Trading Signals: PAYX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 17, 2015

Trading Signals: PAYX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Paychex Inc)
PAYX latest price $47.9837 (-0.06%) ($47.3269 - $48.1007) on Tue. Nov. 17, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.4% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $47.9837(-0.06%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PAYX advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PAYX advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PAYX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(77%)    IVE(76%)    IWD(76%)    SDY(75%)    IVW(73%)
Factors Impacting PAYX price   PAYX will decline at least -0.7% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-23%)    TLT(-23%)    UUP(-11%)    GDXJ(-6%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.7% (StdDev 1.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $47.7(0.59%)
10 Day Moving Average   $47.53(0.95%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.95(2.2%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   25.3%
Market Cap   $17.217b

Paychex, Inc. engages in the provision of human capital management solutions for payroll, human resource, insurance, and retirement for small and medium sized businesses. Its solutions include payroll services, hiring services, business insurance, time and attendance, employee benefits, finance and payments, human resources services, and startup services. The company was founded by Blase Thomas Golisano in 1971 and is headquartered in Rochester, NY.

$. PAYX price fluctuates within 1.79% (three month std-dev: 1.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151217

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_17_2015	42.97	46.95	47.53	47.7			47.98(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	-10000	1	51	2.21	60%	0.14	87.7	1.4%	0	1.2	68	0
2	Nov_16_2015	42.91	46.81	47.39	47.66			48.01(1.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-10000	3	51	2.27	60%	0.14	86.7	1.4%	0	1.4	70	0
3	Nov_13_2015	42.85	46.66	47.26	47.55			47.11(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	10	-10000	-2	47	2.35	58%	0.09	81.5	1.38%	0	0.5	61	0
4	Nov_12_2015	42.81	46.55	47.2	47.63			47.55(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	16	-10000	2	56	2	58%	0.12	78.1	1.37%	0	1	74	0
5	Nov_11_2015	42.76	46.41	47.1	47.57			47.84(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	21	-10000	7	61	1.8	58%	0.12	71.9	1.37%	0	1.3	82	0

6	Nov_10_2015	42.71	46.23	46.98	47.33			47.79(0.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	22	-10000	8	64	1.76	59%	0.12	66.7	1.37%	0	1.5	88	0
7	Nov_9_2015	42.66	46.06	46.84	47.08			47.44(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	-10000	5	64	2.09	59%	0.12	67.9	1.38%	0	1.3	84	0
8	Nov_6_2015	42.61	45.93	46.75	46.93			47.51(0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	23	-10000	7	72	2.43	57%	0.12	73.4	1.37%	0	1.6	84	0
9	Nov_5_2015	42.56	45.78	46.61	46.71			47.27(1.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	21	-10000	4	72	2.89	59%	0.12	80.5	1.39%	0	1.6	85	0
10	Nov_4_2015	42.51	45.65	46.49	46.71			46.63(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	20	-10000	0	78	1.54	57%	0.09	86.9	1.39%	0	1	84	0

11	Nov_3_2015	42.47	45.53	46.33	46.57			46.55(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	21	-10000	0	85	2.07	60%	0.12	88.4	1.39%	0	1	85	0
12	Nov_2_2015	42.42	45.37	46.18	46.56			46.71(0.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	24	-10000	1	91	1.25	60%	0.09	95.3	1.41%	0	1.3	82	0
13	Oct_30_2015	42.38	45.21	46.02	46.53			46.41(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	24	-10000	1	93	2.25	60%	0.09	100	1.41%	0	1.1	69	0
14	Oct_29_2015	42.34	45.02	45.87	46.49			46.57(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	-10000	3	96	1.55	60%	0.09	100.4	1.41%	0	1.3	74	0
15	Oct_28_2015	42.3	44.85	45.67	46.39			46.63(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	-10000	11	95	2.6	60%	0.09	103	1.41%	0	1.5	75	0

16	Oct_27_2015	42.26	44.64	45.43	46.04			46.49(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	-10000	9	78	2.27	60%	0.09	88.9	1.41%	0	1.4	78	0
17	Oct_26_2015	42.22	44.38	45.22	45.74			46.54(0.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	25	-10000	9	74	2.25	60%	0.09	77.3	1.41%	0	1.5	83	0
18	Oct_23_2015	42.18	44.1	45.04	45.44			46.22(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	25	-10000	9	71	2.42	56%	0.09	70.1	1.42%	0	1.5	79	0
19	Oct_22_2015	42.14	43.87	44.88	45.16			46.05(2.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	27	-10000	10	76	3.62	56%	0.07	65.8	1.43%	0	1.5	82	0
20	Oct_21_2015	42.11	43.63	44.72	44.85			44.9(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	22	-10000	4	74	1.83	54%	0.02	60.7	1.4%	0	0.9	72	0

21	Oct_20_2015	42.1	43.46	44.64	44.72			44.99(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	-10000	4	83	1.6	54%	0.02	56.9	1.4%	0	1	76	0
22	Oct_19_2015	42.09	43.27	44.49	44.6			45.04(0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	25	-10000	1	98	1.93	54%	0.05	56.4	1.4%	0	1.2	83	0
23	Oct_16_2015	42.07	43.1	44.33	44.58			44.83(0.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	31	-10000	1	122	1.86	53%	0.02	61.4	1.41%	0	1.2	83	0
24	Oct_15_2015	42.06	42.93	44.12	44.55			44.51(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	33	-10000	-0	133	1.8	52%	0	65.7	1.4%	0	1.1	71	0
25	Oct_14_2015	42.06	42.78	43.97	44.56			44.22(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	38	-10000	0	152	1.48	52%		71.9	1.41%	0	1.1	72	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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