Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 30, 2011

Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Catasys, Inc.)
OTRK latest price $170.4000 (-5.33%) ($170.4000 - $189.6000) on Wed. Mar. 30, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   31.28% (three month average)
RSI   20
Latest Price   $170.4000(-5.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OTRK advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OTRK declines -95.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OTRK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
LQD(3%)    TLT(2%)    FXI(1%)    USO(1%)    IWM(0%)
Factors Impacting OTRK price   OTRK will decline at least -15.64% in a week (0% probabilities).
IGOV(-7%)    EWG(-7%)    EWI(-6%)    EWP(-5%)    TIP(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -15.64% (StdDev 31.28%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -10.1%

Resistance Level   $3708.24
5 Day Moving Average   $179.28(-4.95%)
10 Day Moving Average   $173.84(-1.98%)
20 Day Moving Average   $3708.24(-95.4%)
To recent high   -14.5%
To recent low   18.3%
Market Cap   $2.906b

Ontrak, Inc. provides data analytics based specialized behavioral health management and integrated treatment services to health plans. It offers services through its platform OnTrak solution which is designed to improve member health and at the same time, lower costs to the insurer for underserved populations where behavioral health conditions cause or exacerbate co-existing medical conditions. The company was founded by Terren S. Peizer in February 2003 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, CA.

$. OTRK price fluctuates within 0.49% (three month std-dev: 31.28%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110430

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_30_2011	173.88	3708.24	173.84	179.28	181.04	178.92	170.4(-5.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-45	-50	1	-182	0	0%	-0.22	-6963.3	31.28%	0	-193.6	20	0
2	Mar_29_2011	174.27	4084.61	848.44	177.84	179.69	179.22	180(5.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-37	10	0	-148	0	0%	0.41	-6855.3	32.93%	0	-203.3	21	0
3	Mar_28_2011	173.55	4464.58	1538.42	170.64	175.43	183.15	170.4(-10.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-19	390	14	-118	0	0%	-0.26	-6791.1	34.38%	0	-211.8	19	0
4	Mar_25_2011	174	4849.21	2245.91	165.36	166.28	180.15	190.8(3.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-9	600	20	-95	0	0%	1.64	-6457.8	36.74%	0	-215.4	20	0
5	Mar_24_2011	171.2	5236.84	2967.56	167.04	162.45	167.7	184.8(13.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-9	140	15	-81	0	0%	1.61	-6595.2	39.03%	0	-228	18	0

6	Mar_23_2011	168.48	5628.93	3706.29	168.48	167.33	152.4	163.2(13.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-18	-650	1	-76	0	0%	-0.78	-6458.5	40.31%	0	-234.2	11	0
7	Mar_22_2011	169.8	6026.35	4463.86	135.84	173.93	157.2	144(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	0.3	-4	170	13	-56	0	0%	-4.82	-4951.2	40.62%	0	-226.9	3	0
8	Mar_21_2011	178.4	6428.99	5240.05	107.04	173.93	157.2	144(-27.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	3	-10000	17	-38	0	0%	-8.79	-4218.4	42.31%	0	-256.5	3	0
9	Mar_18_2011	195.6	6835.77	6032.76	78.24	173.93	157.2	199.2(3.75%)	RB	SmallLong	20	33.6	29	-10000	41	-9	0	0%	1.88	-21420	50.62%	0	-1843.5	4	0
10	Mar_17_2011	192	7243.62	6835.78	38.4	0	0	192(-97.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-10000	0	0	0	0%	-98.35	0	0%	0	0	0	0

11	Nov_21_2008	11618.42	7243.62	6835.78	38.4	0	0	7656(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-2250	0	0	0	32%	-0.22	0	4.89%	0	0	0	0
12	Nov_20_2008	11643.88	7243.62	6835.78	38.4	0	0	7656(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-2250	0	0	0	32%	-0.24	0	4.89%	0	0	0	0
13	Nov_19_2008	11671.76	7243.62	6835.78	38.4	0	0	7656(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-2250	0	0	0	32%	-0.27	0	4.89%	0	0	0	0
14	Nov_18_2008	11703.52	7243.62	6835.78	38.4	0	0	7656(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-2250	0	0	0	32%	-0.23	0	4.9%	0	0	0	0
15	Nov_17_2008	11730.91	7243.62	6835.78	38.4	0	0	7656(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-2250	0	0	0	32%	-0.25	0	4.91%	0	0	0	0

16	Nov_14_2008	11760.73	7243.62	6835.78	38.4	0	0	7656(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-2250	0	0	0	32%	-0.24	0	4.91%	0	0	0	0
17	Nov_13_2008	11789.09	7243.62	6835.78	38.4	0	0	7656(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-2250	0	0	0	32%	-0.25	0	4.93%	0	0	0	0
18	Nov_12_2008	11818.18	7243.62	6835.78	38.4	0	0	7656(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-2250	0	0	0	32%	-0.23	0	4.93%	0	0	0	0
19	Nov_11_2008	11844.85	7243.62	6835.78	38.4	0	0	7656(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-2250	0	0	0	32%	-0.23	0	4.93%	0	0	0	0
20	Nov_10_2008	11872.48	7243.62	6835.78	38.4	0	0	7656(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-2250	0	0	0	32%	-0.25	0	4.96%	0	0	0	0

21	Nov_7_2008	11902.79	7243.62	6835.78	38.4	0	0	7656(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-2250	0	0	0	32%	-0.24	0	4.96%	0	0	0	0
22	Nov_6_2008	11931.64	7243.62	6835.78	38.4	0	0	7656(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-2250	0	0	0	32%	-0.24	0	4.96%	0	0	0	0
23	Nov_5_2008	11960	7656	6835.78	38.4	0	0	7656(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-2250	0	0	0	32%	-0.25	-597	5.07%	0	0	0	0
24	Nov_4_2008	11990.3	7661.37	6835.78	38.4	0	0	7656(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-2250	0	0	0	32%	-0.26	-1060	5.1%	0	-0.2	0	0
25	Nov_3_2008	12022.06	7663.58	7656	7656	1914	1914	7656(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-2250	0	0	0	32%		-869.4	5.11%	0	-0.2	0	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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