Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 11, 2008

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $25.5400 (0%) ($25.3800 - $25.5700) on Tue. Mar. 11, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.71% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $25.5400(0%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   PCY advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JNK(36%)    SPY(34%)    EWG(33%)    EEM(32%)    EWY(32%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.355% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(2%)    TLT(8%)    USO(13%)    GLD(13%)    TIP(21%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.355% (StdDev 0.71%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

Resistance Level   $25.62
5 Day Moving Average   $25.57(-0.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.58(-0.16%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.62(-0.31%)
To recent high   -3.4%
To recent low   0.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 0.62% (three month std-dev: 0.71%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080411

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_11_2008	25.84	25.62	25.58				25.54(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	4	-10000	0	14	0.05	52%	-0.04	-38.7	0.71%	0	-0.5	50	0
2	Mar_10_2008	25.85	25.63	25.57	25.57			25.54(0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	-10000	-4	5	0.06	55%	0	-39.4	0.73%	0	-0.5	43	0
3	Mar_7_2008	25.85	25.64	25.58	25.61			25.52(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-2	-10000	-2	-2	0.01	53%	0	-40.9	0.75%	0	-0.7	33	0
4	Mar_6_2008	25.85	25.66	25.57	25.63			25.58(-0.27%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-2	-10000	1	-12	0.03	53%	-0.04	-31.8	0.75%	0	-0.5	36	0
5	Mar_5_2008	25.86	25.67	25.55	25.62			25.65(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-5	-10000	2	-24	0.03	52%	0	-37.9	0.75%	0	-0.1	44	0

6	Mar_4_2008	25.86	25.68	25.54	25.6			25.57(-0.54%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-6	-10000	3	-33	0.03	52%	0	-41.4	0.75%	0	-0.6	45	0
7	Mar_3_2008	25.86	25.7	25.55	25.57			25.71(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-9	-10000	3	-43	0.03	52%	0	-45.7	0.75%	0	0.1	45	0
8	Feb_29_2008	25.86	25.7	25.58	25.54			25.65(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-6	-10000	5	-40	0.02	53%	0	-47.3	0.75%	0	-0.3	47	0
9	Feb_28_2008	25.86	25.71	25.61	25.49			25.54(-0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-11	-10000	2	-48	0.07	53%	0	-59.5	0.75%	0	-0.9	40	0
10	Feb_27_2008	25.86	25.74	25.63	25.49			25.55(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-14	-10000	0	-54	0.04	53%	-0.04	-57.7	0.75%	0	-0.9	40	0

11	Feb_26_2008	25.87	25.76	25.65	25.47			25.42(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-20	-10000	-6	-61	0.02	53%	0	-47.4	0.74%	0	-1.7	37	0
12	Feb_25_2008	25.87	25.78	25.69	25.53			25.56(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-21	-10000	-9	-56	0.04	53%	0	-44.3	0.74%	0	-1.2	36	0
13	Feb_22_2008	25.87	25.8	25.71	25.62			25.39(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-22	-10000	-13	-50	0.02	52%	-0.04	-32.9	0.74%	0	-2.3	28	0
14	Feb_21_2008	25.88	25.83	25.76	25.74			25.45(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-11	-10000	-7	-22	0.03	52%	0	-24.1	0.74%	0	-2.5	46	0
15	Feb_20_2008	25.88	25.83	25.81	25.81			25.54(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-7	-10000	-4	-14	0.02	50%	-0.04	-4	0.75%	0	-2.4	38	0

16	Feb_19_2008	25.89	25.85	25.84	25.85			25.71(-1.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-4	-10000	-3	-8	0.03	49%	0	-10.3	0.75%	0	-0.9	45	0
17	Feb_15_2008	25.89	25.85	25.84	25.88			26.02(0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	4	-10000	6	-1	0.02	50%	0	1.9	0.74%	0	1.1	52	0
18	Feb_14_2008	25.89	25.85	25.86	25.82			25.98(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-1	-10000	2	-11	0.04	52%	0	-3.7	0.74%	0	0.9	51	0
19	Feb_13_2008	25.89	25.85	25.82	25.82			25.81(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-5	-10000	0	-21	0.04	49%	0	-3.7	0.75%	0	-0.4	50	0
20	Feb_12_2008	25.89	25.85	25.84	25.8			25.75(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-6	-10000	-2	-19	0.03	51%	0	-3.7	0.76%	0	-0.8	43	0

21	Feb_11_2008	25.89	25.85	25.86	25.82			25.82(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-3	-10000	-3	-3	0.02	51%	0	0	0.77%	0	-0.3	63	0
22	Feb_8_2008	25.89	25.85	25.87	25.85			25.75(-0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-3	-10000	-4	1	0.06	51%	0	0	0.77%	0	-0.7	47	0
23	Feb_7_2008	25.89	25.85	25.87	25.89			25.85(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	5	-10000	3	10	0.04	51%	0	7.4	0.77%	0	-0.1	47	0
24	Feb_6_2008	25.89	25.85	25.89	25.86			25.85(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-3	-10000	-3	-4	0.03	51%	0	-7.4	0.77%	0	-0.1	47	0
25	Feb_5_2008	25.89	25.86	25.9	25.89			25.83(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-10000	-2	8	0.03	50%		-20.4	0.77%	0	-0.2	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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