Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 16, 2007

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $25.9500 (-0.84%) ($25.6500 - $26.2000) on Fri. Nov. 16, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.5% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $25.9500(-0.84%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(33%)    EWG(32%)    PEJ(32%)    EEM(31%)    EWI(31%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.25% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(2%)    TLT(8%)    GLD(12%)    USO(13%)    TIP(20%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.25% (StdDev 0.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

Resistance Level   $26.11
5 Day Moving Average   $26.13(-0.69%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.11(-0.61%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.11(-0.61%)
To recent high   -1.4%
To recent low   1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 0.5% (three month std-dev: 0.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20071216

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_16_2007	26.02		26.11	26.13			25.95(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-8	-10000	-3	-23	0.05	62%	-0.04	52	0.5%	0	-1.2	45	0
2	Nov_15_2007	26.03	26.11	26.15	26.15			26.17(-0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	3	-10000	5	-3	0.05	69%	0.04	68	0.48%	0	0.5	56	0
3	Nov_14_2007	26.02	26.1	26.15	26.12			26.24(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	4	-10000	3	5	0.11	69%	0.04	64.8	0.48%	0	1	59	0
4	Nov_13_2007	26.01	26.08	26.16	26.1			25.97(-1.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-2	-10000	-5	9	0.02	64%	0	0	0.45%	0	-0.7	53	0
5	Nov_12_2007	26.01	26.07	26.18	26.13			26.3(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	13	-10000	6	34	0.08	81%	0.04	0	0.36%	0	1.4	63	0

6	Nov_9_2007	26	26.04	26.18	26.1			26.05(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	0	-10000	-12	36	0.02	76%	0	0	0.32%	0	0.1	61	0
7	Nov_8_2007	26	26.02	26.16	26.15			26.05(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	4	-10000	-14	56	0.05	76%	0	0	0.32%	0	0.2	54	0
8	Nov_7_2007	26	26.01	26.15	26.21			26.12(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	18	-10000	-5	86	0.01	76%	0.04	0	0.32%	0	0.6	60	0
9	Nov_6_2007	25.99	26.01	26.14	26.23			26.15(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-10000	2	1	0.02	76%	0.04	0	0.33%	0	130.8	65	0
10	Nov_5_2007	25.98	26.01	26.13	26.23			26.15(-0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	0	-10000	0	0	0.05	76%	0.04	0	0.34%	0	130.8	70	0

11	Nov_2_2007	25.97	26.01	26.1	26.22			26.28(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	10	-10000	12	5	0.02	87%	0.08	0	0.31%	0	131.4	76	0
12	Nov_1_2007	25.95	26.01	26.07	26.17			26.33(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	15	-10000	17	7	0.02	87%	0.08	0	0.31%	0	138.6	79	0
13	Oct_31_2007	25.93	26.01	26.03	26.1			26.26(0.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	15	-10000	17	7	0.04	87%	0.12	0	0.32%	0	154.5	78	0
14	Oct_30_2007	25.9	26.01	25.99	26.03			26.09(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	3	-10000	3	1	0.05	84%	0.04	0	0.3%	0	173.9	50	0
15	Oct_29_2007	25.89	26.01	25.95	26.02			26.15(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	11	-10000	13	5	0.28	84%	0.08	0	0.29%	0	186.8	50	0

16	Oct_26_2007	25.87	26.01	25.91	26.02			26(0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	0	-10000	0	0	0.01	80%	0.08	0	0.27%	0	200	50	0
17	Oct_25_2007	25.85	26.01	25.88	25.97			25.98(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	3	-10000	3	1	0.02	80%	0.04	0	0.29%	0	199.8	50	0
18	Oct_24_2007	25.84	26.01	25.85	25.96			25.95(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	7	-10000	8	3	0	80%	0.04	0	0.3%	0	199.6	50	0
19	Oct_23_2007	25.83	26.01	25.85	25.93			26.01(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	-10000	16	6	0.09	80%	0.08	0	0.29%	0	200.1	50	0
20	Oct_22_2007	25.81	26.01	25.85	25.87			25.89(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	-10000	10	4	0.01	74%	0.08	0	0.29%	0	215.8	50	0

21	Oct_19_2007	25.79	26.01	25.85	25.83			26(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	20	-10000	23	9	0.01	100%	0.12	0	0.2%	0	216.7	50	0
22	Oct_18_2007	25.76	26.01	25.85	25.77			25.93(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	13	-10000	15	6	0.02	100%	0.12	0	0.22%	0	288.1	50	0
23	Oct_17_2007	25.73	26.01	25.85	25.73			25.84(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	1859	-10000	2187	875	0.05	100%	0.12	0	0.23%	0	430.7	50	0
24	Oct_16_2007	25.7	26.01	25.85	20.56			25.7(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	28331	-10000	33330	13332	0	100%	0	0	0.02%	0	0	50	0
25	Oct_15_2007	25.7	26.01	25.85	15.42			25.7(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	42500	-10000	50000	20000	0	100%		0	0.02%	0	0	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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