Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 3, 2008

Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Catasys, Inc.)
OTRK latest price $13320.0000 (-0.72%) ($13080.0000 - $13656.0000) on Thu. Apr. 3, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.4% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $13320.0000(-0.72%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OTRK advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OTRK advances 6.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OTRK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(6%)    XLY(6%)    EEM(5%)    EWI(5%)    EWY(5%)
Factors Impacting OTRK price   OTRK will decline at least -2.2% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-3%)    SHY(-2%)    GLD(-2%)    XLU(0%)    TIP(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.2% (StdDev 4.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $13219.2(0.76%)
10 Day Moving Average   $12814.36(3.95%)
20 Day Moving Average   $12152.42(9.61%)
To recent high   -0.7%
To recent low   59.9%
Market Cap   $227.181b

Ontrak, Inc. provides data analytics based specialized behavioral health management and integrated treatment services to health plans. It offers services through its platform OnTrak solution which is designed to improve member health and at the same time, lower costs to the insurer for underserved populations where behavioral health conditions cause or exacerbate co-existing medical conditions. The company was founded by Terren S. Peizer in February 2003 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, CA.

$. OTRK price fluctuates within 6.82% (three month std-dev: 4.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.23%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 3.21%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 6.61%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080503

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_3_2008	11060.46	12152.42	12814.36	13219.2	13189.5	13338	13320(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	2038	70	2372	1035	0	54%	-0.15	84.6	4.4%	0	1.4	77	0
2	Apr_2_2008	11077.13	12022.97	12724.85	13051.2	13042.5	13218	13416(1.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	3381	90	3952	1667	0	52%	-0.13	75.3	4.46%	0	1.7	74	0
3	Apr_1_2008	11091.28	11885.65	12577.27	12748.8	12751.5	13041	13176(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	2909	160	3400	1437	0	52%	-0.12	67	4.51%	0	1.6	76	0
4	Mar_31_2008	11104.16	11748.41	12397.13	12633.6	12531.01	12867	13176(1.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	4512	160	5287	2188	0	54%	-0.1	63.1	4.55%	0	1.8	76	0
5	Mar_28_2008	11115.28	11573.14	12219.43	12484.8	12405.01	12462	13008(4.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	2879	10	3366	1418	0	54%	-0.13	49.7	4.6%	0	1.7	78	0

6	Mar_27_2008	11129.93	11489.07	12052.33	12360	12334.51	12195.03	12480(4.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-1447	-90	-1723	-619	0	54%	-0.2	55.5	4.57%	0	1.3	70	0
7	Mar_26_2008	11152.16	11428.24	11955.9	12355.2	12342.01	12348.03	11904(-5.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-990	0	-1189	-394	0	53%	-0.2	63.5	4.54%	0	0.6	69	0
8	Mar_25_2008	11174.4	11369.95	11891.66	12364.8	12312	12474	12600(1.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	2487	80	2899	1251	0	55%	-0.1	65.5	4.49%	0	1.7	82	0
9	Mar_24_2008	11185.51	11264.66	11743.49	12110.4	12109.5	12336	12432(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	3613	130	4226	1774	0	55%	-0.54	60.2	4.53%	0	1.7	83	0
10	Mar_20_2008	11246	11167.61	11580.66	11904	11782.5	12150	12384(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	3646	190	4264	1791	0	52%	-0.22	54.7	4.5%	0	1.9	87	0

11	Mar_19_2008	11271.25	11075.43	11439.09	11697.6	11589	11883	12456(4.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	5425	150	6363	2612	0	52%	-0.28	51.8	4.63%	0	2.4	57	0
12	Mar_18_2008	11303.25	10980.41	11260.48	11510.4	11388	11415	11952(5.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	1538	-20	1795	767	0	52%	-0.24	56.2	4.61%	0	1.9	55	0
13	Mar_17_2008	11330.5	10905.02	11132.41	11356.8	11313	11295	11328(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-554	-20	-663	-225	0	50%	-0.31	57.9	4.56%	0	0.9	57	0
14	Mar_14_2008	11365.5	10860.42	11047.75	11318.4	11304	11361	11400(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	888	30	1034	450	0	50%	-0.39	61.2	4.56%	0	1.2	60	0
15	Mar_13_2008	11409.75	10824.21	10879.54	11198.4	11197.5	11331	11352(-1.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	1357	80	1591	655	0	50%	-0.43	71.6	4.57%	0	1.2	59	0

16	Mar_12_2008	11459.5	10779.57	10881.49	11131.2	11095.5	11247	11520(3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	2422	90	2842	1161	0	50%	-0.44	82.3	4.56%	0	1.7	60	0
17	Mar_11_2008	11510.25	10705.74	10854.12	10972.8	10969.5	11064	11184(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	1706	60	2001	822	0	50%	-0.48	86.3	4.56%	0	1.2	57	0
18	Mar_10_2008	11566	10646.63	10805.7	10876.8	10866.01	10944	11136(3.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	1441	50	1690	694	0	50%	-0.58	87.8	4.56%	0	1.1	58	0
19	Mar_7_2008	11633.25	10588.46	10746.51	10737.6	10725.01	10875	10800(-1.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	1979	90	2325	940	0	50%	-0.65	88.1	4.56%	0	0.5	57	0
20	Mar_6_2008	11709	10519.39	10723.73	10502.4	10518.01	10788.03	11016(2.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	2475	180	2914	1158	0	50%	-0.61	53.7	4.56%	0	1	55	0

21	Mar_5_2008	11780.5	10440.66	10682.69	10598.4	10429.51	10575.03	10728(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	2091	50	2460	984	0	50%	-0.6	44.7	4.57%	0	0.5	55	0
22	Mar_4_2008	11851.25	10358.85	10677.42	10728	10599	10248	10704(2.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-1251	-270	-1477	-574	0	48%	-0.64	31.6	4.57%	0	0.5	60	0
23	Mar_3_2008	11927.25	10284.93	10659.59	10732.8	10764	10284	10440(8.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-6975	-300	-8212	-3262	0	48%	-0.53	23.7	4.62%	0	0.2	59	0
24	Feb_29_2008	11990.75	10218.43	10664.44	10756.8	10918.5	10950	9624(-16.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-2762	70	-3258	-1273	0	42%	-0.59	19.9	4.66%	0	-0.8	51	0
25	Feb_28_2008	12061.75	10251.45	10786.71	10944	10933.5	11244	11496(1.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	5087	200	5965	2453	0	47%		33.5	4.22%	0	1.7	87	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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