Trading Signals: PCAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jul. 7, 2014

Trading Signals: PCAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(PACCAR Inc)
PCAR latest price $57.9350 (-1.92%) ($57.9087 - $58.9803) on Mon. Jul. 7, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.25% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $57.9350(-1.92%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PCAR advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCAR advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCAR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLI(63%)    SPY(61%)    IWM(60%)    XLF(60%)    XLB(59%)
Factors Impacting PCAR price   PCAR will decline at least -0.625% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    VIXM(-23%)    UUP(-7%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.625% (StdDev 1.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $56.79(2.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $56.34(2.83%)
20 Day Moving Average   $56.22(3.05%)
To recent high   -1.9%
To recent low   7.8%
Market Cap   $20.034b

PACCAR, Inc. is a global technology company, which engages in the design and manufacture of light, medium, and heavy-duty trucks. It operates through the following segments: Truck, Parts, Financial Services, and Other. The Truck segment designs and manufactures heavy, medium, and light duty diesel trucks which are marketed under the Kenworth, Peterbilt, and DAF brands. The Parts segment distributes aftermarket parts for trucks and related commercial vehicles. The Financial Services segment provides finance and leasing products; and services provided to truck customers and dealers. The Other segment covers the manufacturing and marketing of industrial winches. The company was founded by William Pigott Sr. in 1905 and is headquartered in Bellevue, WA.

$. PCAR price fluctuates within 1.64% (three month std-dev: 1.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140807

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_7_2014	56.55	56.22	56.34	56.79			57.94(-1.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	22	-10000	15	41	2.11	49%	0.02	25	1.25%	0	1.9	66	0
2	Jul_3_2014	56.54	56.15	56.18	56.25			59.07(5.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	3.4	21	-10000	20	25	3.71	46%	0.07	16.4	1.26%	0	3.6	76	0
3	Jul_2_2014	56.5	55.99	56.18	56.25			56.02(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-2	-10000	0	-8	1.22	33%	-0.02	-7.9	1.07%	0	0.1	61	0
4	Jul_1_2014	56.51	55.99	55.87	55.56			55.74(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-3	-10000	-1	-10	1.62	33%	-0.02	-12.1	1.07%	0	-0.5	45	0
5	Jun_30_2014	56.52	55.97	55.88	55.59			55.19(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-10	-10000	-7	-19	1.25	36%	-0.04	-15.4	1.07%	0	-1.5	33	0

6	Jun_27_2014	56.54	55.99	55.94	55.8			55.25(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-12	-10000	-9	-20	6.2	36%	-0.04	-2.3	1.08%	0	-1.5	30	0
7	Jun_26_2014	56.56	56.02	55.98	56.06			55.6(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-9	-10000	-6	-16	1.51	34%	-0.02	21.4	1.08%	0	-0.9	36	0
8	Jun_25_2014	56.57	56.02	55.96	56.06			56.01(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-3	-10000	0	-13	1.24	38%	-0.02	43.9	1.1%	0	-0	49	0
9	Jun_24_2014	56.58	56.03	55.97	56.23			55.91(-0.58%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.7	-1	-10000	1	-8	1.4	38%	-0.02	65.9	1.12%	0	-0.3	54	0
10	Jun_23_2014	56.59	56.04	56.04	56.21			56.24(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	3	-10000	4	1	0.88	38%	0	78.6	1.12%	0	0.4	57	0

11	Jun_20_2014	56.59	56	56.11	56.08			56.55(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	7	-10000	6	8	2.37	38%	0	81.8	1.12%	0	1.1	61	0
12	Jun_19_2014	56.59	55.91	56.12	55.89			56.42(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	7	-10000	7	8	1.64	38%	-0.02	72.4	1.12%	0	0.9	58	0
13	Jun_18_2014	56.6	55.83	56.09	55.66			56.04(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-2	-10000	-1	-3	1.45	40%	0	58.9	1.12%	0	0.4	54	0
14	Jun_17_2014	56.6	55.73	56.09	55.68			55.79(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-6	-10000	-5	-7	1.88	45%	-0.04	40.3	1.13%	0	0.1	47	0
15	Jun_16_2014	56.62	55.68	56.09	55.85			55.63(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-8	-10000	-9	-5	1.53	45%	-0.02	37.5	1.17%	0	-0.1	44	0

16	Jun_13_2014	56.63	55.6	56.05	56.14			55.59(0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-2	-10000	-7	12	1.02	45%	-0.04	38.6	1.18%	0	-0	55	0
17	Jun_12_2014	56.65	55.52	56.06	56.38			55.26(-1.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	5	-10000	-5	33	1.19	45%	-0.04	36.1	1.19%	0	-0.3	58	0
18	Jun_11_2014	56.67	55.48	56.12	56.56			56.16(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	16	-10000	3	56	0.86	47%	-0.02	37.7	1.18%	0	0.7	68	0
19	Jun_10_2014	56.68	55.44	56.11	56.45			56.64(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	-10000	6	70	0.99	47%	0	38	1.18%	0	1.3	78	0
20	Jun_9_2014	56.68	55.39	56.06	56.26			57.05(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	26	-10000	9	76	1.62	47%	0.02	35.5	1.19%	0	1.8	72	0

21	Jun_6_2014	56.67	55.27	55.88	55.95			56.81(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	23	-10000	7	72	1.4	47%	0	25.7	1.2%	0	1.8	75	0
22	Jun_5_2014	56.67	55.18	55.68	55.72			56.17(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	20	-10000	3	69	0.9	47%	-0.02	14.7	1.2%	0	1.3	73	0
23	Jun_4_2014	56.68	55.12	55.53	55.63			55.6(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	14	-10000	-3	65	0.96	47%	-0.04	6.1	1.2%	0	0.7	62	0
24	Jun_3_2014	56.7	55.08	55.37	55.72			55.66(0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	13	-10000	-3	59	2.15	47%	-0.04	5.4	1.21%	0	0.8	50	0
25	Jun_2_2014	56.72	55.06	55.27	55.84			55.51(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	15	-10000	1	56	1.09	47%		-3.1	1.22%	0	0.6	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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