Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Aug. 24, 2011

Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Catasys, Inc.)
OTRK latest price $22.0800 (2.22%) ($21.6000 - $22.8000) on Wed. Aug. 24, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.31% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $22.0800(2.22%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OTRK advances 3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OTRK advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OTRK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
LQD(3%)    TLT(2%)    FXI(1%)    SHY(1%)    USO(1%)
Factors Impacting OTRK price   OTRK will decline at least -3.655% in a week (0% probabilities).
IGOV(-8%)    EWG(-7%)    EWI(-6%)    EWP(-5%)    TIP(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.655% (StdDev 7.31%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $20.26(8.98%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.02(10.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.9(5.65%)
To recent high   -51.6%
To recent low   21.1%
Market Cap   $377m

Ontrak, Inc. provides data analytics based specialized behavioral health management and integrated treatment services to health plans. It offers services through its platform OnTrak solution which is designed to improve member health and at the same time, lower costs to the insurer for underserved populations where behavioral health conditions cause or exacerbate co-existing medical conditions. The company was founded by Terren S. Peizer in February 2003 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, CA.

$. OTRK price fluctuates within 12.92% (three month std-dev: 7.31%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110924

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_24_2011	64.08	20.9	20.02	20.26	20.51	21.81	22.08(2.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	20	480	21	18	0	54%	-2.26	-65.6	7.31%	0	0.4	51	0
2	Aug_23_2011	65.56	21.19	19.82	19.68	20.51	20.4	21.6(12.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	8	230	14	-11	0	54%	-1.74	-69.3	7.35%	0	0.1	40	0
3	Aug_22_2011	66.72	21.4	19.48	19.68	19.8	20.4	19.2(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-11	-130	-1	-40	0	47%	-2.04	-65	7.26%	0	-0.7	41	0
4	Aug_19_2011	68.11	21.86	19.4	19.25	20.12	19.2	19.2(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-26	-180	-13	-65	0	47%	-2.49	-58.7	7.26%	0	-0.8	35	0
5	Aug_18_2011	69.85	22.32	19.55	19.49	20.46	20.4	19.2(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-25	130	-10	-71	0	47%	-2.16	-53.6	7.3%	0	-0.8	34	0

6	Aug_17_2011	71.39	22.84	19.78	19.73	20.97	21.03	19.2(-1.23%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-18	210	1	-75	0	30%	-2.25	-45.8	7.48%	0	-0.9	30	0
7	Aug_16_2011	73.03	23.42	20.22	19.97	20.88	20.52	19.44(1.25%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-15	20	1	-63	0	26%	-2.07	-44.6	10.05%	0	-1	27	0
8	Aug_15_2011	74.57	23.78	20.46	19.73	20.6	20.91	19.2(-5.88%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-18	240	1	-74	0	26%	-2.29	-47.6	10.33%	0	-1.2	35	0
9	Aug_12_2011	76.32	24.15	20.92	19.54	20.37	21.24	20.4(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-17	430	5	-81	0	34%	-2.15	-52.1	10.69%	0	-1	33	0
10	Aug_11_2011	78	24.57	21.28	19.63	19.8	20.28	20.4(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-23	200	-1	-90	0	34%	-1.84	-53.4	10.69%	0	-1.1	33	0

11	Aug_10_2011	79.46	24.89	21.84	19.87	20.7	19.5	20.4(11.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-30	-280	-8	-96	0	34%	-1.56	-54.6	10.69%	0	-1.2	31	0
12	Aug_9_2011	80.72	25.37	22.63	20.59	21.44	19.32	18.24(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-40	-570	-21	-97	0	29%	-1.56	-51.7	10.66%	0	-1.9	22	0
13	Aug_8_2011	82	25.82	23.47	21.31	22.25	21.9	18.24(-12.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-38	20	-21	-89	0	29%	-2.21	-56.6	10.66%	0	-2.3	37	0
14	Aug_5_2011	83.85	26.38	24.54	22.46	23.39	23.55	20.88(-3.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-16	170	0	-65	0	31%	-2.03	-60	10.59%	0	-1.9	42	0
15	Aug_4_2011	85.59	26.79	25.34	23.14	22.97	22.59	21.6(-10%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-25	-140	-13	-62	0	31%	-0.77	-62.4	10.59%	0	-2	39	0

16	Aug_3_2011	86.25	27.17	26.18	24.1	23.79	23.22	24(9.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-20	-210	-11	-46	0	31%	-0.75	-64.2	10.58%	0	-1.4	49	0
17	Aug_2_2011	86.9	27.42	26.88	25.06	25.05	23.34	21.84(-9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-20	-480	-15	-35	0	31%	-0.79	-60.3	10.57%	0	-2.5	38	0
18	Aug_1_2011	87.59	27.85	27.4	25.97	26.3	24.36	24(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-23	-480	-21	-28	0	31%	-0.76	-57.7	10.54%	0	-2	50	0
19	Jul_29_2011	88.26	28.22	27.7	26.93	27.26	26.76	24.24(-8.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-16	-90	-15	-19	0	31%	-0.78	-36.7	10.62%	0	-2.2	46	0
20	Jul_28_2011	88.95	28.52	28.19	27.84	28.08	28.23	26.4(-8.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-4	60	-4	-5	0	31%	-0.76	-39.8	10.59%	0	-1.3	49	0

21	Jul_27_2011	89.63	28.76	28.23	28.56	28.44	27.75	28.8(9.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-4	-180	-5	-1	0	31%	-0.74	-34.1	10.57%	0	0	52	0
22	Jul_26_2011	90.3	28.87	28.32	28.56	28.74	27.93	26.4(-8.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-7	-230	-10	4	0	31%	-0.78	-31.5	10.55%	0	-1.5	48	0
23	Jul_25_2011	91.01	29	28.36	29.04	30.23	29.13	28.8(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-130	3	3	0	31%	-0.76	-53.1	10.53%	0	-0.1	50	0
24	Jul_22_2011	91.71	28.9	28.35	29.04	29.61	29.55	28.8(-4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-9	100	-8	-11	0	31%	-0.77	-81.4	10.53%	0	-0.1	47	0
25	Jul_21_2011	92.42	29.17	28.34	28.56	29.39	31.32	30(-3.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	10	550	14	-4	0	31%		-68	10.61%	0	0.4	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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