Trading Signals: PCAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 21, 2016

Trading Signals: PCAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(PACCAR Inc)
PCAR latest price $43.0102 (1.06%) ($42.2027 - $43.5829) on Thu. Jan. 21, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.89% (three month average)
RSI   31
Latest Price   $43.0102(1.06%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PCAR advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCAR declines -2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCAR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(63%)    IWD(63%)    SDY(62%)    XLI(62%)    IWN(60%)
Factors Impacting PCAR price   PCAR will decline at least -0.945% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    VIXM(-17%)    UUP(-12%)    IGOV(-5%)    SHY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.945% (StdDev 1.89%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

Resistance Level   $43.63
5 Day Moving Average   $42.66(0.82%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.52(1.15%)
20 Day Moving Average   $43.63(-1.42%)
To recent high   -13.6%
To recent low   3.4%
Market Cap   $14.873b

PACCAR, Inc. is a global technology company, which engages in the design and manufacture of light, medium, and heavy-duty trucks. It operates through the following segments: Truck, Parts, Financial Services, and Other. The Truck segment designs and manufactures heavy, medium, and light duty diesel trucks which are marketed under the Kenworth, Peterbilt, and DAF brands. The Parts segment distributes aftermarket parts for trucks and related commercial vehicles. The Financial Services segment provides finance and leasing products; and services provided to truck customers and dealers. The Other segment covers the manufacturing and marketing of industrial winches. The company was founded by William Pigott Sr. in 1905 and is headquartered in Bellevue, WA.

$. PCAR price fluctuates within 2.77% (three month std-dev: 1.89%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160221

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_21_2016	47.01		42.52	42.66			43.01(1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-10	-10000	7	-59	3	47%	-0.21	-13	1.89%	0	-0.5	31	0
2	Jan_20_2016	47.11	43.63	42.63	42.38			42.56(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-20	-10000	1	-81	4.07	47%	-0.19	-19.5	1.89%	0	-0.8	25	0
3	Jan_19_2016	47.2	43.64	42.79	42.35			42.28(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-23	-10000	-1	-89	2.39	47%	-0.4	-22.6	1.9%	0	-1.1	27	0
4	Jan_15_2016	47.39	43.67	42.98	42.39			42.54(-0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-23	-10000	1	-96	3.23	45%	-0.25	-29.1	1.89%	0	-0.9	26	0
5	Jan_14_2016	47.51	43.74	43.17	42.37			42.92(3.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-27	-10000	-0	-106	3.14	45%	-0.21	-32.2	1.89%	0	-0.7	26	0

6	Jan_13_2016	47.61	43.78	43.37	42.38			41.59(-1.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-39	-10000	-14	-113	2.65	41%	-0.19	-34.3	1.85%	0	-1.8	28	0
7	Jan_12_2016	47.7	43.88	43.75	42.92			42.43(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-26	-10000	-9	-76	1.64	42%	-0.19	-30.6	1.84%	0	-1.3	50	0
8	Jan_11_2016	47.79	43.93	44.02	43.29			42.47(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.8	-18	-10000	-9	-44	2.62	42%	-0.23	-32.1	1.84%	0	-1.4	55	0
9	Jan_8_2016	47.9	44.04	44.33	43.66			42.47(-1.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-11	-10000	-10	-12	2.8	42%	-0.27	-23.7	1.85%	0	-1.5	53	0
10	Jan_7_2016	48.03	44.15	44.66	44.06			42.95(-3.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-4	-10000	-10	16	2.96	44%	-0.29	-23.9	1.85%	0	-1.2	47	0

11	Jan_6_2016	48.17	44.21	44.85	44.49			44.3(0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	-10000	-6	43	2.86	47%	-0.29	-26	1.83%	0	0.1	56	0
12	Jan_5_2016	48.31	44.23	44.74	44.72			44.29(0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	10	-10000	-4	52	2.16	51%	-0.27	-32.1	1.83%	0	0.1	58	0
13	Jan_4_2016	48.44	44.28	44.58	44.87			44.28(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	9	-10000	-6	53	2.88	51%	-0.45	-36.7	1.91%	0	0	59	0
14	Dec_31_2015	48.66	44.29	44.44	45.11			44.5(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	8	-10000	-6	51	1.33	51%	-0.25	-41.5	1.92%	0	0.2	50	0
15	Dec_30_2015	48.78	44.38	44.38	45.35			45.09(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	17	-10000	2	61	1.07	51%	-0.25	-31.9	1.91%	0	0.6	53	0

16	Dec_29_2015	48.9	44.46	44.23	45.25			45.42(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	-10000	11	59	1.36	51%	-0.27	-30.3	1.91%	0	0.8	57	0
17	Dec_28_2015	49.03	44.54	44.01	44.76			45.07(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	-10000	13	32	1.39	49%	-0.41	-35.7	1.91%	0	0.4	51	0
18	Dec_24_2015	49.23	44.63	43.81	44.23			45.49(-0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	10	-10000	14	-3	0.72	47%	-0.24	-41	1.94%	0	0.6	48	0
19	Dec_23_2015	49.35	44.69	43.69	43.66			45.68(2.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	0	-10000	9	-27	2.42	47%	-0.24	-48.7	1.94%	0	0.6	55	0
20	Dec_22_2015	49.47	44.73	43.54	43.3			44.59(3.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-11	-10000	5	-58	2.73	42%	-0.28	-50.3	1.92%	0	-0.1	39	0

21	Dec_21_2015	49.61	44.84	43.48	43.11			42.97(1.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-23	-10000	-1	-89	2.95	39%	-0.3	-49.6	1.88%	0	-1.1	28	0
22	Dec_18_2015	49.76	45.03	43.64	43.17			42.4(-0.62%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-29	-10000	-3	-106	5.24	37%	-0.34	-46.3	1.87%	0	-1.6	23	0
23	Dec_17_2015	49.93	45.25	43.94	43.31			42.66(-2.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-36	-10000	-9	-115	2.89	36%	-0.32	-44.7	1.89%	0	-1.6	25	0
24	Dec_16_2015	50.09	45.47	44.13	43.68			43.86(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-32	-10000	-3	-117	2.74	38%	-0.3	-40.3	1.87%	0	-1.1	30	0
25	Dec_15_2015	50.24	45.56	44.39	43.81			43.64(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-31	-10000	-3	-115	2.38	40%		-43.6	1.87%	0	-1.4	30	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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