Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 24, 2007

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $25.9600 (0.27%) ($25.7900 - $25.9800) on Mon. Dec. 24, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.55% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $25.9600(0.27%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JNK(35%)    SPY(34%)    EWG(33%)    EEM(32%)    EWY(32%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.275% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(1%)    TLT(7%)    GLD(12%)    USO(13%)    TIP(20%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.275% (StdDev 0.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.84(0.46%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.83(0.5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.78(0.7%)
To recent high   -1.4%
To recent low   1.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 0.62% (three month std-dev: 0.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080124

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_24_2007	25.89	25.78	25.83	25.84			25.96(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	15	-10000	11	25	0.02	54%	0	29	0.55%	0	1.1	50	0
2	Dec_21_2007	25.89	25.76	25.82	25.76			25.89(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	6	-10000	7	2	0.03	54%	0	6.5	0.55%	0	0.8	50	0
3	Dec_20_2007	25.89	25.75	25.79	25.71			25.92(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-3	-10000	3	-20	0.01	54%	0	-21	0.56%	0	1.1	53	0
4	Dec_19_2007	25.89	25.74	25.76	25.69			25.7(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-13	-10000	-7	-29	0.01	51%	-0.04	-38.7	0.55%	0	-0.2	53	0
5	Dec_18_2007	25.9	25.73	25.77	25.74			25.73(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-13	-10000	-13	-12	0.03	51%	0	-40.3	0.55%	0	0	54	0

6	Dec_17_2007	25.9	25.74	25.79	25.83			25.55(-0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	-0	-10000	-8	23	0.02	49%	-0.04	-38.7	0.55%	0	-1.2	51	0
7	Dec_14_2007	25.91	25.76	25.82	25.89			25.64(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.6	15	-10000	3	51	0.02	49%	0	-32.3	0.55%	0	-0.8	53	0
8	Dec_13_2007	25.91	25.78	25.84	25.87			25.81(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	18	-10000	4	58	0.01	51%	-0.04	-28.4	0.55%	0	0.2	60	0
9	Dec_12_2007	25.92	25.78	25.82	25.84			25.99(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	-10000	6	53	0.03	54%	0.04	-25.9	0.55%	0	0.9	58	0
10	Dec_11_2007	25.91	25.78	25.78	25.8			26.17(1.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	18	-10000	9	45	0.05	56%	0	-37	0.54%	0	1.8	67	0

11	Dec_10_2007	25.91	25.8	25.73	25.74			25.82(1.06%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	3	-10000	-3	20	0.02	52%	0	-38.8	0.51%	0	0.1	49	0
12	Dec_7_2007	25.91	25.81	25.7	25.76			25.55(-0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-4	-10000	-8	8	0.01	47%	-0.04	-40.4	0.49%	0	-1.1	35	0
13	Dec_6_2007	25.92	25.83	25.7	25.81			25.69(-0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	2	-10000	3	-1	0.01	50%	0	-40.4	0.49%	0	-0.6	32	0
14	Dec_5_2007	25.92	25.85	25.71	25.79			25.75(-0.62%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-3	-10000	5	-27	0.02	50%	-0.04	-44.9	0.49%	0	-0.4	31	0
15	Dec_4_2007	25.93	25.87	25.69	25.76			25.91(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-6	-10000	9	-50	0.04	53%	0	-46.2	0.49%	0	0.2	47	0

16	Dec_3_2007	25.93	25.88	25.69	25.7			25.88(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-16	-10000	8	-89	0.02	53%	0	-53.8	0.49%	0	0	37	0
17	Nov_30_2007	25.93	25.9	25.68	25.65			25.8(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-20	-10000	9	-108	0.01	53%	-0.04	-52	0.5%	0	-0.4	44	0
18	Nov_29_2007	25.94	25.93	25.71	25.59			25.63(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-34	-10000	-3	-125	0.01	49%	0	-50	0.49%	0	-1.1	39	0
19	Nov_28_2007	25.94	25.96	25.77	25.59			25.6(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-29	-10000	0	-115	0.02	49%	-0.04	-43.3	0.5%	0	-1.3	37	0
20	Nov_27_2007	25.95	25.98	25.8	25.61			25.6(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-36	-10000	-6	-126	0.01	49%	-0.08	-45	0.51%	0	-1.5	36	0

21	Nov_26_2007	25.97	26.01	25.87	25.65			25.6(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-37	-10000	-11	-113	0.03	49%	-0.04	-39.1	0.51%	0	-1.7	36	0
22	Nov_23_2007	25.98	26.04	25.92	25.72			25.54(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-41	-10000	-19	-108	0.01	49%	-0.04	-34.5	0.52%	0	-2.3	32	0
23	Nov_21_2007	25.99	26.06	25.97	25.85			25.7(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-33	-10000	-15	-88	0.01	53%	-0.04	-20.5	0.52%	0	-1.9	33	0
24	Nov_20_2007	26	26.08	26.02	25.95			25.59(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-26	-10000	-12	-68	0.02	53%	-0.08	-1.5	0.52%	0	-2.9	33	0
25	Nov_19_2007	26.02	26.1	26.08	26.03			25.82(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-24	-10000	-15	-50	0.03	58%		22.2	0.5%	0	-2	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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