Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 26, 2007

Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Catasys, Inc.)
OTRK latest price $17064.0000 (-0.28%) ($16920.0000 - $17280.0000) on Wed. Sep. 26, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.11% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $17064.0000(-0.28%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OTRK advances 3.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OTRK advances 7.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OTRK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(6%)    XLY(6%)    EEM(5%)    EWI(5%)    EWY(5%)
Factors Impacting OTRK price   OTRK will decline at least -2.055% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-3%)    SHY(-2%)    GLD(-2%)    XLU(0%)    TIP(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.055% (StdDev 4.11%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $16248(5.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $15201.34(12.25%)
20 Day Moving Average   $14460.74(18%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   76.4%
Market Cap   $291.037b

Ontrak, Inc. provides data analytics based specialized behavioral health management and integrated treatment services to health plans. It offers services through its platform OnTrak solution which is designed to improve member health and at the same time, lower costs to the insurer for underserved populations where behavioral health conditions cause or exacerbate co-existing medical conditions. The company was founded by Terren S. Peizer in February 2003 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, CA.

$. OTRK price fluctuates within 10.41% (three month std-dev: 4.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -9.81%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -21.76%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -29.6%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20071026

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_26_2007	11156.15	14460.74	15201.34	16248	16390.49	17087.98	17064(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	7938	320	9306	3835	0	69%	0.69	97.4	4.11%	0	1.7	71	0
2	Sep_25_2007	11079.25	14168.03	14860.22	15672	15752.99	16706.98	17112(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	14614	440	17170	6944	0	69%	0.69	89.4	4.11%	0	1.9	73	0
3	Sep_24_2007	11003.82	13870.47	14512.93	15144	15093	15693	17064(13.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	12724	270	14960	6016	0	69%	0.68	86.6	4.11%	0	2.1	60	0
4	Sep_21_2007	10929.37	13555.14	14233	14476.8	14536.5	14799	15096(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	5519	140	6489	2610	0	67%	0.52	80.5	3.82%	0	1.1	71	0
5	Sep_20_2007	10873.29	13342.96	14157.42	14217.6	14221.5	14493	14904(5.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	3662	130	4301	1746	0	65%	0.52	75.8	3.83%	0	1	74	0

6	Sep_19_2007	10816.72	13129.43	14110.63	13996.8	14038.5	14274	14184(-1.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	4761	130	5587	2282	0	65%	0.47	71.4	3.82%	0	0.7	75	0
7	Sep_18_2007	10766.02	12922.51	14128.67	13910.4	13867.5	13950	14472(5.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	2188	30	2552	1097	0	65%	0.51	65.6	3.84%	0	0.9	77	0
8	Sep_17_2007	10711.17	12693.9	14197.08	13780.8	13786.5	13803	13728(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-229	10	-303	-5	0	63%	0.45	59.9	3.8%	0	0.6	75	0
9	Sep_14_2007	10663.41	12499.91	14106.36	13953.6	13854	13785	13800(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-1036	-60	-1264	-351	0	63%	0.47	60.3	3.8%	0	0.7	77	0
10	Sep_13_2007	10613.7	12301.81	13931.57	14088	14038.5	13770	13800(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-2727	-140	-3262	-1121	0	63%	0.47	60.5	3.8%	0	0.8	78	0

11	Sep_12_2007	10564.23	12107.9	13702.59	14241.6	14196	13923	13752(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-5695	-140	-6763	-2491	0	63%	0.47	61.6	3.8%	0	0.9	79	0
12	Sep_11_2007	10515	11908.05	13469.03	14371.2	14412	14307	13824(-5.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-2865	-40	-3445	-1124	0	63%	0.48	60.9	3.8%	0	1	82	0
13	Sep_10_2007	10464.56	11721.29	13223.91	14668.8	14577	14469	14592(0.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	398	-70	373	471	0	66%	0.56	65	3.73%	0	1.5	89	0
14	Sep_7_2007	10406.76	11476.76	12852.36	14270.4	14452.5	14517	14472(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	1294	70	1429	890	0	67%	0.55	57.7	3.75%	0	1.6	89	0
15	Sep_6_2007	10350.19	11247.05	12479.49	13732.84	13996.5	14685	14568(1.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	8686	400	10131	4352	0	68%	0.55	48.8	3.75%	0	1.9	89	0

16	Sep_5_2007	10293.13	11024.6	12068.22	13065.64	13228.51	14388	14400(-5.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	18276	650	21424	8831	0	68%	0.55	40.3	3.75%	0	2.2	86	0
17	Sep_4_2007	10236.8	10828.59	11604.21	12422.44	12354.01	13308	15312(21.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.2	19349	520	22698	9300	0	71%	0.75	30.5	3.67%	0	3.5	95	0
18	Aug_31_2007	10160.55	10592.62	11021.45	11601.64	11646.91	12069.03	12600(6.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	14428	270	16913	6973	0	67%	0.34	20.2	2.62%	0	2.6	79	0
19	Aug_30_2007	10126.37	10511.06	10721.85	11246.44	11286.91	11400.03	11784.2(4.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	5128	80	5982	2565	0	64%	0.27	10.1	2.51%	0	1.9	77	0
20	Aug_29_2007	10099.46	10473.22	10511.58	11040	11079.75	11224.8	11232(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	2548	100	2955	1327	0	62%	0.22	2.8	2.44%	0	1.3	67	0

21	Aug_28_2007	10077.64	10445.49	10371.64	10900.8	10925.25	11173.8	11184(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	6936	170	8126	3366	0	62%	0.2	-8.4	2.45%	0	1.2	59	0
22	Aug_27_2007	10057.03	10448.13	10221.1	10632	10661.85	10934.7	11208(3.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	7856	190	9226	3745	0	62%	0.12	-21.5	2.47%	0	1.2	51	0
23	Aug_24_2007	10045.29	10437.75	10103.58	10344	10334.1	10676.7	10824(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	7626	230	8974	3583	0	61%	0.19	-38.8	2.44%	0	0.6	43	0
24	Aug_23_2007	10026.19	10445.54	10000.83	10113.6	10085.25	10389	10752(2.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	9085	200	10708	4215	0	61%	0.19	-53.3	2.44%	0	0.5	40	0
25	Aug_22_2007	10006.84	10456.43	9925.66	9907.2	9878.25	9991.5	10536(7.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	4826	70	5713	2165	0	61%		-63.9	2.44%	0	0.1	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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