Trading Signals: PCAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 20, 2016

Trading Signals: PCAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(PACCAR Inc)
PCAR latest price $54.4935 (1.06%) ($54.1225 - $54.7123) on Tue. Sep. 20, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.79% (three month average)
RSI   28
Latest Price   $54.4935(1.06%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PCAR advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCAR declines -2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCAR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(62%)    IWD(62%)    SDY(61%)    XLI(61%)    IWN(59%)
Factors Impacting PCAR price   PCAR will decline at least -0.895% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-21%)    VIXM(-13%)    UUP(-11%)    IGOV(-5%)    SHY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.895% (StdDev 1.79%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $49.36(-9.42%)
Resistance Level   $55.36
5 Day Moving Average   $54.07(0.78%)
10 Day Moving Average   $54.11(0.71%)
20 Day Moving Average   $55.36(-1.57%)
To recent high   -5.3%
To recent low   17.7%
Market Cap   $18.844b

PACCAR, Inc. is a global technology company, which engages in the design and manufacture of light, medium, and heavy-duty trucks. It operates through the following segments: Truck, Parts, Financial Services, and Other. The Truck segment designs and manufactures heavy, medium, and light duty diesel trucks which are marketed under the Kenworth, Peterbilt, and DAF brands. The Parts segment distributes aftermarket parts for trucks and related commercial vehicles. The Financial Services segment provides finance and leasing products; and services provided to truck customers and dealers. The Other segment covers the manufacturing and marketing of industrial winches. The company was founded by William Pigott Sr. in 1905 and is headquartered in Bellevue, WA.

$. PCAR price fluctuates within 2.6% (three month std-dev: 1.79%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161020

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_20_2016	53.16	55.36	54.11	54.07			54.49(1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-14	-10000	4	-67	3.26	50%	-0.02	-44.6	1.79%	0	-0.6	28	0
2	Sep_19_2016	53.17	55.48	54.15	53.9			53.92(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-24	-10000	-2	-89	1.68	50%	-0.02	-44.5	1.79%	0	-1.1	25	0
3	Sep_16_2016	53.18	55.64	54.37	53.99			53.82(-0.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-21	-10000	2	-89	3.21	50%	-0.06	-37.5	1.79%	0	-1.3	29	0
4	Sep_15_2016	53.21	55.79	54.64	53.91			54.16(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-26	-10000	-2	-97	2.75	50%	-0.06	-36.1	1.79%	0	-1.2	30	0
5	Sep_14_2016	53.24	55.9	54.9	54.01			53.98(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-26	-10000	-3	-96	1.53	50%	-0.02	-31.5	1.79%	0	-1.4	30	0

6	Sep_13_2016	53.25	56.01	55.24	54.15			53.62(-1.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-27	-10000	-6	-91	1.67	50%	0.02	-26.9	1.79%	0	-1.9	26	0
7	Sep_12_2016	53.24	56.14	55.62	54.43			54.39(1.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-27	-10000	-8	-83	2.28	50%	0.02	-19.5	1.78%	0	-1.6	30	0
8	Sep_9_2016	53.23	56.19	55.88	54.82			53.38(-2.38%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-28	-10000	-13	-74	2.29	43%	0	-10.4	1.79%	0	-2.6	18	0
9	Sep_8_2016	53.23	56.29	56.26	55.48			54.68(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-19	-10000	-9	-50	2.8	46%	0.04	11.1	1.77%	0	-1.8	31	0
10	Sep_7_2016	53.21	56.32	56.49	55.93			54.69(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-17	-10000	-11	-34	5	46%	0.04	26.6	1.78%	0	-1.8	38	0

11	Sep_6_2016	53.19	56.35	56.75	56.5			55.03(-2.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-9	-10000	-9	-9	4.05	48%	0.04	46.8	1.78%	0	-1.5	44	0
12	Sep_2_2016	53.17	56.37	56.96	56.96			56.33(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	2	-10000	-3	15	2.53	48%	0.08	58.1	1.78%	0	-0	59	0
13	Sep_1_2016	53.13	56.3	57.04	57.09			56.65(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	7	-10000	-1	31	1.87	48%	0.08	52.8	1.78%	0	0.4	75	0
14	Aug_31_2016	53.09	56.19	57.05	57.16			56.93(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	11	-10000	0	43	1.22	48%	0.13	48.6	1.78%	0	0.7	75	0
15	Aug_30_2016	53.02	56.09	56.98	57.14			57.56(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	15	-10000	2	52	1.67	48%	0.15	42.2	1.77%	0	1.4	86	0

16	Aug_29_2016	52.94	55.94	56.83	57.05			57.35(0.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	15	-10000	1	55	1.14	48%	0.13	40.1	1.79%	0	1.4	86	0
17	Aug_26_2016	52.87	55.84	56.7	56.98			56.94(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	15	-10000	-0	59	1.19	48%	0.15	53.3	1.78%	0	1.2	79	0
18	Aug_25_2016	52.79	55.78	56.51	56.99			57.01(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	16	-10000	1	62	0.85	51%	0.13	75.2	1.78%	0	1.4	82	0
19	Aug_24_2016	52.72	55.7	56.32	56.92			56.84(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	-10000	3	65	1.2	52%	0.13	97.4	1.81%	0	1.3	84	0
20	Aug_23_2016	52.65	55.65	56.13	56.79			57.1(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	19	-10000	4	63	1.14	52%	0.13	120.5	1.82%	0	1.8	79	0

21	Aug_22_2016	52.58	55.55	55.91	56.57			57(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	-10000	4	58	1.69	52%	0.1	123.5	1.82%	0	1.6	77	0
22	Aug_19_2016	52.53	55.35	55.71	56.37			57.01(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	19	-10000	8	52	2.45	49%	0.11	105.6	1.82%	0	1.5	64	0
23	Aug_18_2016	52.47	55.12	55.5	55.95			56.64(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	-10000	6	32	1.58	47%	0.1	90	1.87%	0	1.2	55	0
24	Aug_17_2016	52.42	54.88	55.26	55.64			56.21(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	8	-10000	5	16	1.55	47%	0.1	80.2	1.89%	0	1	56	0
25	Aug_16_2016	52.37	54.68	55.11	55.38			56.02(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	3	-10000	4	1	2.63	49%		69.1	1.89%	0	0.9	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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