Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 21, 2011

Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Catasys, Inc.)
OTRK latest price $27.0000 (-4.26%) ($27.0000 - $27.0000) on Wed. Sep. 21, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   298.3% (three month average)
RSI   96
Latest Price   $27.0000(-4.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OTRK advances 2.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OTRK advances 33.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OTRK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(3%)    TIP(1%)    XLU(1%)    LQD(-0%)    PCY(0%)
Factors Impacting OTRK price   OTRK will decline at least -149.15% in a week (0% probabilities).
IGOV(-5%)    OIH(-4%)    JNK(-4%)    IWM(-4%)    XOP(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -149.15% (StdDev 298.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $27.24(-0.88%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.72(4.98%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.22(21.51%)
To recent high   -22.4%
To recent low   125%
Market Cap   $461m

Ontrak, Inc. provides data analytics based specialized behavioral health management and integrated treatment services to health plans. It offers services through its platform OnTrak solution which is designed to improve member health and at the same time, lower costs to the insurer for underserved populations where behavioral health conditions cause or exacerbate co-existing medical conditions. The company was founded by Terren S. Peizer in February 2003 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, CA.

$. OTRK price fluctuates within 27.95% (three month std-dev: 298.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111021

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_21_2011	38.91	22.22	25.72	27.24	27.68	28.05	27(-4.26%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0	3	140	1	7	0	97%	-2.99	35.8	298.3%	0	0.8	96	NAN
2	Sep_20_2011	40.11	21.92	24.34	26.64	22.43	28.8	28.2(-6%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	2	1510	1	6	0	97%	-2.6	35.5	298.3%	0	1	95	NAN
3	Sep_19_2011	41.18	21.45	21.76	25.8	21.15	27.3	30(11.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	3	1490	3	4	0	97%	-2.49	32.2	298.29%	0	1.4	95	NAN
4	Sep_16_2011	42.23	20.87	20.59	24.6	15.53	16.05	27(12.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	1	-870	1	2	0	97%	-2.56	26.4	298.31%	0	1.1	95	NAN
5	Sep_15_2011	43.34	20.45	19.74	24.6	15.53	16.05	24(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	1310	0	1	0	97%	-2.78	23	298.31%	0	0.7	95	NAN

6	Sep_14_2011	44.58	20.2	19.23	24	15.53	15	24(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0	2	1310	2	2	0	97%	-2.49	22.4	298.3%	0	0.7	95	NAN
7	Sep_13_2011	45.72	19.95	19.01	21.6	10.5	15	24(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	2	-4540	2	1	0	97%	-2.62	10.3	298.33%	0	0.8	95	NAN
8	Sep_12_2011	46.95	19.69	18.9	16.9	13.8	6	24(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-2	-4510	-1	-3	0	97%	-0.51	-13.5	298.33%	0	0.8	95	NAN
9	Sep_9_2011	47.19	19.48	18.79	15.94	12.33	15	24(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.6	-2	840	-1	-3	0	97%	-2.58	-19	298.36%	0	0.9	95	NAN
10	Sep_8_2011	48.44	19.27	18.51	14.98	15.63	21.6	24(100%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	2	2800	3	-2	0	97%	-2.87	-25.1	298.36%	0	0.9	95	NAN

11	Sep_7_2011	49.87	19.06	18.22	14.06	14.73	9.66	12(2400%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-2	-2270	-1	-3	0	97%	-7.11	-33.1	298.28%	0	-1.4	95	NAN
12	Sep_2_2011	53.69	20.42	21.33	20.93	20.79	19.8	19.2(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-9	-350	-19	21	0	51%	-2.82	-19	7.38%	0	-0.7	55	NAN
13	Sep_1_2011	55.25	20.51	21.38	21.89	22.14	19.98	19.2(-1.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-7	-650	-22	38	0	51%	-2.68	-12.4	7.38%	0	-0.8	48	NAN
14	Aug_31_2011	56.77	20.63	21.42	22.46	22.8	21.78	19.44(-14.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	-8	-270	-26	46	0	51%	-2.61	-14.6	7.44%	0	-0.7	49	NAN
15	Aug_30_2011	58.29	20.85	21.44	22.99	23.43	24.3	22.8(-5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	24	320	8	71	0	57%	-2.48	-18.5	7.26%	0	1.1	66	NAN

16	Aug_29_2011	59.77	20.79	21.11	22.75	22.94	23.82	24(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	38	290	24	79	0	57%	-2.21	-32	7.29%	0	1.7	83	NAN
17	Aug_26_2011	61.12	20.75	20.61	21.79	22.19	22.56	24(8.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	30	170	20	59	0	57%	-2.15	-55.5	7.33%	0	1.7	83	NAN
18	Aug_25_2011	62.46	20.72	20.21	20.83	21.23	22.05	22.08(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	17	330	12	32	0	54%	-2.53	-69.2	7.29%	0	0.6	56	NAN
19	Aug_24_2011	64.08	20.9	20.02	20.26	20.51	21.81	22.08(2.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	20	480	21	18	0	54%	-2.26	-65.6	7.31%	0	0.4	51	NAN
20	Aug_23_2011	65.56	21.19	19.82	19.68	20.51	20.4	21.6(12.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	8	230	14	-11	0	54%	-1.74	-69.3	7.35%	0	0.1	40	NAN

21	Aug_22_2011	66.72	21.4	19.48	19.68	19.8	20.4	19.2(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-11	-130	-1	-40	0	47%	-2.04	-65	7.26%	0	-0.7	41	NAN
22	Aug_19_2011	68.11	21.86	19.4	19.25	20.12	19.2	19.2(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-26	-180	-13	-65	0	47%	-2.49	-58.7	7.26%	0	-0.8	35	NAN
23	Aug_18_2011	69.85	22.32	19.55	19.49	20.46	20.4	19.2(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-25	130	-10	-71	0	47%	-2.16	-53.6	7.3%	0	-0.8	34	NAN
24	Aug_17_2011	71.39	22.84	19.78	19.73	20.97	21.03	19.2(-1.23%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-18	210	1	-75	0	30%	-2.25	-45.8	7.48%	0	-0.9	30	NAN
25	Aug_16_2011	73.03	23.42	20.22	19.97	20.88	20.52	19.44(1.25%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-15	20	1	-63	0	26%		-44.6	10.05%	0	-1	27	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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