Trading Signals: PBI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Mar. 16, 2009

Trading Signals: PBI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Pitney Bowes Inc.)
PBI latest price $21.0400 (4.16%) ($20.4200 - $21.4300) on Mon. Mar. 16, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.89% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $21.0400(4.16%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PBI advances 3.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PBI advances 2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PBI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(27%)    SPY(26%)    EEM(24%)    EWI(24%)    VWO(24%)
Factors Impacting PBI price   PBI will decline at least -1.445% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-12%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-5%)    LQD(-2%)    GLD(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.445% (StdDev 2.89%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $19.96(5.41%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.07(10.33%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.57(7.51%)
To recent high   -22.4%
To recent low   18.4%
Market Cap   $3.61b

Pitney Bowes, Inc. is a technology company, which engages in the provision of products and solutions in the commerce industry. It operates through the following segments: Global Ecommerce, Presort Services, and SendTech Solutions. The Global Ecommerce segment includes products and services that facilitate domestic retail and ecommerce shipping solutions, including fulfillment and returns, and global cross-border ecommerce transactions. The Presort Services segment includes sortation services to qualify large volumes of first class mail, marketing mail and bound and packet mail for postal worksharing discounts. The SendTech Solutions segment includes physical and digital mailing and shipping solutions, financing, services, supplies and other applications to help simplify and save on the sending, tracking and receiving of letters and packages. The company was founded by Arthur H. Pitney and Walter Bowes on April 23, 1920 and is headquartered in Stamford, CT.

$. PBI price fluctuates within 6.44% (three month std-dev: 2.89%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.22%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 9.92%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 5.07%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090416

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_16_2009	23.09	19.57	19.07	19.96	20.03	20.53	21.04(4.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	43	190	38	59	3.35	54%	-0.04	-60.1	2.89%	0	1.2	54	0
2	Mar_13_2009	23.1	19.64	18.79	19.31	19.42	20.03	20.2(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	24	240	30	6	1.4	51%	-0.09	-69.6	2.93%	0	0.4	53	0
3	Mar_12_2009	23.12	19.76	18.68	18.87	18.83	19.54	20.22(3.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	17	260	33	-32	2.01	51%	-0.09	-68.9	2.95%	0	0.3	46	0
4	Mar_11_2009	23.14	19.9	18.58	18.43	18.39	18.81	19.5(3.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-5	150	20	-80	2.78	49%	-0.17	-67.5	2.92%	0	-0.2	38	0
5	Mar_10_2009	23.18	20.08	18.57	18.27	18.39	18.12	18.84(6.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-20	-30	11	-114	2.38	46%	-0.22	-63.3	2.9%	0	-0.6	31	0

6	Mar_9_2009	23.23	20.36	18.67	18.06	18.14	17.97	17.77(-1.39%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-48	-50	-10	-161	2.8	40%	-0.17	-55	2.79%	0	-1.2	20	0
7	Mar_6_2009	23.27	20.68	18.85	18.2	18.23	18.17	18.02(-0.06%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-57	-20	-14	-187	3.64	40%	-0.26	-49.2	2.77%	0	-1.2	19	0
8	Mar_5_2009	23.33	20.93	19.1	18.45	18.41	18.32	18.03(-3.58%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-59	-40	-14	-195	2.93	45%	-0.3	-48.1	2.79%	0	-1.4	18	0
9	Mar_4_2009	23.4	21.17	19.41	18.75	18.68	18.28	18.7(5.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-59	-160	-14	-194	3.03	44%	-0.34	-48.8	2.85%	0	-1.2	19	0
10	Mar_3_2009	23.48	21.38	19.7	18.93	19.01	18.5	17.78(-3.68%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-76	-180	-31	-209	3.86	39%	-0.38	-47.9	2.83%	0	-1.8	8	0

11	Mar_2_2009	23.57	21.61	20.14	19.38	19.39	19.08	18.46(-4.3%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-65	-110	-18	-204	2.81	46%	-0.21	-48.4	2.81%	0	-1.8	7	0
12	Feb_27_2009	23.62	21.81	20.57	19.59	19.62	19.51	19.29(-1.23%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-57	-30	-14	-185	2.62	42%	-0.25	-50.5	3.07%	0	-1.6	16	0
13	Feb_26_2009	23.68	22.01	20.95	19.85	19.82	19.71	19.53(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-54	-40	-14	-173	2.07	42%	-0.34	-48.7	3.09%	0	-1.6	30	0
14	Feb_25_2009	23.76	22.21	21.32	20.19	20.08	19.73	19.6(-2.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-55	-140	-21	-157	3.03	42%	-0.38	-45.1	3.09%	0	-1.8	35	0
15	Feb_24_2009	23.85	22.36	21.71	20.61	20.53	19.93	20.01(2.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-54	-220	-27	-136	2.41	47%	-0.46	-42.5	3.08%	0	-1.8	35	0

16	Feb_23_2009	23.96	22.5	22.18	21.04	21.08	20.44	19.52(-5.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-51	-210	-35	-98	2.28	47%	-0.54	-47.9	3.18%	0	-2.6	39	0
17	Feb_20_2009	24.09	22.66	22.66	21.7	21.61	21.13	20.58(-3.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-35	-170	-29	-53	3.01	51%	-0.54	-52.2	3.17%	0	-2.3	42	0
18	Feb_19_2009	24.22	22.77	22.93	22.21	22.16	21.71	21.22(-2.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-23	-150	-21	-28	2.15	48%	-0.49	-55.9	3.2%	0	-2	40	0
19	Feb_18_2009	24.34	22.86	23.08	22.62	22.53	22.09	21.73(-1.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-20	-150	-21	-15	1.77	48%	-0.49	-61.7	3.25%	0	-1.6	42	0
20	Feb_17_2009	24.46	22.92	23.2	22.98	22.9	22.6	22.13(-3.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-18	-100	-24	2	3.12	48%	-0.77	-72.6	3.26%	0	-1.2	50	0

21	Feb_13_2009	24.65	23.06	23.21	23.51	23.36	22.97	22.85(-1.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-4	-140	-14	27	1.81	48%	-0.48	-53.3	3.28%	0	-0.3	55	0
22	Feb_12_2009	24.77	23.15	23.21	23.77	23.79	23.2	23.13(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	3	-170	-10	40	1.89	47%	-0.44	-52.3	3.36%	0	-0	57	0
23	Feb_11_2009	24.88	23.22	23.17	23.75	24.03	23.75	23.27(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	8	-50	-4	45	1.97	44%	-0.44	-57.9	3.39%	0	0.1	56	0
24	Feb_10_2009	24.99	23.31	23.16	23.6	23.85	24.38	23.54(-4.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	190	8	46	2.57	44%	-0.44	-62.8	3.46%	0	0.2	55	0
25	Feb_9_2009	25.1	23.41	23.06	23.44	23.51	24.31	24.75(2.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	38	250	34	49	2.79	46%		-60.4	3.41%	0	1.1	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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