Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PCY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Mar. 3, 2008

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $25.7100 (0.23%) ($25.6000 - $25.7500) on Mon. Mar. 3, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.75% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $25.7100(0.23%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JNK(36%)    SPY(34%)    EWG(33%)    EEM(32%)    EWY(32%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.375% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(2%)    TLT(8%)    USO(13%)    GLD(13%)    TIP(21%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.375% (StdDev 0.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.57(0.55%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.55(0.63%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.7(0.04%)
To recent high   -2.8%
To recent low   1.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 0.7% (three month std-dev: 0.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080403

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_3_2008	25.86	25.7	25.55	25.57			25.71(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-9	-10000	3	-43	0.03	52%	0	-45.7	0.75%	0	0.1	45	0
2	Feb_29_2008	25.86	25.7	25.58	25.54			25.65(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-6	-10000	5	-40	0.02	53%	0	-47.3	0.75%	0	-0.3	47	0
3	Feb_28_2008	25.86	25.71	25.61	25.49			25.54(-0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-11	-10000	2	-48	0.07	53%	0	-59.5	0.75%	0	-0.9	40	0
4	Feb_27_2008	25.86	25.74	25.63	25.49			25.55(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-14	-10000	0	-54	0.04	53%	-0.04	-57.7	0.75%	0	-0.9	40	0
5	Feb_26_2008	25.87	25.76	25.65	25.47			25.42(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-20	-10000	-6	-61	0.02	53%	0	-47.4	0.74%	0	-1.7	37	0

6	Feb_25_2008	25.87	25.78	25.69	25.53			25.56(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-21	-10000	-9	-56	0.04	53%	0	-44.3	0.74%	0	-1.2	36	0
7	Feb_22_2008	25.87	25.8	25.71	25.62			25.39(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-22	-10000	-13	-50	0.02	52%	-0.04	-32.9	0.74%	0	-2.3	28	0
8	Feb_21_2008	25.88	25.83	25.76	25.74			25.45(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-11	-10000	-7	-22	0.03	52%	0	-24.1	0.74%	0	-2.5	46	0
9	Feb_20_2008	25.88	25.83	25.81	25.81			25.54(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-7	-10000	-4	-14	0.02	50%	-0.04	-4	0.75%	0	-2.4	38	0
10	Feb_19_2008	25.89	25.85	25.84	25.85			25.71(-1.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-4	-10000	-3	-8	0.03	49%	0	-10.3	0.75%	0	-0.9	45	0

11	Feb_15_2008	25.89	25.85	25.84	25.88			26.02(0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	4	-10000	6	-1	0.02	50%	0	1.9	0.74%	0	1.1	52	0
12	Feb_14_2008	25.89	25.85	25.86	25.82			25.98(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-1	-10000	2	-11	0.04	52%	0	-3.7	0.74%	0	0.9	51	0
13	Feb_13_2008	25.89	25.85	25.82	25.82			25.81(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-5	-10000	0	-21	0.04	49%	0	-3.7	0.75%	0	-0.4	50	0
14	Feb_12_2008	25.89	25.85	25.84	25.8			25.75(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-6	-10000	-2	-19	0.03	51%	0	-3.7	0.76%	0	-0.8	43	0
15	Feb_11_2008	25.89	25.85	25.86	25.82			25.82(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-3	-10000	-3	-3	0.02	51%	0	0	0.77%	0	-0.3	63	0

16	Feb_8_2008	25.89	25.85	25.87	25.85			25.75(-0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-3	-10000	-4	1	0.06	51%	0	0	0.77%	0	-0.7	47	0
17	Feb_7_2008	25.89	25.85	25.87	25.89			25.85(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	5	-10000	3	10	0.04	51%	0	7.4	0.77%	0	-0.1	47	0
18	Feb_6_2008	25.89	25.85	25.89	25.86			25.85(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-3	-10000	-3	-4	0.03	51%	0	-7.4	0.77%	0	-0.1	47	0
19	Feb_5_2008	25.89	25.86	25.9	25.89			25.83(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-10000	-2	8	0.03	50%	-0.04	-20.4	0.77%	0	-0.2	52	0
20	Feb_4_2008	25.9	25.87	25.87	25.89			25.95(-0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	0	-10000	0	0	0.05	50%	0.04	-14.8	0.77%	0	0.6	52	0

21	Feb_1_2008	25.89	25.86	25.87	25.91			25.99(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	3	-10000	2	7	0.07	50%	0	-20.4	0.77%	0	0.9	56	0
22	Jan_31_2008	25.89	25.85	25.86	25.89			25.66(-1.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-1	-10000	-4	8	0.04	49%	-0.04	-24.1	0.75%	0	-1.4	48	0
23	Jan_30_2008	25.9	25.87	25.9	25.93			26.02(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	6	-10000	1	21	0.03	52%	0.04	-13	0.74%	0	1.1	54	0
24	Jan_29_2008	25.89	25.87	25.9	25.92			25.93(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	15	-10000	12	22	0.03	53%	0	1.9	0.74%	0	0.3	52	0
25	Jan_28_2008	25.89	25.89	25.87	25.81			25.93(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-1	-10000	-1	-1	0.05	53%		-15.1	0.74%	0	0.2	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.