Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 27, 2007

Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Catasys, Inc.)
OTRK latest price $11208.0000 (3.55%) ($11064.0000 - $11208.0000) on Mon. Aug. 27, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.47% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $11208.0000(3.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OTRK advances 2.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OTRK advances 2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OTRK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(6%)    XLY(6%)    EEM(5%)    EWI(5%)    EWY(5%)
Factors Impacting OTRK price   OTRK will decline at least -1.235% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-3%)    SHY(-2%)    GLD(-2%)    XLU(0%)    TIP(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.235% (StdDev 2.47%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $10632(5.42%)
10 Day Moving Average   $10221.1(9.66%)
20 Day Moving Average   $10448.13(7.27%)
To recent high   -5.7%
To recent low   23.2%
Market Cap   $191.159b

Ontrak, Inc. provides data analytics based specialized behavioral health management and integrated treatment services to health plans. It offers services through its platform OnTrak solution which is designed to improve member health and at the same time, lower costs to the insurer for underserved populations where behavioral health conditions cause or exacerbate co-existing medical conditions. The company was founded by Terren S. Peizer in February 2003 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, CA.

$. OTRK price fluctuates within 5.82% (three month std-dev: 2.47%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 3.16%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 3.72%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 4.19%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_27_2007	10057.03	10448.13	10221.1	10632	10661.85	10934.7	11208(3.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	7856	190	9226	3745	0	62%	0.12	-21.5	2.47%	0	1.2	51	0
2	Aug_24_2007	10045.29	10437.75	10103.58	10344	10334.1	10676.7	10824(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	7626	230	8974	3583	0	61%	0.19	-38.8	2.44%	0	0.6	43	0
3	Aug_23_2007	10026.19	10445.54	10000.83	10113.6	10085.25	10389	10752(2.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	9085	200	10708	4215	0	61%	0.19	-53.3	2.44%	0	0.5	40	0
4	Aug_22_2007	10006.84	10456.43	9925.66	9907.2	9878.25	9991.5	10536(7.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	4826	70	5713	2165	0	61%	0.17	-63.9	2.44%	0	0.1	37	0
5	Aug_21_2007	9990.19	10496.72	9903.56	9772.8	9764.55	9781.5	9840(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	379	10	492	39	0	58%	0.13	-66.6	2.28%	0	-1	35	0

6	Aug_20_2007	9976.96	10580.66	9998.19	9748.8	9754.8	9765	9768(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-329	10	-336	-308	0	58%	0.11	-66.4	2.28%	0	-1.2	28	0
7	Aug_17_2007	9966.19	10677.07	10129.11	9825.6	9808.8	9747.6	9672(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-609	-50	-668	-433	0	58%	0.12	-61.7	2.28%	0	-1.4	32	0
8	Aug_16_2007	9953.94	10780.99	10284.66	9864	9864.3	9744.6	9720(-1.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-3319	-80	-3858	-1701	0	58%	0.11	-59.5	2.28%	0	-1.6	34	0
9	Aug_15_2007	9942.68	10883.36	10436.2	9940.8	9948	9870	9864(1.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-3445	-50	-4010	-1750	0	58%	0.11	-57.7	2.28%	0	-1.6	35	0
10	Aug_14_2007	9931.66	10967.01	10533.89	10056	10062	9984	9720(-4.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-2660	-50	-3086	-1381	0	58%	0.12	-57	2.27%	0	-2	29	0

11	Aug_13_2007	9919.41	11062.79	10706	10286.4	10224	10026	10152(2.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-4644	-150	-5427	-2295	0	61%	0.19	-54.5	2.21%	0	-1.7	32	0
12	Aug_10_2007	9900.31	11127.96	10809.65	10488	10432.48	10140	9864(-2.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-8827	-210	-10352	-4253	0	58%	0.17	-51.6	2.18%	0	-2.6	25	0
13	Aug_9_2007	9883.17	11204.31	10941.31	10771.2	10712.98	10422	10104(-3.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-9027	-210	-10593	-4327	0	58%	0.18	-48.6	2.19%	0	-2.7	26	0
14	Aug_8_2007	9865.58	11269.3	11046.59	11001.6	10979.98	10724.95	10440(-3.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-7145	-170	-8384	-3429	0	59%	0.21	-50.7	2.17%	0	-2.6	29	0
15	Aug_7_2007	9845.25	11325.87	11150.93	11073.6	11120.98	11003.95	10872(-2.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-5433	-60	-6372	-2617	0	62%	0.29	-61.6	2.12%	0	-1.8	41	0

16	Aug_6_2007	9817.09	11364.28	11217.71	11073.6	11185.5	11235	11160(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-821	30	-950	-435	0	64%	0.33	-53	2.1%	0	-0.8	43	0
17	Aug_3_2007	9785.25	11389.18	11268.82	11184	11247	11238	11280(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	2929	10	3460	1335	0	67%	0.36	-50	2.1%	0	-0.5	49	0
18	Aug_2_2007	9750.23	11402.29	11309.85	11145.6	11175	11136	11256(4.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-2014	-20	-2356	-986	0	67%	0.37	-41.9	2.12%	0	-0.6	52	0
19	Aug_1_2007	9714.48	11431.92	11354.58	11107.2	11141.7	11256	10800(-5.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.2	886	80	1054	381	0	64%	0.34	-19.6	2.07%	0	-2.4	42	0
20	Jul_31_2007	9681.66	11487.34	11427.69	11236.8	11138.19	11214	11424(2.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	3883	20	4575	1805	0	70%	0.39	26.5	1.95%	0	-0.3	48	0

21	Jul_30_2007	9643.95	11495.65	11438.82	11260.8	11151.69	11027.4	11160(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-2694	-110	-3162	-1289	0	69%	0.38	57.8	1.94%	0	-1.4	38	0
22	Jul_27_2007	9606.97	11511.27	11464.67	11371.2	11297.19	11062.38	11088(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-6964	-170	-8189	-3290	0	69%	0.38	101	1.94%	0	-1.9	35	0
23	Jul_26_2007	9570.97	11511.72	11487.83	11500.8	11469.99	11275.98	11064(-3.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-7381	-130	-8683	-3476	0	69%	0.36	132.2	1.94%	0	-1.9	39	0
24	Jul_25_2007	9536.19	11483.38	11516.62	11635.2	11604	11532	11448(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-3350	-50	-3942	-1574	0	73%	0.41	112.2	1.88%	0	-0.1	38	0
25	Jul_24_2007	9497.25	11425.69	11522.31	11640	11631	11664	11544(-1.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	256	20	303	115	0	73%		87.9	1.88%	0	0.3	39	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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