Trading Signals: PAYX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PAYX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Nov. 10, 2014

Trading Signals: PAYX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Paychex Inc)
PAYX latest price $41.3496 (0.36%) ($41.1494 - $41.4192) on Mon. Nov. 10, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.9% (three month average)
RSI   91
Latest Price   $41.3496(0.36%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PAYX advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PAYX advances 3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PAYX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(77%)    VT(70%)    IWM(68%)    XLI(68%)    XLK(68%)
Factors Impacting PAYX price   PAYX will decline at least -0.45% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-26%)    TLT(-24%)    UUP(-8%)    IGOV(-5%)    GDXJ(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.45% (StdDev 0.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.34(0.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.85(1.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.6(4.42%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   15.7%
Market Cap   $14.836b

Paychex, Inc. engages in the provision of human capital management solutions for payroll, human resource, insurance, and retirement for small and medium sized businesses. Its solutions include payroll services, hiring services, business insurance, time and attendance, employee benefits, finance and payments, human resources services, and startup services. The company was founded by Blase Thomas Golisano in 1971 and is headquartered in Rochester, NY.

$. PAYX price fluctuates within 3.86% (three month std-dev: 0.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141210

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_10_2014	36.97	39.6	40.85	41.34			41.35(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	53	-10000	4	199	1.72	67%	0.16	61.7	0.9%	0	1.1	91	0
2	Nov_7_2014	36.91	39.4	40.67	41.26			41.2(-0.5%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	-0	57	-10000	4	217	3.49	70%	0.16	57.5	0.93%	0	1.2	93	0
3	Nov_6_2014	36.85	39.22	40.48	41.19			41.41(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	71	-10000	13	246	3.09	70%	0.16	56	0.93%	0	1.5	97	0
4	Nov_5_2014	36.79	39.03	40.23	40.94			41.58(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	80	-10000	20	258	2.68	68%	0.19	56.5	0.93%	0	1.8	0	0
5	Nov_4_2014	36.72	38.86	39.93	40.57			41.13(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	74	-10000	15	250	3.44	67%	0.16	56.6	0.93%	0	1.8	0	0

6	Nov_3_2014	36.66	38.68	39.67	40.29			40.97(0.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	73	-10000	15	245	2.26	67%	0.14	54.9	0.93%	0	2	88	0
7	Oct_31_2014	36.61	38.55	39.36	40			40.86(1.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	71	-10000	17	231	3.23	64%	0.16	55.4	0.93%	0	2.2	89	0
8	Oct_30_2014	36.55	38.41	39.02	39.68			40.17(1.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	63	-10000	15	207	2.42	62%	0.16	55.6	0.93%	0	2	84	0
9	Oct_29_2014	36.49	38.26	38.73	39.41			39.71(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	54	-10000	12	178	1.62	59%	0.11	50.9	0.92%	0	1.8	73	0
10	Oct_28_2014	36.45	38.15	38.48	39.19			39.71(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	45	-10000	13	141	2.54	59%	0.14	45.9	0.93%	0	2.1	64	0

11	Oct_27_2014	36.4	38.06	38.26	38.96			39.51(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	45	-10000	20	121	1.52	59%	0.11	53.8	0.93%	0	2.2	66	0
12	Oct_24_2014	36.36	37.99	38.04	38.61			39.27(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	32	-10000	19	70	1.29	61%	0.11	57.8	0.93%	0	2.3	54	0
13	Oct_23_2014	36.32	37.92	37.85	38.27			38.86(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	21	-10000	19	26	1.93	59%	0.11	55.9	0.93%	0	2	54	0
14	Oct_22_2014	36.28	37.85	37.73	37.94			38.6(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	13	-10000	17	1	2.18	59%	0.11	47.4	0.93%	0	1.7	61	0
15	Oct_21_2014	36.24	37.81	37.68	37.65			38.57(2.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	4	-10000	11	-18	2.2	59%	0.11	37	0.93%	0	1.6	59	0

16	Oct_20_2014	36.2	37.72	37.6	37.46			37.77(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-8	-10000	5	-45	1.76	56%	0.06	30	0.9%	0	0.1	46	0
17	Oct_17_2014	36.18	37.67	37.67	37.37			37.55(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-12	-10000	1	-49	2.11	55%	0.06	27.4	0.91%	0	-0.2	44	0
18	Oct_16_2014	36.16	37.67	37.74	37.36			37.2(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	-10000	-8	-50	2.41	54%	0.08	34.1	0.92%	0	-0.9	43	0
19	Oct_15_2014	36.13	37.65	37.77	37.49			37.17(-1.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-21	-10000	-13	-46	3.77	54%	0.06	45.9	0.92%	0	-0.9	46	0
20	Oct_14_2014	36.11	37.63	37.81	37.71			37.59(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	-10000	-4	-27	2.68	56%	0.03	53.9	0.91%	0	-0.1	48	0

21	Oct_13_2014	36.1	37.57	37.87	37.77			37.36(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-11	-10000	-14	-2	2.42	56%	0.08	52.8	0.91%	0	-0.3	59	0
22	Oct_10_2014	36.07	37.53	37.96	38.01			37.48(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	5	-10000	-9	48	2.16	56%	0.06	56.8	0.91%	0	-0.1	60	0
23	Oct_9_2014	36.05	37.47	38.01	38.17			37.84(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	25	-10000	5	85	2.6	58%	0.11	58.6	0.9%	0	0.5	58	0
24	Oct_8_2014	36.01	37.4	38	38.08			38.28(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	-10000	9	91	2.81	62%	0.08	52.1	0.89%	0	1.1	61	0
25	Oct_7_2014	35.98	37.3	37.96	37.93			37.88(-1.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	21	-10000	-3	92	1.95	61%		47.4	0.89%	0	0.7	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.