Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Dec. 19, 2007

Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Catasys, Inc.)
OTRK latest price $10920.0000 (0.66%) ($10896.0000 - $11112.0000) on Wed. Dec. 19, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.76% (three month average)
RSI   14
Latest Price   $10920.0000(0.66%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OTRK advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OTRK declines -7.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OTRK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(6%)    XLY(6%)    EEM(5%)    EWI(5%)    EWY(5%)
Factors Impacting OTRK price   OTRK will decline at least -1.88% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-3%)    SHY(-2%)    GLD(-2%)    XLU(0%)    TIP(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.88% (StdDev 3.76%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

Resistance Level   $12066.18
5 Day Moving Average   $10809.56(1.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $10912.75(0.07%)
20 Day Moving Average   $12066.18(-9.5%)
To recent high   -39.6%
To recent low   2.9%
Market Cap   $186.247b

Ontrak, Inc. provides data analytics based specialized behavioral health management and integrated treatment services to health plans. It offers services through its platform OnTrak solution which is designed to improve member health and at the same time, lower costs to the insurer for underserved populations where behavioral health conditions cause or exacerbate co-existing medical conditions. The company was founded by Terren S. Peizer in February 2003 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, CA.

$. OTRK price fluctuates within 11.68% (three month std-dev: 3.76%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080119

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_19_2007	13773.82	12066.18	10912.75	10809.56	10840.49	10938	10920(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	1550	70	1858	626	0	44%	-0.04	-62	3.76%	0	-0.8	14	0
2	Dec_18_2007	13778.91	12243.03	11001.47	10751.96	10772.99	10839	10848(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	1324	50	1600	497	0	47%	-0.02	-61.4	3.76%	0	-0.9	19	0
3	Dec_17_2007	13782.06	12421.61	11102.59	10747.16	10732.49	10742.98	10776(-1.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	87	0	151	-106	0	47%	-0.02	-60.8	3.83%	0	-1.1	16	0
4	Dec_14_2007	13785.21	12608.36	11283.35	10785.56	10772.99	10706.98	10895.8(2.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-1073	-50	-1210	-662	0	47%	-0.01	-59.9	3.83%	0	-1.1	19	0
5	Dec_13_2007	13786.91	12790.49	11439.77	10862.4	10902	10722	10608(-0.23%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-2596	-100	-2997	-1392	0	47%	-0.06	-59.4	3.81%	0	-1.5	13	0

6	Dec_12_2007	13795.4	13007.87	11776.93	11035.2	11086.51	10839	10632(-1.77%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-4272	-140	-4972	-2172	0	47%	-0.07	-57.8	3.81%	0	-1.6	16	0
7	Dec_11_2007	13804.61	13219.84	12086.72	11289.6	11311.51	11082	10824(-1.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-4511	-140	-5255	-2277	0	45%	-0.06	-54.8	3.81%	0	-1.7	16	0
8	Dec_10_2007	13813.58	13407.26	12418.65	11510.4	11557.51	11334.03	10968(-2.77%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-4048	-120	-4714	-2048	0	45%	-0.06	-53.4	3.85%	0	-1.9	18	0
9	Dec_7_2007	13821.34	13581.11	12731.02	11856	11815.51	11541.03	11280(-1.67%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-4682	-170	-5465	-2333	0	45%	-0.03	-54.1	3.85%	0	-2	19	0
10	Dec_6_2007	13825.94	13746.87	13043.34	12105.6	12115.5	11781	11472(-3.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-6052	-190	-7081	-2966	0	45%	0	-56.3	3.84%	0	-2.2	20	0

11	Dec_5_2007	13825.94	13912.23	13323.64	12638.4	12504	12090	11904(-0.2%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-7580	-260	-8885	-3665	0	42%	0.03	-51.2	3.82%	0	-2.2	20	0
12	Dec_4_2007	13822.31	14029.43	13596.08	13012.8	13033.5	12450	11928(-6.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-8189	-310	-9607	-3933	0	52%	0.04	-56.3	3.89%	0	-2.8	22	0
13	Dec_3_2007	13816.73	14130.35	13863.03	13464	13497	12918	12696(1.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-8510	-290	-9996	-4052	0	54%	0.11	-59.3	4.68%	0	-2.4	33	0
14	Nov_30_2007	13802.14	14237.7	14053.82	13737.6	13890	13617	12528(-11.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-5543	-100	-6510	-2642	0	59%	0.09	-55.8	4.75%	0	-3.4	34	0
15	Nov_29_2007	13789.53	14353.41	14267.45	14107.2	14154	14076	14136(2.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-1194	-30	-1398	-580	0	64%	0.19	-70.4	4.56%	0	-0.7	47	0

16	Nov_28_2007	13762.86	14385.94	14339.82	14116.8	14221.5	14163	13776(-2.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-872	-10	-1020	-426	0	64%	0.16	-86	4.55%	0	-1.9	38	0
17	Nov_27_2007	13741.05	14471.16	14441.25	14275.2	14260.5	14232	14184(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-993	-20	-1167	-471	0	65%	0.19	-73.5	4.53%	0	-0.8	55	0
18	Nov_26_2007	13715.59	14491.62	14466.67	14332.8	14356.5	14280	14064(-2.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-431	-30	-508	-199	0	65%	0.19	-93.8	4.54%	0	-1.1	59	0
19	Nov_23_2007	13690.14	14524.36	14490.88	14424	14418	14289	14376(1.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-1713	-60	-2017	-801	0	65%	0.18	-125.1	4.53%	0	-0.4	46	0
20	Nov_21_2007	13664.93	14583	14495.63	14452.8	14482.5	14433	14184(-2.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-1615	-20	-1901	-756	0	67%	0.17	-103.3	4.57%	0	-0.7	45	0

21	Nov_20_2007	13641.65	14674.53	14539.25	14596.8	14581.5	14547	14568(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-236	-20	-281	-102	0	67%	0.22	-93.3	4.55%	0	-0.2	47	0
22	Nov_19_2007	13611.59	14757.52	14488.83	14635.2	14649	14532	14472(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-818	-50	-962	-385	0	67%	0.23	-86.8	4.55%	0	-0.4	38	0
23	Nov_16_2007	13580.8	14853.32	14415.51	14620.8	14655	14616	14520(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-906	-10	-1063	-433	0	67%	0.26	-76.1	4.55%	0	-0.4	51	0
24	Nov_15_2007	13545.17	14994.84	14432.33	14563.2	14566.5	14766	14520(-2.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	1063	100	1254	491	0	67%	0.31	-61.2	4.56%	0	-0.4	49	0
25	Nov_14_2007	13502.74	15159.54	14445.31	14539.2	14496	14694	14904(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	3589	90	4228	1671	0	65%		-50.9	4.54%	0	-0.2	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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