	-64.7	0.47%	0	-2.2	27	0
8	Jun_10_2008	25.81	25.85	25.77	25.61			25.48(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.7	-37	-10000	-17	-98	0.04	38%	-0.04	-56.8	0.46%	0	-1.9	37	0
9	Jun_9_2008	25.82	25.88	25.81	25.71			25.48(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-32	-10000	-17	-76	0.06	38%	0	-43.9	0.46%	0	-2.4	35	0
10	Jun_6_2008	25.82	25.91	25.87	25.81			25.38(-1.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-3.1	-26	-10000	-18	-48	0.09	38%	-0.04	-31.5	0.46%	0	-3.8	33	0

11	Jun_5_2008	25.83	25.94	25.93	25.92			25.77(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-7	-10000	-7	-7	0.07	44%	0	-6.5	0.42%	0	-2.1	51	0
12	Jun_4_2008	25.83	25.95	25.96	25.92			25.93(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	5	-10000	0	21	0.05	47%	0	18.5	0.42%	0	-0.3	58	0
13	Jun_3_2008	25.83	25.96	25.96	25.96			25.99(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	9	-10000	6	18	0.06	47%	0	37	0.42%	0	0.4	49	0
14	Jun_2_2008	25.83	25.96	25.96	25.93			25.97(0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	-1	-10000	-2	2	0.04	47%	0	44.4	0.42%	0	0.3	45	0
15	May_30_2008	25.83	25.95	25.95	25.93			25.93(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	0	-10000	0	1	0.05	47%	0.04	55.6	0.43%	0	-0.3	46	0

16	May_29_2008	25.82	25.95	25.94	25.94			26(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-4	-10000	-2	-9	0.08	47%	0	48.4	0.43%	0	0.7	49	0
17	May_28_2008	25.82	25.94	25.94	25.94			25.91(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-5	-10000	0	-18	0.03	47%	0	54.8	0.43%	0	-0.4	43	0
18	May_27_2008	25.82	25.93	25.92	25.95			25.85(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-8	-10000	-4	-21	0.05	47%	0	33.3	0.43%	0	-0.8	44	0
19	May_23_2008	25.82	25.92	25.95	25.97			26.01(0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	2	-10000	4	-3	0.05	50%	0	28.3	0.43%	0	0.7	56	0
20	May_22_2008	25.82	25.92	25.94	25.95			25.94(-0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	2	-10000	4	-3	0.03	50%	0	34.8	0.43%	0	0.3	52	0

21	May_21_2008	25.82	25.91	25.94	25.93			26.03(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	7	-10000	9	1	0.13	50%	0	23.9	0.43%	0	1	62	0
22	May_20_2008	25.82	25.91	25.95	25.88			25.9(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-6	-10000	-4	-13	0.04	47%	-0.04	11.9	0.43%	0	0	49	0
23	May_19_2008	25.83	25.9	25.96	25.9			25.96(0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	-1	-10000	-4	8	0.02	41%	0.04	17.4	0.44%	0	0.5	64	0
24	May_16_2008	25.82	25.89	25.96	25.92			25.94(0.54%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	5	-10000	-3	27	0.04	41%	0	12	0.46%	0	0.4	65	0
25	May_15_2008	25.82	25.87	25.95	25.94			25.8(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	4	-10000	-7	35	0.04	37%		-4	0.46%	0	-0.5	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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