Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 13, 2011

Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Catasys, Inc.)
OTRK latest price $25.2000 (6.33%) ($22.2000 - $25.2000) on Thu. Oct. 13, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   296.13% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $25.2000(6.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OTRK advances 1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OTRK advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OTRK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(3%)    XAR(2%)    XLU(1%)    LQD(-0%)    PCY(-0%)
Factors Impacting OTRK price   OTRK will decline at least -148.065% in a week (0% probabilities).
JNK(-5%)    IWM(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)    XOP(-4%)    OIH(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -148.065% (StdDev 296.13%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 6.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.32(12.9%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.95(20.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.82(10.43%)
To recent high   -19.2%
To recent low   110%
Market Cap   $430m

Ontrak, Inc. provides data analytics based specialized behavioral health management and integrated treatment services to health plans. It offers services through its platform OnTrak solution which is designed to improve member health and at the same time, lower costs to the insurer for underserved populations where behavioral health conditions cause or exacerbate co-existing medical conditions. The company was founded by Terren S. Peizer in February 2003 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, CA.

$. OTRK price fluctuates within 17.27% (three month std-dev: 296.13%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111113

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_13_2011	26.89	22.82	20.95	22.32	20.33	21.94	25.2(6.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	0	290	0	0	0	98%	-0.59	-10.3	296.13%	0	0.6	55	0
2	Oct_12_2011	27.05	22.74	20.69	21.96	19.22	20.66	23.7(1.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	1	150	1	0	0	98%	-0.77	-12.9	296.12%	0	0.2	54	0
3	Oct_11_2011	27.26	22.75	20.16	20.82	19.44	18.71	23.4(47.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	1	-460	1	-1	0	98%	-0.62	-7.7	296.14%	0	0.2	53	0
4	Oct_10_2011	27.43	22.77	20.14	19.74	18.56	17.78	15.9(-32.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-2	-470	-1	-3	0	98%	-1.12	11.6	296.17%	0	-1.8	43	0
5	Oct_7_2011	27.74	23.21	20.48	20.28	19.24	20.18	23.4(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-1	190	0	-3	0	98%	-0.82	23.6	296.08%	0	0.1	47	0

6	Oct_6_2011	27.97	23.23	20.74	20.28	19.13	19.35	23.4(30%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.1	-1	50	0	-3	0	98%	-0.71	22.3	296.08%	0	0	51	0
7	Oct_5_2011	28.17	23.26	21.01	19.32	18.98	18.3	18(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-1	-300	-0	-3	0	98%	-1.19	23.8	296.13%	0	-1.2	48	0
8	Oct_4_2011	28.51	23.05	21.89	19.44	19.73	18.9	18(-3.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-2	-250	-1	-3	0	98%	-3.32	8.9	296.13%	0	-0.8	48	0
9	Oct_3_2011	29.49	22.32	22.9	19.44	20.78	19.65	18.6(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-1	-360	-0	-2	0	98%	-4.19	-2.3	298.4%	0	-0.6	49	0
10	Sep_30_2011	30.78	22.39	24.03	20.64	22.2	20.55	18.6(-20.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-1	-290	-1	-2	0	98%	-3.27	-5.6	298.39%	0	-0.6	49	0

11	Sep_29_2011	31.82	22.46	24.91	22.32	22.35	21.9	23.4(25.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-1	-140	-1	-1	0	98%	-3.05	-0.5	298.35%	0	0.1	55	0
12	Sep_28_2011	32.82	22.27	25	23.04	23.85	23.85	18.6(-22.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-0	110	-0	-1	0	98%	-3.16	0.8	298.38%	0	-0.6	47	0
13	Sep_27_2011	33.89	22.5	25.63	24.72	24.9	22.8	24(29.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	0	-570	-0	1	0	98%	-3.53	9.2	298.31%	0	0.2	82	0
14	Sep_26_2011	35.13	22.48	25.66	25.56	25.43	23.85	18.6(-31.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	0	-450	-1	3	0	98%	-3.54	16.7	298.33%	0	-0.6	99	0
15	Sep_23_2011	36.42	22.76	26.31	25.56	27.53	23.85	27(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0.1	2	-170	-0	6	0	97%	-3.22	32.3	298.3%	0	0.7	96	0

16	Sep_22_2011	37.63	22.49	26.02	27.84	27.9	27	27(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0.1	2	-220	-0	6	0	97%	-3.29	35.6	298.3%	0	0.7	96	0
17	Sep_21_2011	38.91	22.22	25.72	27.24	27.68	28.05	27(-4.26%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0	3	140	1	7	0	97%	-2.99	35.8	298.3%	0	0.8	96	0
18	Sep_20_2011	40.11	21.92	24.34	26.64	22.43	28.8	28.2(-6%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	2	1510	1	6	0	97%	-2.6	35.5	298.3%	0	1	95	0
19	Sep_19_2011	41.18	21.45	21.76	25.8	21.15	27.3	30(11.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	3	1490	3	4	0	97%	-2.49	32.2	298.29%	0	1.4	95	0
20	Sep_16_2011	42.23	20.87	20.59	24.6	15.53	16.05	27(12.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	1	-870	1	2	0	97%	-2.56	26.4	298.31%	0	1.1	95	0

21	Sep_15_2011	43.34	20.45	19.74	24.6	15.53	16.05	24(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	1310	0	1	0	97%	-2.78	23	298.31%	0	0.7	95	0
22	Sep_14_2011	44.58	20.2	19.23	24	15.53	15	24(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0	2	1310	2	2	0	97%	-2.49	22.4	298.3%	0	0.7	95	0
23	Sep_13_2011	45.72	19.95	19.01	21.6	10.5	15	24(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	2	-4540	2	1	0	97%	-2.62	10.3	298.33%	0	0.8	95	0
24	Sep_12_2011	46.95	19.69	18.9	16.9	13.8	6	24(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-2	-4510	-1	-3	0	97%	-0.51	-13.5	298.33%	0	0.8	95	0
25	Sep_9_2011	47.19	19.48	18.79	15.94	12.33	15	24(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.6	-2	840	-1	-3	0	97%		-19	298.36%	0	0.9	95	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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