Trading Signals: PCAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PCAR: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Oct. 23, 2015

Trading Signals: PCAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(PACCAR Inc)
PCAR latest price $49.7615 (1.71%) ($48.7454 - $49.9338) on Fri. Oct. 23, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.62% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $49.7615(1.71%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PCAR advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCAR declines -1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCAR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(63%)    IWD(63%)    XLI(62%)    SDY(61%)    IWN(60%)
Factors Impacting PCAR price   PCAR will decline at least -0.81% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    VIXM(-18%)    UUP(-10%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.81% (StdDev 1.62%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $48.42(2.77%)
10 Day Moving Average   $48.52(2.56%)
20 Day Moving Average   $48.52(2.56%)
To recent high   -16.1%
To recent low   6.2%
Market Cap   $17.208b

PACCAR, Inc. is a global technology company, which engages in the design and manufacture of light, medium, and heavy-duty trucks. It operates through the following segments: Truck, Parts, Financial Services, and Other. The Truck segment designs and manufactures heavy, medium, and light duty diesel trucks which are marketed under the Kenworth, Peterbilt, and DAF brands. The Parts segment distributes aftermarket parts for trucks and related commercial vehicles. The Financial Services segment provides finance and leasing products; and services provided to truck customers and dealers. The Other segment covers the manufacturing and marketing of industrial winches. The company was founded by William Pigott Sr. in 1905 and is headquartered in Bellevue, WA.

$. PCAR price fluctuates within 2.27% (three month std-dev: 1.62%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151123

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_23_2015	54.53	48.52	48.52	48.42			49.76(1.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-3	-10000	11	-46	3.02	39%	-0.15	-27.8	1.62%	0	1.1	53	0
2	Oct_22_2015	54.61	48.44	48.53	47.99			48.93(2.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-11	-10000	2	-49	2.68	38%	-0.16	-50.2	1.6%	0	0.4	61	0
3	Oct_21_2015	54.7	48.46	48.68	47.91			47.87(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-10	-10000	-3	-30	2.52	35%	-0.2	-63.2	1.57%	0	-0.5	59	0
4	Oct_20_2015	54.81	48.55	48.88	48.01			48.1(1.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-5	-10000	-4	-8	3.3	35%	-0.18	-72.2	1.57%	0	-0.4	57	0
5	Oct_19_2015	54.91	48.64	48.99	48.17			47.41(-0.51%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-7	-10000	-12	8	2.82	35%	-0.18	-72.2	1.56%	0	-1	53	0

6	Oct_16_2015	55.01	48.83	49.19	48.64			47.66(-1.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	1	-10000	-13	44	4.39	34%	-0.2	-62.5	1.57%	0	-0.9	57	0
7	Oct_15_2015	55.12	49	49.18	49.14			48.52(0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	7	-10000	-11	62	2.35	35%	-0.22	-50.3	1.56%	0	-0.3	53	0
8	Oct_14_2015	55.24	49.17	49.05	49.56			48.36(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	11	-10000	-8	66	1.87	35%	-0.18	-36.8	1.56%	0	-0.5	45	0
9	Oct_13_2015	55.34	49.4	48.97	49.88			48.91(-1.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	16	-10000	-1	66	2.18	37%	-0.13	-27.2	1.56%	0	-0.3	44	0
10	Oct_12_2015	55.41	49.58	48.83	49.91			49.77(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	15	-10000	3	51	1.48	39%	-0.18	-24.9	1.58%	0	0.1	47	0

11	Oct_9_2015	55.51	49.67	48.56	49.8			50.15(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	-10000	15	21	1.93	39%	-0.16	-25.3	1.58%	0	0.2	42	0
12	Oct_8_2015	55.6	49.76	48.35	49.22			50.62(1.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	9	-10000	20	-23	1.89	37%	-0.16	-34.2	1.58%	0	0.4	45	0
13	Oct_7_2015	55.69	49.81	48.19	48.47			49.94(1.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-9	-10000	14	-78	3.23	37%	-0.16	-44.9	1.59%	0	0.1	35	0
14	Oct_6_2015	55.78	49.9	48.14	47.94			49.07(-0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-25	-10000	9	-128	2.21	35%	-0.2	-50.4	1.57%	0	-0.4	28	0
15	Oct_5_2015	55.89	50.06	48.2	47.6			49.22(4.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-32	-10000	12	-163	2.82	35%	-0.2	-56.9	1.57%	0	-0.4	30	0

16	Oct_2_2015	56	50.17	48.37	47.15			47.23(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-56	-10000	-6	-206	6.36	30%	-0.23	-67.1	1.48%	0	-1.4	27	0
17	Oct_1_2015	56.13	50.45	48.74	47.35			46.87(-0.98%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-64	-10000	-15	-211	2.84	30%	-0.25	-70.2	1.48%	0	-1.7	23	0
18	Sep_30_2015	56.27	50.76	49.28	47.87			47.33(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-58	-10000	-14	-188	3.31	30%	-0.21	-68.8	1.48%	0	-1.7	25	0
19	Sep_29_2015	56.39	50.99	49.86	48.38			47.37(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-51	-10000	-14	-161	3.28	29%	-0.23	-66.3	1.48%	0	-2	25	0
20	Sep_28_2015	56.52	51.31	50.41	48.89			46.97(-2.61%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-52	-10000	-23	-139	3.52	29%	-0.23	-58.3	1.5%	0	-2.6	22	0

21	Sep_25_2015	56.65	51.67	50.92	49.76			48.23(-2.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-37	-10000	-15	-102	3.46	30%	-0.19	-50.2	1.47%	0	-2.5	32	0
22	Sep_24_2015	56.76	51.97	51.34	50.33			49.43(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-33	-10000	-16	-83	2.9	32%	-0.16	-48.5	1.45%	0	-2	32	0
23	Sep_23_2015	56.85	52.15	51.61	50.92			49.88(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-30	-10000	-18	-65	2.23	32%	-0.16	-55.9	1.45%	0	-2.1	33	0
24	Sep_22_2015	56.94	52.21	51.85	51.58			49.93(-2.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-20	-10000	-16	-33	2.44	32%	-0.18	-70.8	1.45%	0	-2.2	42	0
25	Sep_21_2015	57.04	52.29	52.1	52.17			51.3(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-4	-10000	-2	-11	1.43	33%		-91.4	1.42%	0	-1.1	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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