Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jun. 25, 2008

Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Catasys, Inc.)
OTRK latest price $10536.0000 (2.33%) ($10224.0000 - $11088.0000) on Wed. Jun. 25, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.51% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $10536.0000(2.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OTRK advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OTRK advances 2.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OTRK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(6%)    XLY(6%)    EEM(5%)    EWI(5%)    EWY(5%)
Factors Impacting OTRK price   OTRK will decline at least -1.755% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-3%)    SHY(-2%)    GLD(-2%)    XLU(0%)    TIP(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.755% (StdDev 3.51%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $10478.4(0.55%)
10 Day Moving Average   $10494.05(0.4%)
20 Day Moving Average   $10393.51(1.37%)
To recent high   -21.5%
To recent low   9.8%
Market Cap   $179.698b

Ontrak, Inc. provides data analytics based specialized behavioral health management and integrated treatment services to health plans. It offers services through its platform OnTrak solution which is designed to improve member health and at the same time, lower costs to the insurer for underserved populations where behavioral health conditions cause or exacerbate co-existing medical conditions. The company was founded by Terren S. Peizer in February 2003 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, CA.

$. OTRK price fluctuates within 4.33% (three month std-dev: 3.51%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080725

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_25_2008	11214.12	10393.51	10494.05	10478.4	10479		10536(2.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	350	-30	398	206	0	43%	0.14	-56.6	3.51%	0	0.3	57	NAN
2	Jun_24_2008	11198.2	10420.96	10408.75	10464	10432.5	10434	10296(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-1295	-10	-1534	-576	0	43%	0.11	-58.8	3.5%	0	-0.3	53	NAN
3	Jun_23_2008	11186.45	10464.31	10350.47	10536	10461	10524	10392(-2.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	882	20	1028	442	0	43%	0.13	-68.9	3.5%	0	-0.1	47	NAN
4	Jun_20_2008	11172.24	10524.29	10312.38	10617.6	10495.5	10431	10656(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	-80	19	36	0	43%	0.04	-65.7	3.51%	0	0.2	49	NAN
5	Jun_19_2008	11167.83	10587.46	10254.63	10665.56	10548	10398	10512(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-2036	-130	-2402	-938	0	43%	-0.01	-56.6	3.51%	0	-0.1	45	NAN

6	Jun_18_2008	11169.3	10654.09	10216.12	10507.16	10559.99	10560	10464(-1.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-213	20	-248	-108	0	47%	-0.04	-62.2	3.55%	0	-0.3	38	NAN
7	Jun_17_2008	11173.47	10711.32	10186.53	10334.36	10360.49	10698	10656(-1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	3533	240	4167	1629	0	47%	0.05	-70.2	3.61%	0	-0.1	41	NAN
8	Jun_16_2008	11167.59	10813.29	10169.44	10127.96	10090.49	10559.98	10800(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	8115	310	9566	3761	0	47%	0.12	-63.8	3.61%	0	-0	42	NAN
9	Jun_13_2008	11154.37	10905.24	10144.7	9964.76	9835.49	10022.98	10895.8(12.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	5342	90	6312	2430	0	47%	0.14	-59.5	3.61%	0	-0	36	NAN
10	Jun_12_2008	11138.94	10971.5	10119.77	9806.4	9747	9621	9720(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-1443	-110	-1657	-802	0	38%	0.03	-61.3	3.27%	0	-1.2	7	NAN

11	Jun_11_2008	11135.27	11120.29	10267.52	9892.8	9881.99	9648	9600(-0.25%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-4041	-170	-4712	-2027	0	38%	0.12	-51.5	3.29%	0	-1.5	7	NAN
12	Jun_10_2008	11122.29	11263.47	10425.6	10012.8	10022.99	9873	9624(-3.61%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-4277	-100	-4990	-2136	0	38%	-0.14	-43.4	3.29%	0	-1.6	17	NAN
13	Jun_9_2008	11137.73	11407.93	10588.8	10204.8	10163.99	10115.98	9984(-1.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-1699	-50	-1955	-929	0	40%	0.1	-32.7	3.29%	0	-1.5	13	NAN
14	Jun_6_2008	11126.85	11523.12	10758.44	10344	10282.49	10172.98	10104(-0.47%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-1417	-90	-1622	-800	0	40%	0.1	-21.9	3.3%	0	-1.6	15	NAN
15	Jun_5_2008	11115.96	11639.27	10953.02	10483.2	10395	10212	10152(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-3883	-150	-4526	-1954	0	40%	0.14	-8.4	3.31%	0	-1.7	26	NAN

16	Jun_4_2008	11099.88	11686.32	11135.79	10704	10593	10392	10200(-3.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-4033	-160	-4705	-2018	0	40%	0.13	1.9	3.31%	0	-1.8	24	NAN
17	Jun_3_2008	11086.02	11719.24	11291.24	10900.8	10800.9	10578	10584(-0.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-4038	-170	-4712	-2016	0	49%	0.14	11.1	3.3%	0	-1.5	31	NAN
18	Jun_2_2008	11070.43	11728.79	11517.2	11030.4	10958.4	10794	10680(-1.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-4149	-120	-4849	-2050	0	49%	0.17	17	3.45%	0	-1.3	32	NAN
19	May_30_2008	11051.13	11724.34	11731.04	11236.8	11131.86	11023.8	10800(-4.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-2835	-100	-3310	-1411	0	49%	0.15	21.1	3.48%	0	-1.1	37	NAN
20	May_29_2008	11034.06	11711.93	11892.92	11496	11349.36	11122.8	11256(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-3036	-180	-3552	-1489	0	42%	0.19	26.4	3.46%	0	-0.5	39	NAN

21	May_28_2008	11013.28	11670.58	12039.56	11640	11562.96	11239.93	11184(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-4711	-220	-5533	-2243	0	42%	0.18	26.5	4.04%	0	-0.5	59	NAN
22	May_27_2008	10992.99	11633.74	12169.37	11740.8	11747.46	11575.93	11232(-4.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-4613	-100	-5426	-2174	0	46%	0.32	25.5	4.04%	0	-0.4	61	NAN
23	May_23_2008	10957.96	11598.01	12298.65	12076.8	11959.5	11886	11712(-3.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-2135	-70	-2524	-968	0	48%	0.16	32.6	4.02%	0	0.1	66	NAN
24	May_22_2008	10940.82	11556.48	12355.15	12302.4	12241.5	11919	12096(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-2579	-200	-3058	-1142	0	48%	0.14	40.2	4.03%	0	0.6	72	NAN
25	May_21_2008	10925.14	11494.1	12382.63	12355.2	12462	12033	11976(2.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-6479	-220	-7655	-2950	0	48%		44.4	4.03%	0	0.5	72	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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