Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PCY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jan. 2, 2008

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $26.0700 (-1.4%) ($26.0000 - $27.2100) on Wed. Jan. 2, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.63% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $26.0700(-1.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JNK(35%)    SPY(34%)    EWG(33%)    EEM(32%)    EWY(32%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.315% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(1%)    TLT(7%)    GLD(12%)    USO(13%)    TIP(20%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.315% (StdDev 0.63%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $26.04(0.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.95(0.46%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.87(0.77%)
To recent high   -1.4%
To recent low   2.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 0.81% (three month std-dev: 0.63%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_2_2008	25.91	25.87	25.95	26.04			26.07(-1.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	-10000	3	44	0.04	55%	0.04	42	0.63%	0	1	46	0
2	Dec_31_2007	25.9	25.86	25.9	26.02			26.44(2.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	20	-10000	14	37	0.28	59%	0.04	48.1	0.61%	0	2.9	62	0
3	Dec_28_2007	25.89	25.83	25.82	25.91			25.85(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-10000	-3	12	0.05	54%	-0.04	51.7	0.53%	0	0.1	59	0
4	Dec_27_2007	25.9	25.82	25.82	25.93			25.94(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	-10000	7	24	0.09	54%	0.04	53.4	0.54%	0	0.8	56	0
5	Dec_26_2007	25.89	25.8	25.81	25.88			25.92(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	10	-10000	6	21	0.03	54%	0	41.9	0.54%	0	0.8	54	0

6	Dec_24_2007	25.89	25.78	25.83	25.84			25.96(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	15	-10000	11	25	0.02	54%	0	29	0.55%	0	1.1	50	0
7	Dec_21_2007	25.89	25.76	25.82	25.76			25.89(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	6	-10000	7	2	0.03	54%	0	6.5	0.55%	0	0.8	50	0
8	Dec_20_2007	25.89	25.75	25.79	25.71			25.92(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-3	-10000	3	-20	0.01	54%	0	-21	0.56%	0	1.1	53	0
9	Dec_19_2007	25.89	25.74	25.76	25.69			25.7(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-13	-10000	-7	-29	0.01	51%	-0.04	-38.7	0.55%	0	-0.2	53	0
10	Dec_18_2007	25.9	25.73	25.77	25.74			25.73(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-13	-10000	-13	-12	0.03	51%	0	-40.3	0.55%	0	0	54	0

11	Dec_17_2007	25.9	25.74	25.79	25.83			25.55(-0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	-0	-10000	-8	23	0.02	49%	-0.04	-38.7	0.55%	0	-1.2	51	0
12	Dec_14_2007	25.91	25.76	25.82	25.89			25.64(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.6	15	-10000	3	51	0.02	49%	0	-32.3	0.55%	0	-0.8	53	0
13	Dec_13_2007	25.91	25.78	25.84	25.87			25.81(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	18	-10000	4	58	0.01	51%	-0.04	-28.4	0.55%	0	0.2	60	0
14	Dec_12_2007	25.92	25.78	25.82	25.84			25.99(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	-10000	6	53	0.03	54%	0.04	-25.9	0.55%	0	0.9	58	0
15	Dec_11_2007	25.91	25.78	25.78	25.8			26.17(1.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	18	-10000	9	45	0.05	56%	0	-37	0.54%	0	1.8	67	0

16	Dec_10_2007	25.91	25.8	25.73	25.74			25.82(1.06%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	3	-10000	-3	20	0.02	52%	0	-38.8	0.51%	0	0.1	49	0
17	Dec_7_2007	25.91	25.81	25.7	25.76			25.55(-0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-4	-10000	-8	8	0.01	47%	-0.04	-40.4	0.49%	0	-1.1	35	0
18	Dec_6_2007	25.92	25.83	25.7	25.81			25.69(-0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	2	-10000	3	-1	0.01	50%	0	-40.4	0.49%	0	-0.6	32	0
19	Dec_5_2007	25.92	25.85	25.71	25.79			25.75(-0.62%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-3	-10000	5	-27	0.02	50%	-0.04	-44.9	0.49%	0	-0.4	31	0
20	Dec_4_2007	25.93	25.87	25.69	25.76			25.91(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-6	-10000	9	-50	0.04	53%	0	-46.2	0.49%	0	0.2	47	0

21	Dec_3_2007	25.93	25.88	25.69	25.7			25.88(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-16	-10000	8	-89	0.02	53%	0	-53.8	0.49%	0	0	37	0
22	Nov_30_2007	25.93	25.9	25.68	25.65			25.8(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-20	-10000	9	-108	0.01	53%	-0.04	-52	0.5%	0	-0.4	44	0
23	Nov_29_2007	25.94	25.93	25.71	25.59			25.63(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-34	-10000	-3	-125	0.01	49%	0	-50	0.49%	0	-1.1	39	0
24	Nov_28_2007	25.94	25.96	25.77	25.59			25.6(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-29	-10000	0	-115	0.02	49%	-0.04	-43.3	0.5%	0	-1.3	37	0
25	Nov_27_2007	25.95	25.98	25.8	25.61			25.6(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-36	-10000	-6	-126	0.01	49%		-45	0.51%	0	-1.5	36	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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