Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jul. 16, 2008

Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Catasys, Inc.)
OTRK latest price $9744.0000 (1%) ($9552.0000 - $9768.0000) on Wed. Jul. 16, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.35% (three month average)
RSI   36
Latest Price   $9744.0000(1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OTRK declines -0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OTRK declines -4.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OTRK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(6%)    XLY(6%)    EEM(5%)    EWI(5%)    EWY(5%)
Factors Impacting OTRK price   OTRK will decline at least -1.675% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-3%)    SHY(-2%)    GLD(-2%)    XLU(0%)    TIP(0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.675% (StdDev 3.35%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2%

Resistance Level   $10211.62
5 Day Moving Average   $9720(0.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $9936.26(-1.93%)
20 Day Moving Average   $10211.62(-4.58%)
To recent high   -24.5%
To recent low   1.5%
Market Cap   $166.19b

Ontrak, Inc. provides data analytics based specialized behavioral health management and integrated treatment services to health plans. It offers services through its platform OnTrak solution which is designed to improve member health and at the same time, lower costs to the insurer for underserved populations where behavioral health conditions cause or exacerbate co-existing medical conditions. The company was founded by Terren S. Peizer in February 2003 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, CA.

$. OTRK price fluctuates within 3.4% (three month std-dev: 3.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 2.43%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 2.04%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.07%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080816

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_16_2008	11190.86	10211.62	9936.26	9720	9636	9630	9744(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-632	-30	-722	-362	0	48%	-0.09	-48.5	3.35%	0	-1.3	36	0
2	Jul_15_2008	11200.9	10257.8	10035.96	9811.2	9681	9651	9648(-1.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-666	-60	-767	-364	0	44%	-0.08	-29.3	3.36%	0	-1.8	41	0
3	Jul_14_2008	11210.2	10316.29	10109.8	9873.6	9781.5	9642	9768(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-1318	-130	-1535	-666	0	41%	-0.07	-14.6	3.43%	0	-1.7	40	0
4	Jul_11_2008	11218.28	10373	10193.41	9950.4	9841.5	9711	9720(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.7	-3647	-130	-4277	-1756	0	41%	-0.08	2.6	3.48%	0	-2	36	0
5	Jul_10_2008	11227.59	10380.4	10271.26	10041.6	9987	9921	9720(-4.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-1390	-60	-1624	-688	0	41%	-0.09	4.9	3.5%	0	-2.1	39	0

6	Jul_9_2008	11237.39	10382.43	10357.24	10180.8	10090.5	9972	10200(2.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-1842	-110	-2159	-889	0	44%	-0.03	8.4	3.47%	0	-0.5	46	0
7	Jul_8_2008	11240.57	10358.68	10369.58	10300.8	10204.5	10053	9960(-1.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-3075	-130	-3612	-1465	0	44%	-0.12	5	3.46%	0	-1.1	38	0
8	Jul_7_2008	11253.77	10364.12	10417.69	10382.4	10360.5	10209	10152(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-2074	-110	-2434	-993	0	44%	0.02	2.8	3.47%	0	-0.6	38	0
9	Jul_3_2008	11251.34	10364.22	10469.01	10473.6	10396.5	10356	10176(-2.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-2401	-50	-2820	-1143	0	44%	-0.03	1.4	3.44%	0	-0.5	37	0
10	Jul_2_2008	11254.53	10365.11	10505.78	10531.2	10459.5	10512	10416(-3.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	1182	10	1390	558	0	44%	0.03	-7.7	3.44%	0	0.1	63	0

11	Jul_1_2008	11250.86	10354.74	10512.05	10555.2	10425	10437	10800(4.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	416	-30	484	211	0	46%	0.07	-18	3.42%	0	1.2	70	0
12	Jun_30_2008	11242.53	10340.01	10492.69	10454.4	10420.5	10407	10368(-2.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-93	-20	-116	-22	0	43%	0.04	-34	3.36%	0	0.1	66	0
13	Jun_27_2008	11238.37	10353.56	10534.42	10459.2	10423.5	10413	10608(1.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-333	-20	-403	-123	0	47%	0.12	-44.8	3.39%	0	0.7	61	0
14	Jun_26_2008	11225.14	10359.27	10558.82	10468.8	10434	10413	10464(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-321	-10	-393	-105	0	43%	0.1	-53.6	3.44%	0	0.3	57	0
15	Jun_25_2008	11214.12	10393.51	10494.05	10478.4	10479	10413	10536(2.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	350	-30	398	206	0	43%	0.14	-56.6	3.51%	0	0.3	57	0

16	Jun_24_2008	11198.2	10420.96	10408.75	10464	10432.5	10434	10296(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-1295	-10	-1534	-576	0	43%	0.11	-58.8	3.5%	0	-0.3	53	0
17	Jun_23_2008	11186.45	10464.31	10350.47	10536	10461	10524	10392(-2.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	882	20	1028	442	0	43%	0.13	-68.9	3.5%	0	-0.1	47	0
18	Jun_20_2008	11172.24	10524.29	10312.38	10617.6	10495.5	10431	10656(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	-80	19	36	0	43%	0.04	-65.7	3.51%	0	0.2	49	0
19	Jun_19_2008	11167.83	10587.46	10254.63	10665.56	10548	10398	10512(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-2036	-130	-2402	-938	0	43%	-0.01	-56.6	3.51%	0	-0.1	45	0
20	Jun_18_2008	11169.3	10654.09	10216.12	10507.16	10559.99	10560	10464(-1.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-213	20	-248	-108	0	47%	-0.04	-62.2	3.55%	0	-0.3	38	0

21	Jun_17_2008	11173.47	10711.32	10186.53	10334.36	10360.49	10698	10656(-1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	3533	240	4167	1629	0	47%	0.05	-70.2	3.61%	0	-0.1	41	0
22	Jun_16_2008	11167.59	10813.29	10169.44	10127.96	10090.49	10559.98	10800(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	8115	310	9566	3761	0	47%	0.12	-63.8	3.61%	0	-0	42	0
23	Jun_13_2008	11154.37	10905.24	10144.7	9964.76	9835.49	10022.98	10895.8(12.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	5342	90	6312	2430	0	47%	0.14	-59.5	3.61%	0	-0	36	0
24	Jun_12_2008	11138.94	10971.5	10119.77	9806.4	9747	9621	9720(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-1443	-110	-1657	-802	0	38%	0.03	-61.3	3.27%	0	-1.2	7	0
25	Jun_11_2008	11135.27	11120.29	10267.52	9892.8	9881.99	9648	9600(-0.25%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-4041	-170	-4712	-2027	0	38%		-51.5	3.29%	0	-1.5	7	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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