Trading Signals: PAYX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 9, 2015

Trading Signals: PAYX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Paychex Inc)
PAYX latest price $41.9515 (0.23%) ($41.8630 - $42.5706) on Thu. Jul. 9, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.8% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $41.9515(0.23%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PAYX advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PAYX declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PAYX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(77%)    IVE(76%)    VYM(73%)    VT(70%)    IWM(68%)
Factors Impacting PAYX price   PAYX will decline at least -0.4% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-25%)    TLT(-24%)    UUP(-9%)    GDXJ(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.4% (StdDev 0.8%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

Resistance Level   $42.32
5 Day Moving Average   $42.2(-0.59%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.08(-0.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.32(-0.87%)
To recent high   -5.8%
To recent low   1.4%
Market Cap   $15.052b

Paychex, Inc. engages in the provision of human capital management solutions for payroll, human resource, insurance, and retirement for small and medium sized businesses. Its solutions include payroll services, hiring services, business insurance, time and attendance, employee benefits, finance and payments, human resources services, and startup services. The company was founded by Blase Thomas Golisano in 1971 and is headquartered in Rochester, NY.

$. PAYX price fluctuates within 1.11% (three month std-dev: 0.8%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150809

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_9_2015	43.26	42.32	42.08	42.2			41.95(0.23%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-12	-10000	1	-50	1.92	46%	-0.05	-18	0.8%	0	-0.8	43	0
2	Jul_8_2015	43.28	42.35	42.14	42.18			41.85(-1.44%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.7	-8	-10000	5	-46	2.08	46%	0	-27.5	0.8%	0	-1.1	47	0
3	Jul_7_2015	43.28	42.35	42.27	42.1			42.46(-0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	1	-10000	13	-37	2.94	49%	-0.02	-46.2	0.79%	0	0.2	53	0
4	Jul_6_2015	43.29	42.37	42.32	41.89			42.61(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.6	-10	-10000	2	-46	3.09	49%	0	-71.7	0.78%	0	0.5	57	0
5	Jul_2_2015	43.29	42.38	42.31	41.86			42.14(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-18	-10000	-6	-52	3	46%	0	-83	0.77%	0	-0.5	47	0

6	Jul_1_2015	43.29	42.4	42.36	41.96			41.85(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-18	-10000	-9	-44	4.25	46%	0	-81.9	0.77%	0	-1.1	41	0
7	Jun_30_2015	43.29	42.47	42.41	42.11			41.47(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-26	-10000	-21	-39	3.01	43%	0	-77.5	0.76%	0	-2	39	0
8	Jun_29_2015	43.29	42.57	42.5	42.45			41.39(-2.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-17	-10000	-21	-5	2.11	43%	-0.02	-60.8	0.77%	0	-2.3	44	0
9	Jun_26_2015	43.3	42.69	42.5	42.8			42.45(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	8	-10000	-1	35	1.68	54%	0.02	-49.1	0.72%	0	-0.5	50	0
10	Jun_25_2015	43.29	42.75	42.5	42.8			42.66(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	8	-10000	0	31	1.74	43%	0.02	-50	0.72%	0	-0.2	47	0

11	Jun_24_2015	43.28	42.8	42.5	42.82			42.58(-1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	9	-10000	3	28	1.35	43%	0.05	-50.7	0.88%	0	-0.4	50	0
12	Jun_23_2015	43.26	42.87	42.58	42.76			43.16(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	11	-10000	10	14	1.24	46%	0.07	-56.4	0.86%	0	0.5	45	0
13	Jun_22_2015	43.23	42.89	42.48	42.57			43.15(1.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	4	-10000	12	-21	1.81	46%	0.07	-70.4	0.87%	0	0.4	44	0
14	Jun_19_2015	43.2	42.93	42.41	42.34			42.54(-0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-16	-10000	1	-66	2.45	41%	0.05	-74.7	0.85%	0	-0.6	34	0
15	Jun_18_2015	43.18	43.02	42.43	42.34			42.67(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-21	-10000	0	-83	1.8	41%	0.05	-67.1	0.85%	0	-0.5	34	0

16	Jun_17_2015	43.16	43.1	42.42	42.32			42.27(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-28	-10000	-3	-104	1	37%	0.02	-56.9	0.85%	0	-1.1	27	0
17	Jun_16_2015	43.15	43.21	42.52	42.38			42.2(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-28	-10000	0	-110	1.06	45%	0	-47.6	0.84%	0	-1.2	24	0
18	Jun_15_2015	43.15	43.32	42.64	42.37			42(-1.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-31	-10000	-5	-110	1.7	45%	0	-43.2	0.89%	0	-1.7	29	0
19	Jun_12_2015	43.15	43.43	42.81	42.47			42.45(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-30	-10000	-4	-109	1.59	55%	0.02	-39.9	0.88%	0	-1.3	28	0
20	Jun_11_2015	43.14	43.51	42.93	42.55			42.68(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-27	-10000	0	-107	2.31	55%	0.02	-32.1	0.94%	0	-1.1	26	0

21	Jun_10_2015	43.13	43.55	43.04	42.54			42.54(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-36	-10000	-8	-121	1.82	55%	0.02	-32.3	0.94%	0	-1.4	24	0
22	Jun_9_2015	43.12	43.6	43.18	42.7			42.18(-0.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-40	-10000	-13	-120	1.97	55%	-0.02	-26.5	0.93%	0	-2.2	17	0
23	Jun_8_2015	43.13	43.67	43.34	42.96			42.5(-0.77%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-37	-10000	-12	-110	1.21	55%	0.05	-17.3	0.93%	0	-2	24	0
24	Jun_5_2015	43.11	43.72	43.5	43.2			42.84(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-29	-10000	-8	-90	2.46	55%	0.05	-1.7	0.93%	0	-1.7	34	0
25	Jun_4_2015	43.09	43.75	43.66	43.37			42.62(-1.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-28	-10000	-12	-76	2.15	52%		15.2	0.93%	0	-2.3	28	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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