Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 10, 2007

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $25.8200 (1.06%) ($25.7000 - $25.9100) on Mon. Dec. 10, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.51% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $25.8200(1.06%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(34%)    EWG(33%)    EEM(32%)    EWY(32%)    PEJ(32%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.255% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(1%)    JNK(4%)    TLT(8%)    GLD(12%)    USO(13%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.255% (StdDev 0.51%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.74(0.31%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.73(0.35%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.8(0.08%)
To recent high   -1.9%
To recent low   1.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 0.85% (three month std-dev: 0.51%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080110

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_10_2007	25.91	25.8	25.73	25.74			25.82(1.06%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	3	-10000	-3	20	0.02	52%	0	-38.8	0.51%	0	0.1	49	0
2	Dec_7_2007	25.91	25.81	25.7	25.76			25.55(-0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-4	-10000	-8	8	0.01	47%	-0.04	-40.4	0.49%	0	-1.1	35	0
3	Dec_6_2007	25.92	25.83	25.7	25.81			25.69(-0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	2	-10000	3	-1	0.01	50%	0	-40.4	0.49%	0	-0.6	32	0
4	Dec_5_2007	25.92	25.85	25.71	25.79			25.75(-0.62%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-3	-10000	5	-27	0.02	50%	-0.04	-44.9	0.49%	0	-0.4	31	0
5	Dec_4_2007	25.93	25.87	25.69	25.76			25.91(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-6	-10000	9	-50	0.04	53%	0	-46.2	0.49%	0	0.2	47	0

6	Dec_3_2007	25.93	25.88	25.69	25.7			25.88(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-16	-10000	8	-89	0.02	53%	0	-53.8	0.49%	0	0	37	0
7	Nov_30_2007	25.93	25.9	25.68	25.65			25.8(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-20	-10000	9	-108	0.01	53%	-0.04	-52	0.5%	0	-0.4	44	0
8	Nov_29_2007	25.94	25.93	25.71	25.59			25.63(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-34	-10000	-3	-125	0.01	49%	0	-50	0.49%	0	-1.1	39	0
9	Nov_28_2007	25.94	25.96	25.77	25.59			25.6(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-29	-10000	0	-115	0.02	49%	-0.04	-43.3	0.5%	0	-1.3	37	0
10	Nov_27_2007	25.95	25.98	25.8	25.61			25.6(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-36	-10000	-6	-126	0.01	49%	-0.08	-45	0.51%	0	-1.5	36	0

11	Nov_26_2007	25.97	26.01	25.87	25.65			25.6(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-37	-10000	-11	-113	0.03	49%	-0.04	-39.1	0.51%	0	-1.7	36	0
12	Nov_23_2007	25.98	26.04	25.92	25.72			25.54(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-41	-10000	-19	-108	0.01	49%	-0.04	-34.5	0.52%	0	-2.3	32	0
13	Nov_21_2007	25.99	26.06	25.97	25.85			25.7(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-33	-10000	-15	-88	0.01	53%	-0.04	-20.5	0.52%	0	-1.9	33	0
14	Nov_20_2007	26	26.08	26.02	25.95			25.59(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-26	-10000	-12	-68	0.02	53%	-0.08	-1.5	0.52%	0	-2.9	33	0
15	Nov_19_2007	26.02	26.1	26.08	26.03			25.82(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-24	-10000	-15	-50	0.03	58%	0	22.2	0.5%	0	-2	44	0

16	Nov_16_2007	26.02	26.1	26.11	26.13			25.95(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-8	-10000	-3	-23	0.05	62%	-0.04	52	0.5%	0	-1.2	45	0
17	Nov_15_2007	26.03	26.11	26.15	26.15			26.17(-0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	3	-10000	5	-3	0.05	69%	0.04	68	0.48%	0	0.5	56	0
18	Nov_14_2007	26.02	26.1	26.15	26.12			26.24(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	4	-10000	3	5	0.11	69%	0.04	64.8	0.48%	0	1	59	0
19	Nov_13_2007	26.01	26.08	26.16	26.1			25.97(-1.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-2	-10000	-5	9	0.02	64%	0	0	0.45%	0	-0.7	53	0
20	Nov_12_2007	26.01	26.07	26.18	26.13			26.3(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	13	-10000	6	34	0.08	81%	0.04	0	0.36%	0	1.4	63	0

21	Nov_9_2007	26	26.04	26.18	26.1			26.05(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	0	-10000	-12	36	0.02	76%	0	0	0.32%	0	0.1	61	0
22	Nov_8_2007	26	26.02	26.16	26.15			26.05(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	4	-10000	-14	56	0.05	76%	0	0	0.32%	0	0.2	54	0
23	Nov_7_2007	26	26.01	26.15	26.21			26.12(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	18	-10000	-5	86	0.01	76%	0.04	0	0.32%	0	0.6	60	0
24	Nov_6_2007	25.99	26.01	26.14	26.23			26.15(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-10000	2	1	0.02	76%	0.04	0	0.33%	0	130.8	65	0
25	Nov_5_2007	25.98	26.01	26.13	26.22			26.15(-0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	0	-10000	0	0	0.05	76%		0	0.34%	0	130.8	70	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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