Trading Signals: PASG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 16, 2020

Trading Signals: PASG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 28, 2020 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Passage Bio)
PASG latest price $28.0000 (3.7%) ($27.1600 - $28.2250) on Tue. Jun. 16, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.83% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $28.0000(3.7%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PASG advances 2.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PASG advances 5.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PASG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(54%)    ARKG(47%)    IBB(47%)    IWO(47%)    ARKK(45%)
Factors Impacting PASG price   PASG will decline at least -3.415% in a week (0% probabilities).
VXX(-29%)    VIXM(-28%)    UUP(-19%)    TLT(-7%)    UNG(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.415% (StdDev 6.83%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.54(9.63%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.05(11.78%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.08(16.28%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   216%
Market Cap   $1.26b

$. PASG price fluctuates within 6.89% (three month std-dev: 6.83%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 29 Average positive next day return: 3.88%(48%) Average negative next day return: -3.88%(52%) Sample size 29 Average positive next three day return: 4.49%(45%) Average negative next three day return: -5.58%(55%) Sample size 29 Average positive next weekly return: 4.77%(55%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.26%(45%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200716

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_16_2020	19.2	24.08	25.05	25.54	25.36	26.63	28(3.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	32	330	22	61	0.17	55%	0.63	63	6.83%	0	2.4	66	-1
2	Jun_15_2020	19.08	23.75	24.62	24.91	24.73	25.02	27(9.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	19	60	13	37	0.3	55%	0.58	61.5	8.13%	0	2.2	57	-1.3
3	Jun_12_2020	18.97	23.45	24.11	24.3	24.44	24.1	24.61(6.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	4	-80	1	14	0.24	46%	0.42	58.2	8.13%	0	0.9	50	-1.4
4	Jun_11_2020	18.89	23.33	23.86	24.04	24.35	24.45	23.09(-7.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-6	70	-8	1	0.11	46%	0.27	64.6	8.23%	0	-0.2	48	-2.6
5	Jun_10_2020	18.84	23.27	23.87	24.58	24.53	24.78	25(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	7	70	4	17	0.14	46%	0.48	84.8	8.17%	0	1.2	62	0.9

6	Jun_9_2020	18.75	23.08	23.66	24.46	24.53	24.25	24.87(3.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	7	-80	2	20	0.11	43%	0.48	91	8.19%	0	1.3	66	1
7	Jun_8_2020	18.66	22.87	23.6	24.27	24.57	24.29	23.95(2.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	7	-40	1	26	0.1	43%	0.38	93.1	8.27%	0	0.8	62	1.6
8	Jun_5_2020	18.59	22.69	23.66	23.87	24.42	24.88	23.31(-9.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	12	200	5	31	0.11	42%	0.38	88.8	8.27%	0	0.4	61	2
9	Jun_4_2020	18.52	22.49	23.73	23.61	23.86	24.86	25.75(5.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	20	330	14	36	0.28	45%	0.6	82.2	8.2%	0	1.9	65	1.6
10	Jun_3_2020	18.41	22.15	23.37	23.06	23.14	23.95	24.41(1.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	15	260	11	27	0.25	43%	0.49	76.5	8.18%	0	1.4	63	1.7

11	Jun_2_2020	18.32	21.88	23.04	22.76	22.87	22.87	23.94(9.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	6	10	2	18	0.31	42%	0.49	72.5	8.23%	0	1.2	64	1.3
12	Jun_1_2020	18.23	21.62	22.79	22.88	22.98	22.32	21.92(-0.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-4	-190	-11	19	0.12	39%	0.33	73	8.17%	0	0.2	61	1
13	May_29_2020	18.17	21.44	22.76	23.43	23.64	22.86	22.03(-4.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	0	-200	-11	33	0.23	39%	0.33	73.8	8.23%	0	0.3	63	1.3
14	May_28_2020	18.11	21.18	22.78	23.83	23.64	23.63	23(0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	12	-110	-3	55	0.06	39%	0.44	67.4	8.28%	0	0.8	74	0.9
15	May_27_2020	18.03	20.95	22.66	23.69	24.15	24.43	22.9(-6.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	20	140	4	66	0.15	39%	0.45	63	8.35%	0	0.9	73	1.5

16	May_26_2020	17.95	20.73	22.5	23.31	23.64	24.68	24.55(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	29	350	15	71	0.12	39%	0.62	55.9	8.37%	0	1.7	83	1.3
17	May_22_2020	17.84	20.41	22.1	22.68	22.74	23.86	24.67(2.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	30	350	17	68	0.24	39%	0.62	46.1	8.44%	0	2.1	85	1.2
18	May_21_2020	17.73	20.1	21.65	22.01	22.06	22.6	24.04(7.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	24	180	11	62	0.13	39%	0.62	37.4	8.5%	0	2.2	86	1.1
19	May_20_2020	17.62	19.81	21.13	21.63	21.67	21.62	22.3(6.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	17	-10	2	61	0.15	39%	0.46	31.8	8.52%	0	1.6	87	1.5
20	May_19_2020	17.54	19.65	20.81	21.52	21.6	21.52	20.98(-1.92%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	14	-10	-2	62	0.11	39%	0.34	32	8.56%	0	0.9	66	0.9

21	May_18_2020	17.48	19.55	20.63	21.56	21.64	21.71	21.39(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	30	2	68	0.07	39%	0.46	33.8	8.63%	0	1.3	68	1.4
22	May_15_2020	17.4	19.51	20.35	21.39	21.55	21.69	21.32(-3.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	70	4	68	0.05	39%	0.4	38.6	8.71%	0	1.3	66	1
23	May_14_2020	17.33	19.44	20.02	21.19	21.18	21.56	22.15(1.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	23	120	9	64	0.1	39%	0.52	47.6	8.78%	0	2	67	0.8
24	May_13_2020	17.24	19.32	19.47	20.55	20.76	21.41	21.75(2.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	20	250	11	46	0.31	39%	0.52	52	8.86%	0	2	68	0.1
25	May_12_2020	17.15	19.19	19.11	20.01	20.23	20.81	21.21(3.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	16	230	11	32	0.28	39%		58.1	8.94%	0	1.9	59	1.2
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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