Trading Signals: PAYX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Feb. 8, 2016

Trading Signals: PAYX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Paychex Inc)
PAYX latest price $42.4970 (-0.49%) ($41.6073 - $42.6151) on Mon. Feb. 8, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.36% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $42.4970(-0.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PAYX declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PAYX advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PAYX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(77%)    IVE(76%)    IWD(76%)    SDY(75%)    IVW(73%)
Factors Impacting PAYX price   PAYX will decline at least -0.68% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    VIXM(-21%)    UUP(-13%)    GDXJ(-6%)    IPO(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.68% (StdDev 1.36%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

Resistance Level   $42.82
5 Day Moving Average   $43.26(-1.76%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.11(-1.42%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.82(-0.75%)
To recent high   -13.2%
To recent low   1.8%
Market Cap   $15.248b

Paychex, Inc. engages in the provision of human capital management solutions for payroll, human resource, insurance, and retirement for small and medium sized businesses. Its solutions include payroll services, hiring services, business insurance, time and attendance, employee benefits, finance and payments, human resources services, and startup services. The company was founded by Blase Thomas Golisano in 1971 and is headquartered in Rochester, NY.

$. PAYX price fluctuates within 1.45% (three month std-dev: 1.36%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160308

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_8_2016	45.52	42.82	43.11	43.26			42.5(-0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-0	-10000	-9	26	3.94	40%	0.02	-57.9	1.36%	0	-0.5	50	0
2	Feb_5_2016	45.51	42.84	43.14	43.54			42.71(-1.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	9	-10000	-5	50	3.7	41%	0.02	-80	1.36%	0	-0.2	56	0
3	Feb_4_2016	45.5	42.88	43.2	43.69			43.52(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	26	-10000	10	73	3.02	43%	0.07	-105.4	1.36%	0	1	56	0
4	Feb_3_2016	45.47	42.97	43.12	43.41			43.67(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	-10000	9	67	4.93	43%	0.04	-101	1.36%	0	0.8	62	0
5	Feb_2_2016	45.45	43.08	42.95	43.14			43.9(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	17	-10000	7	45	6.97	43%	0.09	-92.8	1.36%	0	0.7	56	0

6	Feb_1_2016	45.41	43.18	42.83	42.94			43.9(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	15	-10000	8	35	3.46	43%	0.07	-90.6	1.36%	0	0.5	56	0
7	Jan_29_2016	45.38	43.34	42.63	42.7			43.45(3.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	4	-10000	1	12	4.15	43%	0.07	-97.2	1.35%	0	0.1	53	0
8	Jan_28_2016	45.35	43.56	42.54	42.68			42.15(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-3	-10000	-4	-1	2.84	39%	0.04	-78	1.29%	0	-0.8	41	0
9	Jan_27_2016	45.33	43.88	42.51	42.78			42.3(-1.47%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-6	-10000	2	-31	2.58	39%	0.04	-62.1	1.29%	0	-0.8	32	0
10	Jan_26_2016	45.31	44.17	42.55	42.71			42.93(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-17	-10000	1	-72	1.99	40%	-0.07	-54	1.28%	0	-0.6	31	0

11	Jan_25_2016	45.34	44.43	42.51	42.67			42.66(-1.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-25	-10000	4	-110	2.09	40%	0.07	-50.3	1.28%	0	-0.7	30	0
12	Jan_22_2016	45.31	44.72	42.51	42.55			43.36(1.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-37	-10000	6	-165	4.05	45%	0.09	-51.8	1.27%	0	-0.6	27	0
13	Jan_21_2016	45.27	44.91	42.52	42.39			42.64(1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-50	-10000	7	-219	4.44	43%	0.07	-51.6	1.29%	0	-0.9	21	0
14	Jan_20_2016	45.24	45.15	42.8	42.21			41.97(-1.79%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-71	-10000	-5	-268	4.22	41%	0.07	-52.5	1.27%	0	-1.2	15	0
15	Jan_19_2016	45.21	45.42	43.21	42.35			42.74(1.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-71	-10000	0	-282	4.06	43%	0.2	-52.5	1.26%	0	-1	20	0

16	Jan_15_2016	45.12	45.69	43.55	42.34			42.02(-1.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-83	-10000	-6	-314	3.38	40%	0.02	-54.7	1.23%	0	-1.4	14	0
17	Jan_14_2016	45.11	46.03	44.09	42.49			42.58(2.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-86	-10000	-8	-320	2.89	42%	0.07	-54.4	1.22%	0	-1.4	15	0
18	Jan_13_2016	45.08	46.3	44.65	42.69			41.73(-2.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-103	-10000	-31	-318	3.97	38%	0.09	-55.1	1.2%	0	-1.9	20	0
19	Jan_12_2016	45.04	46.61	45.35	43.49			42.7(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-88	-10000	-28	-268	5.21	41%	0.07	-53.7	1.17%	0	-1.9	23	0
20	Jan_11_2016	45.01	46.85	45.93	44.21			42.67(-0.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-76	-10000	-29	-217	5.28	41%	0.04	-53.4	1.17%	0	-2.2	24	0

21	Jan_8_2016	44.99	47.12	46.52	44.96			42.79(-1.8%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-71	-10000	-36	-175	5.43	41%	0.02	-50.1	1.17%	0	-2.7	22	0
22	Jan_7_2016	44.98	47.39	47.13	45.92			43.58(-4.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.9	-57	-10000	-35	-122	7.59	47%	0	-47.5	1.16%	0	-3.1	22	0
23	Jan_6_2016	44.98	47.63	47.55	46.88			45.69(-1.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-38	-10000	-26	-73	2.52	54%	0.07	-42	1.03%	0	-2.3	38	0
24	Jan_5_2016	44.95	47.77	47.74	47.51			46.35(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-21	-10000	-17	-31	2.92	60%	0.07	-30.6	1.01%	0	-2.1	44	0
25	Jan_4_2016	44.92	47.87	47.85	47.92			46.38(-2.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.5	-12	-10000	-16	0	3.02	60%		-18.1	1.03%	0	-2.4	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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