Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Apr. 13, 2011

Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Catasys, Inc.)
OTRK latest price $168.0000 (0%) ($150.4800 - $168.0000) on Wed. Apr. 13, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   24.4% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $168.0000(0%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OTRK declines -1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OTRK declines -4.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OTRK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
LQD(3%)    TLT(2%)    FXI(1%)    USO(1%)    IWM(0%)
Factors Impacting OTRK price   OTRK will decline at least -12.2% in a week (0% probabilities).
IGOV(-7%)    EWG(-7%)    EWI(-6%)    EWP(-5%)    TIP(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -12.2% (StdDev 24.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 11.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $142.86(-14.96%)
Resistance Level   $168.86
5 Day Moving Average   $163.2(2.94%)
10 Day Moving Average   $164.38(2.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $168.86(-0.51%)
To recent high   -15.7%
To recent low   25%
Market Cap   $2.865b

Ontrak, Inc. provides data analytics based specialized behavioral health management and integrated treatment services to health plans. It offers services through its platform OnTrak solution which is designed to improve member health and at the same time, lower costs to the insurer for underserved populations where behavioral health conditions cause or exacerbate co-existing medical conditions. The company was founded by Terren S. Peizer in February 2003 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, CA.

$. OTRK price fluctuates within 10.1% (three month std-dev: 24.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110513

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_13_2011	169.13	168.86	164.38	163.2	160.38	158.91	168(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-8	-120	-6	-13	0	0%	-0.04	-901.5	24.4%	0	-0.1	49	0
2	Apr_12_2011	169.19	503.97	164.51	163.2	161.03	160.8	168(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-9	-90	-8	-11	0	0%	-0.04	-2234	25%	0	-19.2	55	0
3	Apr_11_2011	169.25	843.21	165.52	165.6	165.68	161.85	168(7.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	2	-160	3	-2	0	0%	-0.05	-3173.7	25.66%	0	-37.6	59	0
4	Apr_8_2011	169.33	1186.6	165.69	165.6	166.56	161.25	156(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-15	-80	-16	-12	0	0%	-0.49	-3847.4	26.2%	0	-55.7	58	0
5	Apr_7_2011	170.16	1534.79	169.04	158.88	166.64	169.5	156(-13.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-9	270	-9	-10	0	0%	-0.55	-4427	26.97%	0	-73.5	47	0

6	Apr_6_2011	171.1	1887.13	171.94	165.55	168.11	171.87	180(7.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	12	200	15	4	0	0%	0.37	-4862.4	27.79%	0	-89.9	51	0
7	Apr_5_2011	170.47	2242.27	170.26	163.63	168.83	163.77	168(25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-46	-110	-5	-170	0	0%	-0.11	-5183.9	28.53%	0	-106.4	28	0
8	Apr_4_2011	170.66	2602.2	168.15	166.03	172.14	164.34	134.4(-13.85%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.6	-68	-210	-24	-199	0	0%	-1.74	-5347.4	28.15%	0	-122	21	0
9	Apr_1_2011	173.68	2968.16	169.76	173.23	176.4	173.88	156(-17.62%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-61	-50	-16	-196	0	0%	-0.92	-6359	29.26%	0	-156.1	23	0
10	Mar_31_2011	175.29	3337.06	173.95	180.19	179.58	179.94	189.36(11.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-46	0	1	-185	0	0%	0.81	-6718.5	30.45%	0	-175.1	24	0

11	Mar_30_2011	173.88	3708.24	173.84	179.28	181.04	178.92	170.4(-5.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-45	-50	1	-182	0	0%	-0.22	-6963.3	31.28%	0	-193.6	20	0
12	Mar_29_2011	174.27	4084.61	848.44	177.84	179.69	179.22	180(5.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-37	10	0	-148	0	0%	0.41	-6855.3	32.93%	0	-203.3	21	0
13	Mar_28_2011	173.55	4464.58	1538.42	170.64	175.43	183.15	170.4(-10.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-19	390	14	-118	0	0%	-0.26	-6791.1	34.38%	0	-211.8	19	0
14	Mar_25_2011	174	4849.21	2245.91	165.36	166.28	180.15	190.8(3.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-9	600	20	-95	0	0%	1.64	-6457.8	36.74%	0	-215.4	20	0
15	Mar_24_2011	171.2	5236.84	2967.56	167.04	162.45	167.7	184.8(13.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-9	140	15	-81	0	0%	1.61	-6595.2	39.03%	0	-228	18	0

16	Mar_23_2011	168.48	5628.93	3706.29	168.48	167.33	152.4	163.2(13.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-18	-650	1	-76	0	0%	-0.78	-6458.5	40.31%	0	-234.2	11	0
17	Mar_22_2011	169.8	6026.35	4463.86	135.84	173.93	157.2	144(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	0.3	-4	170	13	-56	0	0%	-4.82	-4951.2	40.62%	0	-226.9	3	0
18	Mar_21_2011	178.4	6428.99	5240.05	107.04	173.93	157.2	144(-27.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	3	-10000	17	-38	0	0%	-8.79	-4218.4	42.31%	0	-256.5	3	0
19	Mar_18_2011	195.6	6835.77	6032.76	78.24	173.93	157.2	199.2(3.75%)	RB	SmallLong	20	33.6	29	-10000	41	-9	0	0%	1.88	-21420	50.62%	0	-1843.5	4	0
20	Mar_17_2011	192	7243.62	6835.78	38.4	0	0	192(-97.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-10000	0	0	0	0%	-98.35	0	0%	0	0	0	0

21	Nov_21_2008	11618.42	7243.62	6835.78	38.4	0	0	7656(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-2250	0	0	0	32%	-0.22	0	4.89%	0	0	0	0
22	Nov_20_2008	11643.88	7243.62	6835.78	38.4	0	0	7656(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-2250	0	0	0	32%	-0.24	0	4.89%	0	0	0	0
23	Nov_19_2008	11671.76	7243.62	6835.78	38.4	0	0	7656(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-2250	0	0	0	32%	-0.27	0	4.89%	0	0	0	0
24	Nov_18_2008	11703.52	7243.62	6835.78	38.4	0	0	7656(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-2250	0	0	0	32%	-0.23	0	4.9%	0	0	0	0
25	Nov_17_2008	11730.91	7656	7656	7656	1914	1914	7656(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-2250	0	0	0	32%		0	4.91%	0	0	0	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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