Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 16, 2008

Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Catasys, Inc.)
OTRK latest price $12336.0000 (3.01%) ($10992.0000 - $13152.0000) on Tue. Sep. 16, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.84% (three month average)
RSI   20
Latest Price   $12336.0000(3.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OTRK declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OTRK declines -11.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OTRK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(6%)    XLY(6%)    EEM(5%)    EWI(5%)    EWY(5%)
Factors Impacting OTRK price   OTRK will decline at least -3.92% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-3%)    SHY(-2%)    GLD(-2%)    XLU(0%)    TIP(0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.92% (StdDev 7.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 5.3%

Resistance Level   $14518.34
5 Day Moving Average   $12552(-1.72%)
10 Day Moving Average   $12963.22(-4.84%)
20 Day Moving Average   $14518.34(-15.03%)
To recent high   -29.8%
To recent low   27.9%
Market Cap   $210.398b

Ontrak, Inc. provides data analytics based specialized behavioral health management and integrated treatment services to health plans. It offers services through its platform OnTrak solution which is designed to improve member health and at the same time, lower costs to the insurer for underserved populations where behavioral health conditions cause or exacerbate co-existing medical conditions. The company was founded by Terren S. Peizer in February 2003 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, CA.

$. OTRK price fluctuates within 11.8% (three month std-dev: 7.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 5.56%(33%) Average negative next day return: -0.63%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 22.22%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -0.63%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.83%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20081016

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_16_2008	12765.79	14518.34	12963.22	12552	12441	12126	12336(3.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-2364	-200	-2755	-1190	0	88%	0.16	-64.8	7.84%	0	-1.3	20	NAN
2	Sep_15_2008	12745.47	14772.37	13267.67	12619.2	12655.5	12429	11976(-4.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-2356	-120	-2746	-1187	0	88%	0.09	-63.3	7.84%	0	-1.6	15	NAN
3	Sep_12_2008	12733.71	15040.72	13682.27	12777.6	12827.25	12756	12480(-3.7%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-1272	-30	-1471	-673	0	90%	0.13	-62.5	7.95%	0	-1.5	14	NAN
4	Sep_11_2008	12717.06	15297.83	14041.11	13027.2	13005.75	12882	12960(-0.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-752	-70	-861	-424	0	90%	0.17	-58.6	7.93%	0	-1.4	18	NAN
5	Sep_10_2008	12695.51	15513.77	14347.73	13137.6	13205.25	12898.5	13008(2.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-2044	-150	-2382	-1031	0	86%	0.17	-58.4	7.93%	0	-1.6	18	NAN

6	Sep_9_2008	12673.71	15720.78	14649.34	13454.4	13448.25	13129.5	12672(-0.75%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-3739	-170	-4377	-1824	0	86%	0.14	-53.5	7.95%	0	-2	12	NAN
7	Sep_8_2008	12655.83	15957.33	15001.69	14030.4	13968	13512	12768(-6.99%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-3492	-240	-4089	-1700	0	86%	0.17	-42.7	7.95%	0	-2.4	10	NAN
8	Sep_5_2008	12634.28	16166.32	15400.51	14726.4	14623.5	13767	13728(1.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-5469	-430	-6419	-2618	0	86%	0.27	-31.6	7.89%	0	-2.2	16	NAN
9	Sep_4_2008	12600.73	16319.58	15689.41	15211.2	15214.5	14424	13512(-7.4%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.8	-7422	-360	-8719	-3531	0	83%	0.21	-17.9	7.89%	0	-3	11	NAN
10	Sep_3_2008	12574.28	16495.03	16008.63	15724.8	15745.5	15480	14592(-6.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.7	-3763	-110	-4417	-1801	0	83%	0.27	3.4	7.84%	0	-2.8	22	NAN

11	Sep_2_2008	12540	16558.29	16224.21	16008	16023.75	16005	15552(-4.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-80	-10	-86	-63	0	83%	0.3	21.9	7.8%	0	-1.8	32	NAN
12	Aug_29_2008	12503.03	16545.94	16410.2	16113.6	16035.75	16011	16248(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-427	-30	-495	-224	0	79%	0.26	25.6	7.74%	0	-0.5	36	NAN
13	Aug_28_2008	12470.3	16521.32	16505.04	16190.4	16110.75	16042.5	16152(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-605	-40	-705	-304	0	79%	0.28	33.2	7.74%	0	-0.5	46	NAN
14	Aug_27_2008	12435.63	16489.9	16640.97	16262.4	16262.25	16060.5	16080(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-960	-90	-1124	-466	0	76%	0.26	39.7	7.74%	0	-0.6	46	NAN
15	Aug_26_2008	12403.15	16471.72	16753.48	16348.8	16354.5	16179	16008(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-2083	-70	-2447	-991	0	76%	0.22	43.7	7.76%	0	-0.6	43	NAN

16	Aug_25_2008	12375.51	16435.8	16859.18	16473.6	16512	16464	16080(-3.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-814	-10	-956	-386	0	76%	0.22	46.1	7.82%	0	-0.4	60	NAN
17	Aug_22_2008	12348.12	16383.54	16976.28	16747.2	16650	16530	16632(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-739	-70	-873	-337	0	76%	0.27	51.3	7.82%	0	0.3	71	NAN
18	Aug_21_2008	12314.66	16298.72	16984.19	16872	16827	16560	16512(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-1912	-120	-2255	-882	0	76%	0.25	50.3	7.82%	0	0.2	61	NAN
19	Aug_20_2008	12283.39	16214.21	16996.91	17083.2	17064	16770	16512(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-2308	-120	-2724	-1058	0	69%	0.28	52.3	7.82%	0	0.3	63	NAN
20	Aug_19_2008	12249.69	16146.96	17026.97	17217.6	17233.5	17094	16632(-4.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-1464	-50	-1734	-653	0	69%	0.29	81.8	7.93%	0	0.5	61	NAN

21	Aug_18_2008	12214.79	16064.71	16935.93	17289.6	17251.5	17358	17448(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	48	40	43	63	0	69%	0.37	110.4	7.9%	0	1.4	72	NAN
22	Aug_15_2008	12169.94	15942.43	16705.58	17236.8	17215.5	17373	17256(-1.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	1577	60	1841	784	0	70%	0.4	144.5	7.91%	0	1.4	73	NAN
23	Aug_14_2008	12121.69	15837.07	16545.49	17112	17110.5	17145	17568(2.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	1065	10	1239	544	0	70%	0.47	182.7	7.91%	0	1.9	77	NAN
24	Aug_13_2008	12064.48	15723.92	16323.06	16905.6	16929.75	17058	17184(1.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	226	60	252	149	0	70%	0.39	128.1	7.91%	0	1	76	NAN
25	Aug_12_2008	12018.18	15374.36	16158.28	16814.4	16833.75	17076	16992(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	1931	100	2257	952	0	70%		100.7	7.91%	0	0.9	68	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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