Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Aug. 19, 2008

Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Catasys, Inc.)
OTRK latest price $16632.0000 (-4.68%) ($16344.0000 - $17256.0000) on Tue. Aug. 19, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.93% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $16632.0000(-4.68%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OTRK declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OTRK advances 5.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OTRK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(6%)    XLY(6%)    EEM(5%)    EWI(5%)    EWY(5%)
Factors Impacting OTRK price   OTRK will decline at least -3.965% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-3%)    SHY(-2%)    GLD(-2%)    XLU(0%)    TIP(0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.965% (StdDev 7.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $17217.6(-3.4%)
10 Day Moving Average   $17026.97(-2.32%)
20 Day Moving Average   $16146.96(3%)
To recent high   -5.3%
To recent low   73.3%
Market Cap   $283.669b

Ontrak, Inc. provides data analytics based specialized behavioral health management and integrated treatment services to health plans. It offers services through its platform OnTrak solution which is designed to improve member health and at the same time, lower costs to the insurer for underserved populations where behavioral health conditions cause or exacerbate co-existing medical conditions. The company was founded by Terren S. Peizer in February 2003 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, CA.

$. OTRK price fluctuates within 6.15% (three month std-dev: 7.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.42%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -3.29%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 2.24%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -9.15%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080919

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_19_2008	12249.69	16146.96	17026.97	17217.6	17233.5	17094	16632(-4.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-1464	-50	-1734	-653	0	69%	0.29	81.8	7.93%	0	0.5	61	NAN
2	Aug_18_2008	12214.79	16064.71	16935.93	17289.6	17251.5	17358	17448(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	48	40	43	63	0	69%	0.37	110.4	7.9%	0	1.4	72	NAN
3	Aug_15_2008	12169.94	15942.43	16705.58	17236.8	17215.5	17373	17256(-1.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	1577	60	1841	784	0	70%	0.4	144.5	7.91%	0	1.4	73	NAN
4	Aug_14_2008	12121.69	15837.07	16545.49	17112	17110.5	17145	17568(2.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	1065	10	1239	544	0	70%	0.47	182.7	7.91%	0	1.9	77	NAN
5	Aug_13_2008	12064.48	15723.92	16323.06	16905.6	16929.75	17058	17184(1.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	226	60	252	149	0	70%	0.39	128.1	7.91%	0	1	76	NAN

6	Aug_12_2008	12018.18	15374.36	16158.28	16814.4	16833.75	17076	16992(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	1931	100	2257	952	0	70%	0.38	100.7	7.91%	0	0.9	68	NAN
7	Aug_11_2008	11972.12	15027.1	15968.23	16521.6	16697.26	16801.5	17184(3.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	2619	80	3069	1270	0	70%	0.45	84.5	7.91%	0	1	71	NAN
8	Aug_8_2008	11918.94	14670.44	15728.7	16089.6	16239.76	16591.5	16632(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	1107	180	1293	548	0	74%	0.37	72	7.91%	0	0.8	66	NAN
9	Aug_7_2008	11875.59	14338.34	15543.72	15888	15897.01	16593.03	16536(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	4551	310	5347	2162	0	74%	0.35	65.1	8.08%	0	0.9	63	NAN
10	Aug_6_2008	11833.96	14007.78	15354.67	15652.8	15633.01	15888.03	16728(7.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	4917	110	5781	2326	0	74%	0.41	59.8	8.08%	0	1.1	61	NAN

11	Aug_5_2008	11785.22	13684.22	15176.81	15422.4	15222	15201	15528(3.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-1023	-50	-1213	-453	0	74%	0.36	55.6	8.03%	0	0.7	87	NAN
12	Aug_4_2008	11742.37	13413.27	15114.73	15336	15252	15378	15024(-3.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	987	40	1144	515	0	74%	0.32	53.5	8.03%	0	0.6	87	NAN
13	Aug_1_2008	11705.39	13175.96	15120.79	15297.6	15171	15243	15624(1.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	1184	10	1368	633	0	74%	0.37	52.3	8.01%	0	0.9	89	NAN
14	Jul_31_2008	11661.79	12903.55	15074.85	15134.4	15001.5	15126	15360(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	419	30	459	297	0	74%	0.34	50.2	8.07%	0	0.9	89	NAN
15	Jul_30_2008	11622.61	12653.61	15079.28	15000	14923.5	15099	15576(3.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	1574	70	1808	870	0	74%	0.39	49.4	8.06%	0	1.1	90	NAN

16	Jul_29_2008	11577.79	12406.06	14542.89	14904	14808.3	14877	15096(1.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	676	10	751	452	0	74%	0.35	51.4	8.06%	0	1.1	84	NAN
17	Jul_28_2008	11537.39	12163.33	14038.84	14870.4	14821.8	14748	14832(0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	59	-40	23	168	0	71%	0.36	52.7	8.06%	0	1.1	84	NAN
18	Jul_25_2008	11496.24	11943.46	13563.22	14918.4	14829.3	14739.6	14808(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-1185	-60	-1444	-409	0	71%	0.34	55.5	8.09%	0	1.2	82	NAN
19	Jul_24_2008	11457.55	11716.15	13074.83	15004.8	14958.3	14895.6	14688(-2.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-438	-40	-569	-46	0	71%	0.35	59.5	8.09%	0	1.3	81	NAN
20	Jul_23_2008	11417.14	11496.36	12588.71	15163.2	15072	14919	15096(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-391	-90	-518	-9	0	71%	0.39	65.9	8.08%	0	1.6	81	NAN

21	Jul_22_2008	11372.32	11240.76	12089.2	14092.8	15046.5	15021	14928(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	3086	190	3586	1586	0	71%	0.4	52.9	8.08%	0	1.8	76	NAN
22	Jul_21_2008	11326.53	10996.19	11576.12	13036.8	13746	15225	15072(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	5253	920	6148	2567	0	71%	0.49	39.2	8.08%	0	2.2	78	NAN
23	Jul_18_2008	11270.94	10752.89	11053.29	11976	12351	15072	15240(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	2.1	19184	1640	22551	9083	0	71%	0.34	24.8	8.08%	0	2.8	76	NAN
24	Jul_17_2008	11232.73	10491.33	10502.98	10872	10959	12267	15480(58.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	3.8	18097	860	21286	8531	0	71%	0.37	9.4	8.07%	0	4.2	78	NAN
25	Jul_16_2008	11190.86	10211.62	9936.26	9720	9636	9630	9744(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-632	-30	-722	-362	0	48%		-48.5	3.35%	0	-1.3	36	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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